Will a cooling U.S. economy force the Federal Open Market Committee to wield the scissors, or will sticky inflation keep borrowing costs elevated? Futures markets now lean toward one or two quarter‑point trims by year‑end, but some traders still bet on three‑plus moves, while hawks see the Fed holding firm all year. This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” for the single Outcome corresponding to the total number of distinct federal‑funds‑rate cuts (defined as any 25‑basis‑point or larger reduction in the target‑range midpoint) officially announced at FOMC meetings between June 1 and December 31 2025, inclusive. If it becomes impossible for any further cuts to be announced in 2025 (e.g., the final scheduled FOMC meeting concludes with no reduction), the Event will settle to the appropriate numerical Outcome immediately. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official Federal Reserve Board/FOMC statements, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Can President Javier Milei’s libertarian La Libertad Avanza convert street‑level buzz into congressional muscle, or will Peronism’s Unión por la Patria and the center‑right Juntos por el Cambio claw back control? With 127 lower‑house seats up for grabs on October 26, 2025, soaring inflation and austerity have turned this into the most unpredictable midterm in decades. This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” for the single Outcome corresponding to the party or electoral coalition that wins the largest number of seats nationwide in the 2025 Argentine Chamber of Deputies election as officially certified by the National Electoral Chamber (Cámara Nacional Electoral) on or before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Cámara Nacional Electoral; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” for the single Outcome corresponding to the film that Box Office Mojo or Comscore reports as having the highest domestic (U.S./Canada) opening‑weekend gross among all wide releases dated in the 2025 calendar year, on or before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Box Office Mojo or Comscore; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if a credible reporting source confirms that the governments of Ukraine and the Russian Federation have jointly announced and begun implementation of a nationwide ceasefire (covering all armed forces and theaters of combat) on or before the Event Date Close. Context: Currently, U.N. envoys cite a 30‑day truce proposal now circulating in Istanbul back‑channel talks, while President Zelensky has offered an immediate halt to prove both sides’ good faith. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Ukrainian Presidential Office, the Russian Ministry of Defense, or the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if a credible reporting source confirms that the governments of Ukraine and the Russian Federation have jointly announced and begun implementation of a nationwide ceasefire (covering all armed forces and theaters of combat) on or before the Event Date Close. Context: U.N. envoys cite a 30‑day truce proposal now circulating in Istanbul back‑channel talks, while President Zelensky has offered an immediate halt to prove both sides’ good faith. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Ukrainian Presidential Office, the Russian Ministry of Defense, or the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will immediately Settle to "Yes" for the first price of any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETHUSDT) between June 1, 2025, 00:00 and December 31st, 2025, 23:59 in the ET time zone that has a final "High" Price or "Low" Price of the Value Selected . Context: This is a Competitive Event with only one outcome possible as the first price that ETH/USD hits The Event Outcome for this Prediction is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "High" prices available at binance.com ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Will Converse officially launch public retail sales of Shai Gilgeous‑Alexander’s “Shai 001” basketball shoe—making pairs available for purchase on Converse.com or through authorized retailers—before Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if a credible reporting source confirms that Converse has begun general‑public sales (online or in‑store) of the Shai 001 sneaker on or before the Event Date Close. “Sales” include any first‑come‑first‑served drop, preorder requiring payment, or widespread retail release. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Converse or its parent company Nike Inc.; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will zero‑commission broker Robinhood Markets Inc. (HOOD) secure a coveted spot in the blue‑chip S&P 500 during the next index rebalancing, sparking a wave of passive‑fund buying and fresh investor attention? This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if S&P Dow Jones Indices (or a credible reporting source citing S&P) publicly announces that Robinhood Markets Inc. will be added to the S&P 500 Index on or before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from S&P Dow Jones Indices; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will immediately Settle to "Yes" for the first price of any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETHUSDT) between June 1, 2025, 00:00 and June 30, 2025, 23:59 in the ET time zone that has a final "High" Price or "Low" Price of the Value Selected . Context: This Event Outcome is a prediction on the first price that ETH/USD will hit in the month of June for the possible outcomes selected. This is a Competitive Event with only one outcome possible as the first price that ETH/USD hits The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "High" prices available at binance.com ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
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This Event Outcome will immediately Settle to "Yes" for the highest price of any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between June 1, 2025, 00:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET time zone that has a final "High" Price of the Outcome Selected. Context: This Event Outcome is a prediction on the highest price that BTC/USD will hit in 2025 the for the possible Outcomes selected. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at binance.com BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
This Event Outcome will immediately Settle to "Yes" for the first price of any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between June 1, 2025, 00:00 and June 30, 2025, 23:59 in the ET time zone has a final "High" Price or "Low" Price of the Value Selected . Context: This Event Outcome is a prediction on the first price that BTC/USD will hit in the month of June for the possible outcomes selected. This is a Competitive Event with only one outcome possible as the first price that BTC/USD hits The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at binance.com BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” for the single Outcome corresponding to the film that finishes #1 on Box Office Mojo’s published “2025 Worldwide Box Office” chart as of 23:59 UTC on 31 January 2026 (allowing for late‑reporting territories and re‑issues). If a film not listed tops the chart, the Event will settle “No Winner.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be Box Office Mojo; however, corroborating data from The Numbers or Comscore may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” for the single Outcome corresponding to the NFL team with which Aaron Rodgers is on the 53‑man roster and takes his first regular‑season offensive snap in the 2025 season on or before the Event Date Close. If Rodgers retires or remains unsigned through the Event Date Close, the market will settle “No Team.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the NFL, Rodgers’ contract filings, or team announcements; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” for the single Outcome corresponding to the driver officially declared 2025 FIA Formula 1 World Drivers’ Champion on or before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for any listed driver to be declared champion (e.g., season cancellation), the Event may settle “No Winner.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the FIA and Formula 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if a credible reporting source confirms that Eli Lilly has publicly announced a U.S. price of $299 USD or lower for any strength of Zepbound (tirzepatide) in a vial or syringe presentation on or before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Eli Lilly; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if a credible reporting source confirms that Novo Nordisk has publicly announced a U.S. list‑price (or manufacturer‑advertised cash price) of $399 USD or lower per 28‑day supply of Wegovy (semaglutide) in vial form on or before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Novo Nordisk; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.