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    Matches Dutch Eredivisie 2025-2026

    Winner of each match of the Matches Dutch Eredivisie 2025-2026

    Winner Dutch Eredivisie 2025-2026

    Which team will win the Winner Dutch Eredivisie 2025-2026

    WTA Fines Sabalenka ≥ $25,000 for “Unprofessional” French-Open Remarks

    Will the Women’s Tennis Association impose a monetary penalty of at least US $25,000 on Aryna Sabalenka for her post-match comments after the 2025 French Open final? This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if a WTA disciplinary notice, press release, or publicly reported WTA Rulebook sanction dated on or before the Event Date Close confirms a fine of US $25,000 or more assessed specifically for Sabalenka’s Paris news-conference outburst. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official WTA communications; however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.

    Nature Publishes Peer-Reviewed Replication of the “Cognitive Debt” EEG Study

    Will the journal Nature (or a sister title in the Nature portfolio) publish a peer-reviewed replication confirming the key EEG findings on reduced brain-network connectivity in LLM-assisted essay writing on or before 19 June 2026? In other words, using AI Models makes you dumb. This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if an article appearing in any Nature-branded research journal (e.g., Nature Human Behaviour, Nature Neuroscience) and dated on or before the Event Date Close explicitly states it is a replication or direct extension of Kosmyna et al.’s study and reports statistically significant confirmation of the original connectivity gap between LLM, Search-Engine, and Brain-only groups. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be the published article itself; however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.

    Kim Jong Un’s Straw-Hat Reappearance Becomes State-TV Meme

    Will Korean Central Television broadcast new footage of Kim Jong Un wearing the same wide-brim straw hat he brandished during the ill-fated destroyer launch on or before November 15 2025? This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if KCTV airs fresh video (not archival) dated on or before the Event Date Close that clearly shows Kim Jong Un wearing the straw hat—whether aboard a vessel, on a farm inspection, or at any public event. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to “No.” The primary source will be KCTV broadcasts archived by NK News or Open Source NK; however a consensus of credible analysts may also be used.

    Matches Mexican Primera League 2025-2026

    Winner of each match of the Matches Mexican Primera League 2025-2026

    Winner Mexican Primera League 2025-2026

    Which team will win the Winner Mexican Primera League 2025-2026

    Matches English Premier League 2025-2026

    Winner of each match of the Matches English Premier League 2025-2026

    Princess of Wales Makes a Wimbledon Centre-Court Comeback

    Wil, appear in the Royal Box on Centre Court during the 2025 Wimbledon Championships (either the men’s or women’s singles final) after skipping Royal Ascot? This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if the All England Lawn Tennis Club, Kensington Palace, or the BBC publishes official images or a press release dated on or before the Event Date Close showing the Princess of Wales seated in the Royal Box during either singles final. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the AELTC or Kensington Palace; however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.

    Citgo Auction Draws a Winning Bid Above $12 Billion

    Will the Delaware court-supervised auction of PDV Holding shares culminate in a final winning bid exceeding US $12 billion before the court’s scheduled confirmation hearing in August 2025? This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if a filing on the federal docket (Case 1:17-mc-00151-LPS) or an official court notice dated on or before the Event Date Close discloses a top qualified bid of $12,000,000,001 or higher for the Citgo-holding parent. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be documents posted on the U.S. District Court’s PACER system; however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used.

    Neodymium-Oxide Spot Price Tops $130 / kg on Asian Metals Index

    This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if an Asian Metals, Argus, or Fastmarkets publication dated on or before the Event Date Close quotes the benchmark China domestic neodymium-oxide spot price at ≥ $130 /kg. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to “No.” The primary source will be price assessments from recognized metals-market publishers; however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.

    Ford Shutters a Second U.S. Vehicle Plant Over Magnet Shortages Will Ford Motor Co. be forced to idle any additional U.S. assembly plant for at least

    Will Ford Motor Co. be forced to idle any additional U.S. assembly plant for at least five consecutive working days because of rare-earth-magnet shortages before The Event Date Close? This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if a Ford press release, SEC filing, or credible business-press report dated on or before the Event Date Close confirms that a Ford assembly facility (other than the Chicago Explorer plant idled in May 2025) was shut for ≥ 5 straight workdays explicitly due to a shortage of rare-earth magnets. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Ford Motor Co.; however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.

    U.S. Treasury Publicly Endorses $45 Cap After Months of Resistance

    Will the U.S. Treasury issue written guidance or a press statement supporting a $45-per-barrel price cap on Russian oil before The Event Date Close? This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if Treasury, OFAC, or Treasury Secretary statements dated on or before the Event Date Close explicitly back a reduction of the cap to $45 (or lower). If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to “No.” The primary source will be U.S. Treasury publications; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used.

    Winner English Premiership Rugby 2025-2026

    Which team will win the Winner English Premiership Rugby 2025-2026

    G7 Slashes Russian Oil Price Cap to $45 a Barrel

    Will the Group-of-Seven bow to European pressure and formally cut the ceiling on Russian seaborne crude to $45 per barrel (down from $60) in a joint communiqué or legal instrument before September 30 2025? This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if an official G7 leaders’ statement, finance-ministers communiqué, or member-government legal notice dated on or before the Event Date Close sets the maximum price for Russian crude at $45. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to “No.” The primary source will be a G7 document or any member’s implementing regulation; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.

    Expedia Report Shows Global Average Seat 11A Upcharge ≥ US $20

    Will an Expedia Group “Air Travel Trends” or equivalent data release reveal that the average worldwide surcharge to pre-select seat 11A across tracked airlines has reached US $20 or more before the Event Date Close? This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if an Expedia-published report (PDF, blog post, or media kit) dated on or before the Event Date Close states that the mean fee to reserve seat 11A globally is ≥ US $20. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Expedia Group, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.

    Matches Italian Serie A 2025-2026

    Winner of each match of the Matches Italian Serie A 2025-2026

    Northrop Grumman Clinches Lead Interceptor Design Contract for Golden Dome

    Will the Missile Defense Agency (or U.S. Space Force) select Northrop Grumman Corp. as prime contractor for the lead space-based interceptor design under Golden Dome before September 15 2025? This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if an official DoD press release, Federal Acquisition notice, or Northrop Grumman investor disclosure dated on or before the Event Date Close states that Northrop Grumman has been awarded the principal design/development contract for space-based interceptors within the Golden Dome program. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be Department of Defense announcements; however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.

    SpaceX Wins ≥ $2.5 Billion Launch Deal for Golden Dome Interceptors

    Will the U.S. Space Force or Missile Defense Agency award SpaceX launch contracts totaling $2.5 billion or more specifically tagged to the Golden Dome program before the Event Date Close? This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if an official Pentagon contract announcement, SAM.gov notice, or SEC filing dated on or before the Event Date Close identifies SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) as the recipient of Golden Dome-related launch services worth ≥ $2.5 billion USD in aggregate. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be Department of Defense contract releases; however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.

    Congress Green-Lights ≥ $5 Billion for “Golden Dome” Prototype Phase

    Will the 119 th Congress tuck at least $5 billion in initial procurement or RDT&E funding for the Golden Dome space-based missile-defense shield into the FY 2026 National Defense Authorization Act (or any supplemental defense spending bill) passed on or before the Event Date Close? This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if the enrolled version of an NDAA or supplemental defense appropriation signed into law on or before the Event Date Close contains a clearly labeled Golden Dome or space-based interceptor line-item of $5 billion USD or more (budget authority). If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be the text of U.S. public law or the Congressional Record; however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.

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