Events
Perplexity wins the bid to buy TikTok US Unit
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that TikTok will be sold to Perplexity on or before the Event Close Date. Otherwise, this Event Outcome will Settle to "No". If it becomes impossible for TikTok to be sold to PerPlexity, this Event Outcome may immediately Settle to "No" The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from TikTok and Perplexity, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the Announcement from a credible reporting source, and does not refer to the Close of the Transaction which may be subject to FTC Approval among other Agencies of The United States Government.
President Trumps announces a new Nimitz-class aircraft carrier
This Event Outcome will be settled as "Yes”, if President Trump, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth or a duly appointed representative of The United States Government, confirms plans to build a new Nimitz-class aircraft carrier before the Event Close Date. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Agencies of The United States Government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source.
California Gov Gavin Newsom Resigns Santa Ynez Reservoir bone dry.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that California Gov Gavin Newsom has resigned by or before the Event Close Date. Resignation can take the form of leaving for Personal Reason which is “undefined". Nonetheless, leaving for "Personal Reason" would qualify as a resignation and thus would still Settle to a “Yes”. However, if it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from The State of California however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Putin Resigns
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if credible reporting sources confirm that Vladimir Putin no longer holds the position of President or Prime Minister in Russia before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The default Settlement to the Event Outcome is "Yes" if there is any change in the current status. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Government of Russia, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
RF Kennedy Jr Donald Trump bans fluoride in drinking water
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes", if an Agency of The United States Government announces and or specifically The US Department Health and Human Services, known as hhs.gov enacts a ban on fluoride in drinking water on or before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Agencies of The United States Government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source.
Trump nominated for Nobel Peace Prize
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that President Donald Trump has been nominated for a Nobel Peace Prize on or before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from The Nobel Foundation, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting
Prince Harry and Meghan Markle move back to England ran out of money
This Event Outcome will be settled as "Yes” if credible reporting sources announce and or confirm that Prince Harry and Meghan Markle have decided to move back to England on or before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from The British Royal Family, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used.. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Mayor Karen Bass Resigns due to fire budget cut in Los Angeles
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Mayor Karen Bass of Los Angeles has resigned by or before the Event Close Date. Resignation can take the form of leaving for Personal Reason which is “undefined". Nonetheless, leaving for "Personal Reason" would qualify as a resignation and thus would still Settle to a “Yes”. However, if it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from The City of Los Angeles, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Confirmed Cases of H5 bird flu in The United States exceed 10,000.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes", if an Agency of The United States Government announces or specifically the CDC (Center for Disease Control) confirms that the number Cases of H5 bird flu in The United States has exceeded 10,000 on or before the Event Close Date. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Agencies of The United States Government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source.
Sir Keir Rodney Starmer, Prime Minister of the UK, resigns
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Sir Keir Rodney Starmer, Prime Minister of the UK has resigned his position as the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Government of England, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement and not the date of dissolution of Parliament.
Elon Musk bids to buy Liverpool Football Club
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity controlled by him, enters into an agreement to acquire the Liverpool Football Club before the Event Close Date. . Otherwise, this Event Outcome will Settle to "No". If it becomes impossible for Liverpool Football Club to be sold, this Event Outcome may immediately Settle to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome is official information from Elon Musk and/or Liverpool Football Club, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Nicolas Sarkozy found not guilty
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if credible reporting source confirms that former French President Nicolas Sarkozy is found not guilty of corruption, embezzlement and knowingly taking funds for his election campaign from the late Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi before the Event Close Date. Former French President Nicolas Sarkozy must be acquitted on all charges for this to Settle "Yes". If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from The Ministry of Justice in France, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
King Charles III to dissolve parliament in England
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes", if King Charles III of England announces that he has dissolved Parliament. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Government of England, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement.
Justin Baldoni and Blake Lively: Bryan Freedman releases every text message
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if Bryan Freedman, who is the Attorney for Justin Baldoni releases every text message in his possession between Blake Lively and Justin Baldoni in relation to their suit for $250 million against the New York Times for libel. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Attorney for Justin Baldoni, who is Bryan Freedman.
The United States and Denmark agree for Greenland to become a Territory of The United States.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes", if an agency of The United States Government announces that The United States and Denmark have agreed for Greenland to become a territory of The United States The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from The Government of Denmark and Agencies of The United States Government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source, and not the closing of the transaction.
TikTok sold to OpenAI
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that TikTok will be sold to OpenAI. Otherwise, this Event Outcome will Settle to "No". If it becomes impossible for TikTok to be sold to OpenAI, this Event Outcome may immediately Settle to "No" The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from TikTok and OpenAI, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the Announcement from a credible reporting source, and does not refer to the Close of the Transaction which may be subject to FTC Approval among other Agencies of The United States Government.
Former President Barack and Michelle Obama announce their marital separation.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Former President Barack and Michelle Obama are separated. Otherwise, this Event Outcome will Settle to "No". If it becomes impossible for Former President Barack and Michelle Obama to become officially or unofficially separated, this Event Outcome will settle to “No”. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Former President Barack and Michelle Obama, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source.
US Government drops below 2.9 million employees as reported by dataset CEU9091000001
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes", if an Agency of The United States Government and or specifically the St. Louis Federal Reserve confirms or publicly announces that All Federal Employees as reported under the dataset CEU9091000001 drops below 2.9 million before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Agencies of The United States Government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source.
Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC ?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity controlled by him, enters into an agreement to acquire MSNBC by Event Close Date. An announcement by Elon Musk, MSNBC, or the acquiring entity will qualify for a "Yes", regardless of whether the acquisition or launch is ultimately completed which will likely be subject to FTC approval. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome is official information from Elon Musk and/or MSNBC, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Trump will announce planning for a bust of himself on Mount Rushmore?
Will President Trump make history by adding his likeness to the iconic Mount Rushmore? Imagine the controversy and the headlines—bet on whether Trump will announce plans to carve his bust into the mountain before the Event Date Close. Make a Prediction Now! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that President Donald Trump has announced plans to carve his bust into Mount Rushmore before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from President Trump or his representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
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