Events
Mets' Manhattan Miracle: Will the Amazins' Clinch the NL East in 2025?
The New York Mets, bolstered by stars like Juan Soto and Pete Alonso, are aiming to paint the town orange and blue. With a revamped roster and high hopes after reaching the NLCS in 2024, can they outmuscle the competition and seize the NL East crown in 2025? Bet on whether the Mets will reign supreme in their division before the Event Close Date. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if the New York Mets win the NL East division in the 2025 MLB season, as confirmed by official MLB standings. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from MLB, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the New York Mets winning the NL East division in 2025
Will OpenAI Launches PhD-Level Agents for $20,000 per Month?
Will OpenAI, the company behind ChatGPT, start charging $20,000 per month for their advanced AI agents that are PhD-level in capabilities? This would be a major move in the AI industry, making high-end AI assistance accessible to those who can afford it. Bet on whether this pricing model becomes reality before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that OpenAI has launched a PhD-level agent subscription for $20,000 per month before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from OpenAI (openai.com/blog), but a consensus of credible reporting sources such as TechCrunch and Wired may also be used.
Judge's Gavel: Will Aaron Slam Over 50 Homers in 2025?
Aaron Judge, the Yankees’ towering slugger, has the power to turn baseballs into souvenirs. After a rollercoaster of injuries and a 62-homer season in 2022, can he reclaim his throne by smashing over 50 home runs in 2025? Place your bets on whether Judge will bring the hammer down before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if Aaron Judge hits more than 50 home runs in the 2025 MLB regular season, as confirmed by official MLB statistics. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from MLB, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on Aaron Judge hitting over 50 home runs in the 2025 MLB regular season.
Orioles' October Odyssey: Will Baltimore's Birds Soar into the 2025 Playoffs?
The Baltimore Orioles, armed with a flock of young talent like Gunnar Henderson and Adley Rutschman, are ready to take flight. After breaking their playoff drought with appearances in the last two years, can they claw their way back into October baseball in 2025? Bet on whether the O’s will make the postseason before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if the Baltimore Orioles qualify for the 2025 MLB playoffs, as confirmed by official MLB standings or announcements. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from MLB, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the Baltimore Orioles making the 2025 MLB playoffs.
Cincinnati Reds Return to the Playoffs
After years of struggle, will the Cincinnati Reds finally break through and make the 2025 MLB playoffs? With a healthy roster and stars like Elly De La Cruz, bet on whether the Reds can turn potential into postseason glory before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Cincinnati Reds have qualified for the 2025 MLB playoffs before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official MLB standings and playoff announcements, however a consensus of credible sports reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a team's playoff qualification from a credible reporting source.
Will Sir Richard Branson’s Virgin Group make a formal bid to acquire Amtrak
Will Sir Richard Branson’s Virgin Group make a formal bid to acquire Amtrak before the Event Date Close? Bet on whether this billionaire’s next big move is a U.S. rail takeover—could Branson’s empire ride the rails? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Virgin Group has submitted a formal bid to acquire Amtrak before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Virgin Group or Amtrak, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Brightline Snags Amtrak Routes
Could Brightline, the slick private rail operator, take over Amtrak’s tracks and bring high-speed vibes to the U.S.? Bet on whether Brightline is planning to bid or has bid to run the Amtrak routes before the Event Date Close—a juicy showdown of public vs. private rail! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Brightline is planning to bid or has bid for the passenger services on routes previously managed by Amtrak before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Amtrak or Brightline, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Mavericks Fire GM Nico Harrison
Is Nico Harrison’s Luka trade blunder the final straw? Bet on the Mavericks axing their GM before the 2025-2026 season kicks off—will Dallas demand a new leader by the Event Date Close? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Dallas Mavericks have hired a new general manager, replacing Nico Harrison, before the start of the 2025-2026 NBA season. If Nico Harrison leaves for Personal Reason, which are undefined, whether a replacement has been announced or not at this time, this will qualify for Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes". If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from the Dallas Mavericks, however a consensus of credible sports reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a team's front office change from a credible reporting source.
Mavericks Fans Ditch Season Tickets dropping over 10% year to year
With Luka gone and the team in shambles, will Mavericks fans abandon ship? Bet on season ticket sales dropping over 10% for 2025-2026 before the Event Date Close—a revolt in Dallas! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Dallas Mavericks’ season ticket sales for the 2025-2026 season have decreased by more than 10% compared to the previous season before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the Dallas Mavericks or financial reports, however a consensus of credible sports business reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a team's financial performance from a credible reporting source.
Luka Takes Lakers to the Finals
Will Luka Dončić, now in L.A., lead the Lakers to the NBA Finals in his debut season? Bet on this blockbuster trade paying off with a purple-and-gold championship run before the Event Date Close! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Los Angeles Lakers have reached the 2024-2025 NBA Finals before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official NBA playoff results, however a consensus of credible sports reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a team's playoff performance from a credible reporting source.
Mavericks Sneak into the Playoffs After Chaos
Can the Mavericks, battered by injuries and the Dončić trade, still limp into the playoffs via the Play-In? Bet on Dallas turning heartbreak into a gritty postseason berth before the Event Date Close! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Dallas Mavericks have qualified for the 2024-2025 NBA playoffs before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official NBA standings and playoff announcements, however a consensus of credible sports reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a team's playoff qualification from a credible reporting source.
Tylor Megill Wins 10+ Games in 2025
Tylor Megill’s got a sinker, splitter, and a whole bag of tricks—will he snag 10+ wins in 2025? Bet on this Mets sleeper turning his deep arsenal into a victory parade! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Tylor Megill has recorded 10 or more wins in the 2025 MLB season before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official MLB statistics, however a consensus of credible sports reporting sources may also be used. Definitions: The official MLB glossary defines a win as the pitcher of record when the team takes the lead for good, with exceptions for starting pitchers needing five innings and relief pitcher effectiveness. Baseball scoring rules and forums, such as Stump The Ump, provide practical examples, like a pitcher giving up a run that puts the opposing team ahead, leading to a loss, and the win criteria for starters and reliever. A pitcher's win in MLB is defined by being the pitcher of record when the team takes the lead for good, with specific rules for starting (five innings minimum) and relief pitchers (effectiveness judged by the scorer). For betting purposes, Tylor Megill's 10+ wins in 2025 will be tracked via official MLB statistics, ensuring a clear and verifiable outcome. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a player's performance statistic from a credible reporting source.
José Soriano Posts Sub-3.50 ERA in 2025
José Soriano’s slider and changeup are pure filth—will he carve out a sub-3.50 ERA in 2025? Bet on this Angels breakout turning batters into pretzels with his nasty stuff! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that José Soriano has an ERA of 3.50 or lower in the 2025 MLB season before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official MLB statistics, however a consensus of credible sports reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a player's performance statistic from a credible reporting source.
Spencer Arrighetti Throws 150+ Innings in 2025
Spencer Arrighetti’s strikeout mojo is unreal—will he grind out 150+ innings in 2025? Bet on this Astros young gun proving he’s got the stamina to match his electric arm! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Spencer Arrighetti has pitched 150 or more innings in the 2025 MLB season before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official MLB statistics, however a consensus of credible sports reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a player's performance statistic from a credible reporting source.
Gavin Williams Strikes Out 200+ Batters in 2025
Can Gavin Williams, the Guardians’ flame-throwing phenom, punch out 200+ batters in 2025? With a fastball that screams to the plate faster than almost anyone’s, bet on this extension king racking up Ks like a video game cheat code! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Gavin Williams has recorded 200 or more strikeouts in the 2025 MLB season before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official MLB statistics, however a consensus of credible sports reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a player's performance statistic from a credible reporting source.
Russian Stocks Rocket
With Russia’s stock market already buzzing from Trump’s pro-Russian pivot, will it surge 10% or more before the EVENT DATE CLOSE? Bet on whether this economic rollercoaster keeps climbing! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the MOEX Russia Index has increased by 10% or more from its closing value on March 5, 2025, before the EVENT DATE CLOSE. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official data from the Moscow Exchange, however a consensus of credible financial reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the performance of the MOEX Russia Index from a credible reporting source.
Will Germany Increase Military Spending by Over 2% of GDP?
Will Germany flex its fiscal muscles and boost military spending beyond 2% of GDP? Bet on whether Berlin will arm up in response to Trump's tough talk! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Germany has officially allocated military spending exceeding 2% of GDP for the fiscal year 2025 If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the German Ministry of Defense or Federal Ministry of Finance, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will the German Parliament Approve the Debt Brake Relaxation?
Will Germany's Bundestag break the debt brake to fund a military and infrastructure boom? Bet on this high-stakes vote that could reshape Europe's economic landscape! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the German Bundestag has passed legislation to relax the debt brake before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Bundestag, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used.
Will Iceberg A23a break up? Will it shatter ?
The world's largest iceberg, A23a, is stuck near South Georgia. Will it shatter into smaller bergs before the EVENT DATE CLOSE, sending a fleet of icy hazards into shipping lanes? Bet on whether this frozen titan cracks under pressure! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Iceberg A23a has broken into multiple significant pieces before the EVENT DATE CLOSE. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the British Antarctic Survey or NASA, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Trump and Kim Jong Un President of North Korea announce intention to Meet In Person before June 30, 2025
With tensions simmering and nuclear talks on ice, will Trump and Kim Jong Un reignite their bromance with a face-to-face summit before the EVENT DATE CLOSE? Bet on whether these two wildcards will announce an intention to shake hands and steal global headlines once more! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that President Trump and Kim Jong Un are planning a meeting before the EVENT DATE CLOSE. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the White House or the North Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
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