This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Volodymyr Zelenskyy is no longer Ukraine’s president due to a U.S.-brokered peace agreement with Russia, signed under President Trump’s influence, before July 1, 2025. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the White House or Ukrainian government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that China initiates a full-scale military invasion of Taiwan, involving ground troops landing on Taiwanese soil, before July 1, 2025. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the Taiwanese Ministry of National Defense or the U.S. Department of Defense, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Booz Allen Hamilton files for bankruptcy or ceases operations due to the complete termination of its U.S. government contracts by the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Booz Allen Hamilton or bankruptcy filings, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) is entirely eliminated or consolidated into another agency by Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from HUD or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Kings Court Capital reduces or sells its Suzuki Motor Corp. stake for any reason one of which may be due to BYD Co.’s electric vehicle dominance impacting Suzuki’s market share in Asia before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Kings Court Capital, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Suzuki’s India unit surpasses Tesla Inc. in total vehicle unit sales within the India market for a single month before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official sales data from Suzuki Motor Corp.’s India unit and Tesla Inc., however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that William Shatner, previously the oldest person to travel to space at age 90 in October 2021, announces his intention to fly again into space on Blue Origin’s New Shepard rocket at age 94 before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Blue Origin, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Will Smith and Jada Pinkett Smith officially announce their divorce before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official court filings, announcements from either party, or major news sources covering celebrity relationships, however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Under Armour CEO Kevin Plank sells his Maryland horse farm for less than $20 million before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official property sale records, listing agent confirmations, or business news reports, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Mr. Beast successfully secures investor funding that values his company at greater than $5 billion before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from MrBeast or the investment firms involved, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that MrBeast’s chocolate brand, Feastables, surpasses Hershey’s and other competitors to become the #1 best-selling chocolate brand in the U.S. before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official market research reports or major business publications, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Starbucks announces an official plan to add humanoid robots to function as Baristas before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Starbucks, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Amazon Labor Union (ALU), with or without the International Brotherhood of Teamsters has Filed a Lawsuit Against Amazon on Humanoid Robot Workers in warehouses before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from labor unions or court filings, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that another major cruise line (such as Royal Caribbean, Carnival, or Norwegian) experiences a norovirus outbreak affecting at least 50 passengers before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be CDC reports, cruise industry tracking sites, or a consensus of credible health and travel reporting sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Holland America cancels at least one scheduled cruise departure due to norovirus-related concerns before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official Holland America announcements, cruise industry reports, or a consensus of credible travel and health reporting sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a private space company (such as SpaceX, Blue Origin, or Rocket Lab) formally announces a plan to deflect asteroid 2024 YR4 before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be space company press releases, scientific proposals, or a consensus of credible technology reporting sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Greenpeace officially files for bankruptcy or publicly announces financial insolvency before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be Greenpeace’s official statements, financial disclosures, or a consensus of credible environmental and legal reporting sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the U.S. government imposes sanctions on Romanian politicians, government officials, or individuals involved in the presidential election controversy before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be U.S. government statements, Treasury Department filings, or a consensus of credible foreign policy reporting sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Donald Trump successfully signs legislation or issues an executive order eliminating the $10,000 SALT cap before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". Definition of SALT and related terms: https://bipartisanpolicy.org/explainer/how-salt-may-shake-up-the-2025-tax-debate/ The primary source for this Event Outcome will be government records, legislative filings, or a consensus of credible financial and political reporting sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Apple announces an iPhone model that is manufactured entirely in the United States, without reliance on Chinese assembly, before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be Apple product announcements, manufacturing disclosures, or a consensus of credible technology reporting sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.