Will Dole plc publicly confirm an across-the-board wholesale banana price increase of at least $0.10 per pound for U.S. customers before the Event Date Close? This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if a Dole press release, investor presentation, or regulatory filing dated on or before the Event Date Close states that wholesale banana prices sold into the U.S. market are rising by ≥ $0.10 /lb. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Dole plc; however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will the Bureau of Labor Statistics report that the Consumer-Price Index for fresh bananas (series ID CUSR0000SEFV01) shows annual inflation of 5 percent or higher in any monthly CPI release issued on or before the Event Date Close? This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if an official BLS CPI News Release dated on or before the Event Date Close lists the 12-month percent change for fresh bananas at ≥ 5.0 percent for any reporting month. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if an official Domino’s press release, SEC filing, earnings call transcript, or investor-relations web page dated on or before the Event Date Close confirms the launch of a carry-out deal pricing any large pizza (as defined as 14 inches or larger) at $7.99 USD or lower across the entire United States. Context: This must be a national rollout offer for $7.99 in all Regions in The United States to qualify for Yes before the Event Date Close. f it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Domino’s Pizza Inc.; however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Waymo and Cruise already run paid, safety‑driver‑free service zones in Phoenix, San Francisco, Los Angeles, and Austin. State filings show half a dozen other metros in late‑stage applications. Which city will be the first to receive regulator sign‑off for full public, fare‑paying robotaxi operations—operating 24 hours with no human driver onboard—on or the Event Date Close? This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” for the single Outcome corresponding to the earliest chronologically announced approval (press release or official order) granting a commercial Permit‑to‑Operate driver‑out robotaxis to any company (Waymo, Cruise, etc.) in the city listed. If no listed city secures such approval before the Event Date Close, then the Event settles “No Winner.”
Who will President Trump meet with next ? This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” for the single Outcome corresponding to the earliest chronologically confirmed, face‑to‑face encounter between President Donald Trump and one of the celebrities listed below, as documented by the first timestamped official release or pooled‑press report. If no qualifying meeting is confirmed before 10 June 2026 23:59 UTC, the Event settles “No Winner.” The Celebrity must be an unscheduled visitor not on the White House Calendar as reported by rollcall.com. If two listed celebrities meet Trump on the same calendar day, the one with the earlier public timestamp governs settlement. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official material from Donald Trump or the celebrity (campaign or personal social media, press release) or pooled press footage; a consensus of reputable outlets (Reuters, AP, Variety, Billboard) may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” for the single Outcome corresponding to the earliest (chronologically first) event publicly confirmed by a primary authority or regulator before the Event Date Close. If none of the listed events are confirmed before that deadline, the contract settles “No Winner.” Available Outcomes — earliest one wins • Apple Vision Pro 2 officially ships – Apple begins retail delivery of the second‑generation Vision Pro headset in any country. • CRISPR therapy gains first full FDA approval – The U.S. Food & Drug Administration grants a Biologics License (BLA) for any CRISPR‑based human treatment. • 24/7 driverless taxi service opens in a U.S. city – A state regulator approves commercial robo‑taxis with no safety driver operating around the clock. • A fusion reactor sustains net‑energy gain ≥30 s – A peer‑reviewed paper confirms a terrestrial fusion experiment that produces more energy than it consumes for at least half a minute. Primary evidence must come from the relevant authority (Apple press release, & FAA report, FDA approval letter, state DMV/PUC order, peer‑reviewed journal, etc.). If two events are confirmed on the same calendar day, the one with the earlier timestamp in public records governs settlement. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if a credible reporting source confirms that Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet in person—anywhere in the world. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes” the Event Outcome will Settle “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Kremlin or the Office of the President of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” for the single Outcome corresponding to the first celebrity who is publicly confirmed (via self‑statement or Flat Earth Society acknowledgement) to have registered as a member -- provided the confirmation occurs on or before the Event Date Close. This is a Competitive Event to Settle on the first celebrity who is publicly confirmed (via self‑statement or by the Flat Earth Society) If no qualifying celebrity joins publicly, the Event settles “No Winner.” Primary sources: statements from the celebrity (interview, social post) or Flat Earth Society confirmation; major entertainment outlets may corroborate. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Which U.S.‑Listed Company Ends 2025 With the World’s Biggest Market Cap? This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” for the single Outcome corresponding to the publicly traded U.S. company that holds the largest market capitalization at the official closing bell on December 31 2025, as reported by Bloomberg, Refinitiv, or the issuing exchange. If trading on December 31 2025 is cancelled or the exchanges close early, the Event will use the most recent regular‑session close prior to that date. If two companies report an identical market cap to the nearest million dollars, the Event will settle “No Winner.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be end‑of‑day market‑cap data from Bloomberg or Refinitiv, cross‑checked against exchange filings; however, a consensus of credible financial reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” for the single Outcome corresponding to the candidate officially proclaimed President‑elect by Chile’s Servicio Electoral (Servel) for the 2025 presidential contest on or before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for any listed candidate to be declared the winner (e.g., the election is annulled), the Event may settle “No Winner.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Servel; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members vote on where to set the rate. Traders watch interest rate changes closely as short term interest rates are the primary factor in currency valuation. A higher than expected rate is positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected rate is negative/bearish for the USD. The Federal Reserve will raise, keep flat, or lower Fed Funds for its FOMC meeting ?
Ukraine’s president faces mounting pressure at home and abroad. If either steps down outright or issues a formal, legally binding statement that he will not stand in the next presidential election and sets the clock running on a vote date before the event date close, Kyiv politics will pivot overnight. Supporters point to his past promises not to cling to power, while critics doubt he can campaign in wartime; bookmakers now see the odds of a clear exit‑plan announcement as essentially even. This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if, on or before 23:59 Kyiv time, on the event date close, an official source (Office of the President, Verkhovna Rada, Constitutional Court, or Central Election Commission) or a consensus of credible reporting sources confirms any one of the following: 1. Volodymyr Zelenskyy no longer holds the office of President of Ukraine (resignation, impeachment, removal, succession, or death), or 2. Zelenskyy publishes a signed declaration that he will not seek another term and the Central Election Commission (CEC) sets a date for the next presidential election. If neither Condition 1 nor 2 is met by the deadline, the Event will settle to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Office of the President of Ukraine, Verkhovna Rada, Constitutional Court, or CEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources (Reuters, AP, BBC, etc.) may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if a credible reporting source confirms that President Donald J. Trump and Chairman Kim Jong Un meet in person at any location during 2025 and the visit was not listed on the public White House daily schedule at least 24 hours in advance. (Photo‑op greetings, working‑level summits, or ceremonial encounters all qualify so long as both leaders are physically present.) A surprise meeting is defined as a Meeting held within 24 hours of the actual meeting. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to settle to “Yes” (e.g., 31 December 2025 passes with no qualifying meeting), the Event Outcome may settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the White House Press Office or North Korea’s KCNA, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
With President‑elect Nicușor Dan vacating city hall, a snap vote will crown his successor as early as this autumn. Party strategists are already floating names: former mayor Gabriela Firea (PSD) says she’s “considering a comeback,” Energy Minister Sebastian Burduja touts sector‑6 chief Ciprian Ciucu for the job, while USR insiders push ex‑transport minister Cătălin Drulă or health reformer Vlad Voiculescu. Sector‑4 strongman Daniel Băluță has also signalled interest, and NGOs and minor parties talk up outsider bids such as green activist Dan Trifu. romaniajournal.ro rri.ro This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” for the single Outcome corresponding to the candidate officially declared Mayor of Bucharest by Romania’s Permanent Electoral Authority (AEP) in the first special election held after Nicușor Dan’s resignation, on or before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for any listed candidate to be declared the winner (e.g., the election is cancelled), the Event may settle “No Winner.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Cámara Națională Electorală (AEP); however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source
With Lionel Messi’s era finally closed, a new crop of megastars are jostling for football’s top individual honour. This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” for the single Outcome corresponding to the player officially announced by France Football / FIFA as the 2025 Ballon d’Or winner at the Paris ceremony (expected late‑September 2025) on or before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for any listed player to be declared the winner (e.g., award cancelled), the Event may settle “No Winner.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be the live announcement from France Football (organiser of the Ballon d’Or); however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” for the above or below the single point Outcome corresponding to the reported number of bitcoin (BTC) the U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve formally reports or is credibly reported to hold at any time on or before 31 December 2025. Totals include all BTC seized, purchased, or otherwise transferred into the reserve and not subsequently sold or transferred out are included in this amount. Context: Currently the The United States. government holds ≈200 k BTC already in federal custody. As a relevant fact and context, MicroStrategy owns 580,955 bitcoins as of June 4, 2025 to put the size required for the United States in perspective. If it becomes impossible for any higher balance to be recorded in 2025 (i.e., 31 December passes), the Event will settle to the appropriate range immediately. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official data from the U.S. Treasury Department, U.S. Marshals Service, or White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources (e.g., Reuters, Bloomberg, CoinDesk) may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” for the single Outcome corresponding to the first head‑of‑state or head‑of‑government who meets President Trump at the White House in the next two months without appearing on the publicly released White House daily schedule at least 24 hours beforehand. (If two leaders arrive the same day, the one whose meeting is first reported by credible media will govern settlement.) If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to settle to “Yes” (e.g., the date of the Event Date Close passes with no qualifying visit), the Event Outcome may settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the White House Press Office; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Rumors swirl that Volodymyr Zelensky, Mohammed bin Salman, Narendra Modi and other heavy‑hitters might pop in unannounced, skirting the daily public schedule that the White House releases. This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” for the single Outcome corresponding to the first head‑of‑state or head‑of‑government who meets President Trump at the White House in 2025 without appearing on the publicly released White House daily schedule at least 24 hours beforehand. (If two leaders arrive the same day, the one whose meeting is first reported by credible media will govern settlement.) If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to settle to “Yes” (e.g., 31 December 2025 passes with no qualifying visit), the Event Outcome may settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the White House Press Office; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Washington shock the world by formally signing an accord with Denmark and Greenland that transfers sovereign control of the Arctic island to the United States before the Event Date Close? This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if a credible reporting source confirms that the governments of the United States and the Kingdom of Denmark (with Greenland’s parliament’s consent) have signed a binding international agreement that cedes or transfers full sovereign ownership of Greenland to the United States on or before the Event Date Close. Context: Recent reports reveal U.S. officials floating a “COFA‑style” compact and renewed purchase overtures reminiscent of President Trump’s 2019 bid—momentum that Copenhagen and Nuuk still publicly reject. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the U.S. Department of State, Denmark’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs, or the Government of Greenland; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will immediately Settle to "Yes" for the first price of any Binance 1 minute candle for Solana (SOLUSDT) between June 1, 2025, 00:00 and December 31st, 2025, 23:59 in the ET time zone that has a final "High" Price or "Low" Price of the Value Selected . Context: This Event Outcome is a prediction on the first price that SOL/USD will hit in the balance of 2025 for the possible outcomes selected. This is a Competitive Event with only one outcome possible as the first price that SOL/USD hits. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOLUSDT "High" or "Low" prices available at binance.com SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOLUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.