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Events

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    Congressional Request for AutoPen Signature Verification for Biden

    Will a member of Congress demand verification of President Biden’s signatures on key documents? Picture the political chess game as concerns about autopen usage surface—bet on whether such a request will be made before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a member of Congress has formally requested verification of President Biden’s signatures on official documents, citing concerns about autopen usage, before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official congressional statements or credible media reports. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.

    Elon Musk Bids to Acquire Chrome from Google

    Will the tech titan Elon Musk add Chrome to his empire, merging browsing with his bold vision? Imagine surfing the web with a Muskian twist—bet on whether Google will sell Chrome to Elon Musk before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Google has sold Chrome to Elon Musk before the Event Date Close to abide by the DOJ divestment order. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The announcement of Bid does not reflect the close of the transaction which will be subject to FTC and DOJ approvals among many other Regulatory Bodies. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from Google or Elon Musk's companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.

    Ambani Family Acquires Majority Stake in Oval Invincibles

    Will the Ambani empire go all-in on English cricket? Picture India's richest family taking full control of the Oval Invincibles—bet on whether they'll secure a majority stake before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Ambani family has acquired a majority stake (over 50%) in the Oval Invincibles before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from the Ambani family or the ECB, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.

    The Hundred League Expands to Include New Teams

    Will The Hundred league hit a six by adding new teams to its roster? Imagine cricket fever spreading as fresh franchises join the fray—bet on whether the league will announce an expansion before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that The Hundred league has announced the addition of new teams before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "No", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from the England and Wales Cricket Board (ECB), however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.

    Congress Passes Bill to Make Standard Time Permanent

    Will lawmakers finally sync up to scrap the clock change, locking America into standard time year-round? Picture kids not trudging to school in the dark—bet on whether Congress will pass a bill to make standard time permanent before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Congress has passed a bill to make standard time permanent before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official congressional records, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.

    Elon Musk Reveals What Son X Said to Trump

    Did Elon Musk’s toddler son X whisper a secret to Trump that’s got the internet buzzing? Bet on whether Musk will spill the beans on X’s Oval Office chatter before the Event Date Close—imagine the Tesla titan turning toddler talk into headline gold! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Elon Musk reveals what his son X said to Donald Trump before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.

    China's New World Development Defaults on Debt

    Will Hong Kong’s iconic New World Development crumble under the weight of its debts before the Event Date Close? With bonds in distress and assets on the block, bet on whether this real estate giant will fall! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that New World Development has defaulted on its debt obligations before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from New World Development or financial regulators, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.

    China Vanke Co. Avoids Default

    Will China Vanke Co., one of China's last real-estate titans, dodge the default bullet before the Event Date Close? With Beijing’s unprecedented rescue—taking operational control and eyeing a $6.8 billion lifeline—Vanke’s fighting to survive the property crisis. Bet on whether this giant stays afloat or sinks under debt’s crushing weight! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that China Vanke Co. has not defaulted on its debt obligations before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from China Vanke Co. or Chinese regulatory bodies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.

    Home Sales Rebound in China

    Can Xi’s stimulus firepower resurrect China’s housing market before the year’s end? After years of slump, Beijing’s betting big on a revival. Wager on whether China’s new home sales volume will surge by at least 10% year-over-year in any single month of 2025, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). Will buyers storm the gates, or will the property sector stay a ghost town? Event Outcome: This bet will settle to "Yes" if official data from China’s National Bureau of Statistics confirms that the year-over-year sales volume of newly built commercial residential buildings (measured in square meters) increases by at least 10% in any single month between January and December 2025, compared to the same month in 2024. Settlement to "No": If no such increase is recorded by the Event Date Close (December 31, 2025), or if it becomes impossible for the condition to be met (e.g., data reporting ceases), the outcome will settle to "No." Primary Data Source: The official monthly or annual "National Real Estate Development and Sales" report from China’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), accessible at http://www.stats.gov.cn/english/. If NBS data is delayed or unavailable, a consensus of credible secondary sources (e.g., Reuters, Bloomberg, or China Real Estate Information Corp [CREIS]) reporting NBS figures may be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on Data from a credible reporting source.

    First FZero Hypercar Sold by Rodin Cars

    Will Rodin Cars turbocharge its legacy by selling the first FZero hypercar, a 360-mph beast born in New Zealand’s wilds? Picture a billionaire peeling out in this Batmobile lookalike—bet on whether this milestone screeches across the finish line before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Rodin Cars has sold its first FZero hypercar before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Rodin Cars, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.

    Rodin Cars Enters FIA World Endurance Championship

    Will David Dicker’s Rodin Cars roar into the FIA World Endurance Championship, trading F1 dreams for endurance glory? Imagine the Kiwi backcountry buzzing as Dicker’s machines hit the global stage—bet on whether Rodin Cars will officially enter a car in the championship before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Rodin Cars has entered a car in the FIA World Endurance Championship before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the FIA or Rodin Cars, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.

    Will SpaceX Announce a Crewed Mars Mission by 2025

    Elon Musk’s got Trump’s ear and Mars in his sights—will SpaceX steal NASA’s thunder? Bet on whether SpaceX announces a crewed Mars mission before the Event Date Close, leaving Artemis in the lunar dust. Could Musk’s Red Planet dreams blast off sooner than we think? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that SpaceX has announced a crewed mission to Mars before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from SpaceX, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.

    Will the US 2yr to 10yr Yield Curve Invert for 30 Days?

    The yield curve inversion has everyone talking—is it a recession red flag or just a false alarm? Bet on whether the 2-year Treasury yield will stay higher than the 10-year yield for 30 days at any time before the end of 2025. Will the bond market’s mood swing hold, or will it flip back to normal? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if the US 2-year to 10-year yield curve remains inverted (2-year yield > 10-year yield) for an entire 30-day period after the event starts. If the yield curve uninverts at any point during that time, the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the US Department of the Treasury, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.

    Instant Coffee Wins on The View's Blind Taste Test by end of 2025?

    The View is known for its lively segments and celebrity guests. Will they feature a blind taste test between premium instant coffee such as Swift Coffee or Cometeer and freshly-brewed coffee, and will the instant coffee impress the panel and audience? Bet on whether instant coffee will be declared the winner on The View before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a premium instant coffee has won a blind taste test against freshly-brewed coffee on The View before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from The View or ABC, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.

    Swift Coffee teams Up with Starbucks by end of 2025?

    Swift Coffee is already partnering with well-known roasters, but could they score a deal with the biggest fish in the pond? Bet on whether Swift will announce a partnership with Starbucks to produce an instant coffee line before the Event Date Close. Imagine your favorite Starbucks blend, just add water! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Swift Coffee has partnered with Starbucks for an instant coffee product before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Swift Coffee or Starbucks, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.

    Amorim’s Last Stand: Will Manchester United Sack Their Manager Before 2025 Ends?

    Ruben Amorim’s hot seat is sizzling as Manchester United’s losses pile up and fans chant for change. With a $14.5 million price tag to hire him, will the club cut its losses again? Bet on whether United will axe their manager before the 2025 curtain falls! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Ruben Amorim has been sacked as Manchester United’s manager before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Manchester United, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.

    Will MLB Cap Salaries Before 2026? Baseball's Billion-Dollar Question:

    With the Dodgers’ payroll soaring to nearly $400 million, the debate over baseball’s economic system is heating up. Teams like the Diamondbacks and Padres are struggling to keep pace without a salary cap. Will MLB announce a plan to implement a salary cap before the end of 2025? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Major League Baseball has announced a plan to implement a salary cap before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Major League Baseball, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.

    Padres Power Play: New Owner to Steer San Diego's Ship by 2025?

    The San Diego Padres are navigating choppy waters with ownership disputes and financial recalibrations. After the passing of owner Peter Seidler, the team is in flux. Will a new controlling owner emerge to guide the Padres before the end of 2025? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a new controlling owner for the San Diego Padres has been announced before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the San Diego Padres or MLB, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.

    Dodgers Dynasty: Will LA's $400M Juggernaut Crush the NL West Again in 2025?

    The Los Angeles Dodgers have dominated the NL West, winning it 11 times in the last 12 seasons. With a record payroll nearing $400 million, they’re the team to beat. But can the upstart Diamondbacks or the Padres dethrone them? Bet on whether the Dodgers will clinch the division title once more in 2025. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Los Angeles Dodgers have won the NL West division in the 2025 MLB season before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Major League Baseball, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.

    Alex Cooper's NWSL Game Attendance

    Will the "Gen Z whisperer" Alex Cooper grace at least 10 NWSL games with her presence during the 2025 season? Bet on whether Cooper will be spotted at enough matches to make her sponsorship deal shine—imagine her sipping Unwell Hydration sideline with fans chanting her name! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Alex Cooper has attended at least 10 NWSL games during the 2025 season before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the NWSL or Unwell Hydration, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.

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