Spencer Arrighetti’s strikeout mojo is unreal—will he grind out 150+ innings in 2025? Bet on this Astros young gun proving he’s got the stamina to match his electric arm! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Spencer Arrighetti has pitched 150 or more innings in the 2025 MLB season before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official MLB statistics, however a consensus of credible sports reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a player's performance statistic from a credible reporting source.
Can Gavin Williams, the Guardians’ flame-throwing phenom, punch out 200+ batters in 2025? With a fastball that screams to the plate faster than almost anyone’s, bet on this extension king racking up Ks like a video game cheat code! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Gavin Williams has recorded 200 or more strikeouts in the 2025 MLB season before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official MLB statistics, however a consensus of credible sports reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a player's performance statistic from a credible reporting source.
Will Germany flex its fiscal muscles and boost military spending beyond 2% of GDP? Bet on whether Berlin will arm up in response to Trump's tough talk! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Germany has officially allocated military spending exceeding 2% of GDP for the fiscal year 2025 If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the German Ministry of Defense or Federal Ministry of Finance, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Description: Gold’s holding at $2,900—will it climb to $3,500 before the Event Close Date? Picture a steady ascent fueled by relentless uncertainty or market shocks—bet on this golden ticket to riches! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the spot price of gold (XAU/USD) closes at or above $3,500 per ounce on any trading day before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official closing prices from COMEX or LBMA, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the closing price of gold from a credible reporting
Description: Gold’s perched at $2,900—will it slide to $2,500 before the EVENT DATE CLOSE? Envision a slow bleed as economic calm or policy shifts melt this metal’s luster—bet on whether the glitter fades! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the spot price of gold (XAU/USD) closes at or below $2,500 per ounce on any trading day before the EVENT DATE CLOSE. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official closing prices from COMEX or LBMA, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the closing price of gold from a credible reporting source.
Description: Inflation inferno incoming? Ray Dalio warns of a debt crisis—will prices skyrocket to 5% as the US economy teeters? Bet on whether the annual inflation rate hits 5% before the Event Date Close and ride the wave of economic drama! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the US annual inflation rate reaches or exceeds 5% before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, however a consensus of credible financial reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the US inflation rate from a credible reporting source.
Description: From city hall to the cell block? Denver's mayor has vowed to defy federal immigration crackdowns, even if it means jail time. Bet on whether Uncle Sam calls his bluff and slaps the cuffs on Johnston before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if credible reporting sources confirm that Mayor Mike Johnston has been arrested or detained by federal authorities related to immigration policies before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from federal agencies or Denver city officials, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will the S&P 500 index plunge below 5,000 points before the end of September 2025? With recession fears and trade war anxieties rattling markets, wager on whether the benchmark index will crash to this low by the Event Date Close. Will Wall Street take a tariff-fueled tumble? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if the S&P 500 closes below 5,000 points on any trading day before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official market data, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on Market Data.
Description: Will a big-name tech giant like Apple or Nvidia seal a blockbuster contract with TSMC’s Arizona fabs? Imagine CEOs shaking hands, supply chains shifting, and the U.S. chip game changing forever—bet on whether a major partnership is announced before the EVENT DATE CLOSE! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a major tech company (e.g., Apple, Nvidia, AMD, Qualcomm, or Broadcom) has announced a significant contract or partnership with TSMC's Arizona operations before the EVENT DATE CLOSE. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from TSMC or the partnering company, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Description: Will President Trump slam the brakes on the soda ban wave crashing his Diet Coke dreams? Picture the Donald, red button in hand, nixing the USDA’s approval to keep his beloved fizz flowing for SNAP users—bet on whether he’ll flex his veto power to protect soda before the Event Date Close! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that President Trump has intervened to block a USDA-approved restriction on soda purchases with SNAP benefits before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Description: Russia’s been flexing its muscles in the Baltic Sea, and Gotland Island—Sweden’s strategically vital outpost—is right in the crosshairs. Will Moscow stage a provocative military exercise (air, sea, or land) within 50 miles of Gotland ? Bet on whether Putin’s forces will test Sweden’s defenses with a dramatic show of force near this geopolitical hotspot! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Russian military aircraft or vessels have entered Swedish airspace or territorial waters without authorization before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the Swedish Armed Forces or the Swedish government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Description: Will Shell surprise the world and cling to its chemicals business? Picture the energy titan defying the odds, keeping its U.S. and European plants instead of cashing out—bet on whether Shell will announce it’s retaining these assets before the Event Date Close, flipping the script on Wall Street! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Shell has announced it will retain its chemicals assets in the U.S. and Europe before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Shell, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Description: Bet on whether Terrell will be officially added to Trump's Supreme Court shortlist before the Event Date Close! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Leo Terrell has been added to the Supreme Court shortlist before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the White House or the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Cincinnati Bengals sign Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Trey Hendrickson to long-term contracts before Week 1 of the 2025 NFL season. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Cincinnati Bengals, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the average price for a dozen grade-A eggs in the U.S. exceeds $10 before November 1, 2025. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky wears a suit and former U.S. President Donald Trump wears golf attire (e.g., polo shirt, golf pants) during their public meeting before December 1, 2025. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Ukrainian government or the Trump Organization, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Mixue Group's stock price on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange drops to HK$101.25 or lower (50% of the IPO price of HK$202.50) at any point before September 3, 2025. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Travis Kelce ends his relationship with Taylor Swift and appears in a Goldfish Crackers ad taking a playful jab at the breakup before December 31, 2025. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Pepperidge Farm (Goldfish) or Kelce’s team, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that President Trump and Elon Musk visit the Fort Knox gold depository before September 30, 2025, and Musk livestreams it on X, alleging a gold shortfall or conspiracy. All parts of the Event Outcome must Settle to "Yes" for the Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes". Part A: President Trump and Elon Musk visit the Fort Knox gold depository together. Part B: Musk livestreams it on X Part C: Musk alleges a gold shortfall or conspiracy about the numbers or the accounting at Fort Knox If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from X Corp or the U.S. Department of the Treasury, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that an audit of Fort Knox, completed before December 31, 2025, finds that the gold reserves are overstated by at least 5%—roughly 7.365 million ounces—due to undisclosed errors or fraud. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the U.S. Department of the Treasury or congressional oversight committees, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.