Will credit rating Agencies S&P, Moody’s or Fitch slap a negative outlook on Harvard’s AAA rating by summer’s end? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that S&P Global Ratings, Fitch or Moody’s Investors Service has changed Harvard University’s AAA credit rating outlook to negative before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from S&P , Fitch or Moody’s, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a Financial Rating Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Greg Abel shatter Berkshire’s no-dividend tradition by announcing a payout before December 31, 2025? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Berkshire Hathaway has officially declared a dividend before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome does not require the payment to be made in 2025, only the Declaration of a Dividend. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from Berkshire Hathaway or SEC filings, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a Corporate Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Elon Musk brags he's a "Diablo IV" master, clearing "The Pit" level 150 in under two minutes. Will he go live on Twitch or YouTube, slaying demons in real-time to silence the doubters? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Elon Musk has publicly demonstrated his "Diablo IV" skills live before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Event.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that AT&T has announced a sponsorship deal with Major League Cricket Team before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Major League Cricket or AT&T, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Which company will be the first to announce the start of commercial deep-sea mining operations before the Event Date Close? The Untied States Executive order, signed on April 24, 2025, encourages rapid development of deep-sea mining, bypassing the International Seabed Authority (ISA) and fostering partnerships with companies and nations. This Event Outcome will Settle to the name of the company (TMC, Loke Marine Minerals, GSR, CSR, Impossible Metals, or Green Minerals) that first announces the start of commercial deep-sea mining operations, as confirmed by a credible reporting source before the Event Date Close. If no company announces by the deadline, the Event Outcome may Settle to "No." If it becomes impossible for any company to announce before the Event Date Close, the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No." The primary source will be official company announcements or credible news reports, but a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Could Swift be the next big name to join the cosmic club? Will Taylor Swift will be announced as part of Blue Origin's next crew, promising a stratospheric boost to her already sky-high fame. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Taylor Swift has been announced as part of the next Blue Origin crew before the Event Day Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Blue Origin, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
The future of transportation is taking off! Will Joby Aviation soar ahead with its advanced eVTOL, or will Archer Aviation surprise the pack? Perhaps Alef Aeronautics’ unique flying car or Beta Technologies’ innovative approach will clinch the prize. Bet on which company—Joby, Archer, Alef, or Beta—will be the first to secure FAA type certification by the end of 2025, or if none will make it in time. Join the high-flying action! This Event Outcome will Settle based on which company first receives FAA type certification for their flying car or eVTOL aircraft before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for any company to receive certification before the Event Date Close, the Event Outcome may Settle to "None". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the FAA or the respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Tesla has announced the acquisition of a flying car company before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Tesla or the acquired company, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Bidder is the first to have received approval from its respective Community Advisory Committee (CAC) before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the respective Community Advisory Committees or the proposers, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Could California or Massachusetts end up debating whether an AI robots could govern, proposing legislation to redefine candidacy laws. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a bill has been introduced in any US state legislature to allow an AI robots to run for Governor before the Event Date Close. The Bill does not have to pass or be approved, the Bill only has to be introduced or tabled for Debate for the Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes" If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official state legislature websites or credible news reports, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
China’s robots ran 13 miles in Beijing in a half marathon — Will a U.S. organization announces the participation of a humanoid robot in a half or full marathon ? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms the announcement of a humanoid robot participating in one of the following marathons before the Event Date Close. The big Eight: Boston, London, Berlin, New York, Los Angeles, Marine Corps, San Francisco and Chicago Rule Exemptions would be required as an example for the Boston Marathon: The rules, as outlined by the Boston Athletic Association, focus on human runners, requiring qualifying times and prohibiting items like strollers, animals, and non-formfitting costumes. https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202504/1332430.shtml If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from robotics organizations or event planners, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will ESPN’s loudmouth Stephen A. Smith swap sports and take a wild swing at the presidency? Context: Stephen A. Smith, a prominent ESPN host, was included in Nate Silver’s 2028 Democratic primary draft, a surprising pick reflecting his celebrity status and outspoken persona. While he has no political experience, his inclusion alongside serious contenders like Josh Shapiro and Cory Booker suggests his potential to disrupt as a wildcard candidate, akin to Donald Trump’s 2016 run. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Stephen A. Smith has officially announced his candidacy for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Stephen A. Smith or his campaign, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Jerome Powell has resigned as Federal Reserve Chair before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Jerome Powell is no longer the Federal Reserve Chair for any reason including but not limited to Personal Reasons, change in an Act of Congress or being fired before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Federal Reserve or Powell himself, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a change in the Chairman of the Federal Reserve from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Jochen Zeitz has been removed as CEO of Harley-Davidson or has stepped down for personal reasons before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Harley-Davidson, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a Corporate Leadership Change from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Argentine peso has traded at or above 1,400 per US dollar at any time before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official exchange rate data from the Central Bank of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on Currency Value from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Kodiak Robotics AI SPAC has reached at least twice its initial market capitalization within 30 days of going public in its IPO. The IPO Date and Initial Share Filing Price have yet to be set. This Event Outcome can only be resolved when the IPO Date and Initial Share Filing Price have been confirmed in the 8-K or S-3 filing. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Kodiak Robotics, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will a 7.0+ magnitude quake unleash a tsunami warning, sending millions fleeing Japan’s shores? Imagine the sirens screaming as waves loom—will coastal cities empty out in a frantic exodus? Trade on whether this seismic nightmare triggers a mass evacuation! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a 7.0+ magnitude earthquake in Japan triggers a tsunami warning, leading to a widespread coastal evacuation before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Elon Musk drop a jaw-dropping announcement about privatizing NASA? Picture the storm as the Tesla titan unveils his wildest plan yet—a takeover of America’s space agency. Will he spill the cosmic beans? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Elon Musk has publicly announced plans to privatize NASA before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be Musk’s own statements (e.g., via Twitter or interviews), however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Congress drop a bombshell bill to privatize NASA, handing Elon Musk the keys to the cosmos? Picture the political fireworks as lawmakers push to overhaul space exploration. Will this game-changing legislation hit the floor? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a bill to privatize NASA has been introduced in Congress before the Event Date Close. Context: Privatization debates have swirled around government agencies for decades. With SpaceX’s success, some policymakers see privatizing NASA as a cost-effective move, especially with Musk’s influence in the mix. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official Congressional records, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Alaska’s sleeping giant roar to life? Mount Spurr, just 81 miles from Anchorage, last erupted in 1992, shaking the region with explosive fury. Now, with seismic activity spiking and scientists on edge, will it blow its top again, sending ash plumes soaring up to 50,000 feet? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Mount Spurr has experienced an explosive eruption from its Crater Peak before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Alaska Volcano Observatory (AVO), however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.