Events
NBA Introduces Rule Changes to Reduce Three-Point Attempts Before 2026
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the NBA implements a rule change aimed at reducing the frequency of three-point attempts before the end of the 2026-27 season. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official NBA rule changes, NBA commissioner announcements, or a consensus of credible reporting sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a Sports League Rule Change from a credible reporting source.
Chris Murphy Launches an Official 2028 Presidential Exploratory Committee
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Senator Chris Murphy establishes a formal exploratory committee or announces his intent to run for the U.S. presidency in 2028 before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Senator Murphy’s office, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source
AstroForge’s Odin Spacecraft Successfully Reaches Asteroid 2022 OB5
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that AstroForge’s Odin spacecraft successfully reaches asteroid 2022 OB5 and begins its planned imaging operations before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from AstroForge, NASA, SpaceX and other agencies, but a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Hurricane Index adds Category 6 to Saffir-Simpson scale for storms with wind greater than 180 mph
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that one of the Agencies charged with measuring hurricane wind speed has decided to add a Category 6 to the Saffir-Simpson scale to categorize wind speeds of greater than 180 mph before the Event Date Close. A change in the Saffir-Simpson scale from out of 5 to be out of 10, will result in the Event Outcome Settling to “No”. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the National Hurricane Center or The World Meteorological Organization, however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Category 5 Hurricane is Officially Declared in the Gulf of America during the Summer 2025
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a hurricane reaches Category 5 status during the 2025 summer season before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the National Hurricane Center, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Elon Musk announces intent to re-ipo X at a $50 Billion plus valuation
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Elon Musk’s will bring X.com, formally Twitter, back to the public markets through an IPO at a $50 billion plus valuation before the Event Date Close. This Prediction has two Parts and both parts of the Event Outcome must Settle to "Yes" for the Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes". Part A: Elon Musk announces intent to Raise Public Funds at any valuation equal to or above $50 Billion for x.com Part B: Morgan Stanley and Goldman have been engaged to manage and Co-lead the IPO If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from X, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Apple Reinstates Advanced Data Protection (ADP) for UK iCloud Users
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Apple reintroduces its end-to-end encryption feature (Advanced Data Protection) for iCloud users in the United Kingdom before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Apple, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source
Hackers Demonstrate Real-Time Control of a Smart Mattress Eight Sleep at a Major Security Conference
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that hackers publicly demonstrate remote control of a widely used smart mattress Eight Sleep—showing they can adjust temperatures or otherwise manipulate settings—in a live event before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Conference however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Melania Trump appears solo on the cover of Vanity Fair's U.S. regular Edition
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Melania Trump will appear solo on the cover of Vanity Fair's U.S. Edition in a non special edition and excluding a commemorative edition of first ladies of The United States (FLOTUS) before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Vanity Fair, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Mount Rainier Lahar Detection System issues a public warning for a potential volcanic eruption
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Mount Rainier Lahar Detection System issues a public warning for a potential volcanic eruption before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the United States Geological Survey (USGS), however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
PayPal Honey Settles the Class Action Lawsuit Before the end of December 2025
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that PayPal Honey Settles the Class Action Lawsuit Before the end of December 2025 If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this market will be official information from PayPal, Cotchett, Pitre & Mccarthy, Llp, GamersNexus LLC, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source.
Delta agrees to compensation of greater than $150,000 per Passenger for the flight that flipped over in Toronto Pearson on Monday February. 17, 2025
This Event Outcome will settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Delta Airlines increases its initial compensation offer of $30,000 per passenger to settle on any amount greater than $150,000 per Passenger before the Event Date Close. If the current offer or future offers for compensation remains below the $150,000 threshold, the Event Outcome will Settle to "No". The primary source for this market will be official information from Delta, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. All amounts are stated in USD. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source.
DOGE issues refund check of greater than $1,000 per person as payback for the $55 Billion found through Federal Government Waste from the Biden Era.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes", if President Trump, Elon Musk or an agency of The United States Government announces that the Federal Government will issue a $1,000 check to all registered Tax Payers in The United States before the Event Close Date. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from President Trump, Elon Musk, Karoline Leavitt and or an Agency of The United States Government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source.
Sacha Baron Cohen or Isla Fisher, who will be seen first with a new partner in public?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that either Sacha Baron Cohen or Isla Fisher is seen in public with a new romantic partner before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this market will be paparazzi photos, social media posts, or media reports from reputable or not so reputable entertainment outlets.
Will Ben & Jerry’s Publicly Defy Unilever’s Ban on President Trump Related Posts?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if Ben & Jerry’s or its official social media accounts publicly release a statement, post, or campaign that criticizes or makes a political statement about President Donald Trump before the Event Date Close, despite Unilever’s mandate for silence. If it becomes impossible for this to occur, the Event Outcome may settle immediately to "No". If no such post is made prior to the Spinoff of Ben & Jerry’s from Unilever, this Event Outcome will Settle to "No".
Who will publicly endorse Cordyceps as a performance enhancing supplement
This Event Outcome will settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that one of the following celebrities publicly acknowledges and or endorses the use of cordyceps as a performance-enhancing supplement before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this to occur, the Event Outcome may settle immediately to "No". List of Celebrities: Leonardo DiCaprio Tom Hanks Tom Cruise George Clooney Brad Pitt Johnny Depp Robert Downey Jr. Daniel Craig Richard Gere Jennifer Aniston
10% Stake in N.Y. Giants sold, valuing the team at greater than $12 Billion
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that one of the three approved Private Equity Firms, Arctos Partners, Ares Management and or Sixth Street has acquired a 10% stake in the New York Giants, valuing the team at greater than $12 Billion before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this market will be official information from the New York Giants however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Sam Altman is disposed as CEO of OpenAI
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Sam Altman has resigned his position of CEO of OpenAI before the Event Date Close. If Sam Altman no longer holds the position of CEO at the Event Close Date for any reason, including but not limited to personal reasons, this Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes”. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Bill Pulte head of FHFA announces that Fannie and Freddie will be Privatized
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes", if Bill Pulte as the head of FHFA which is an agency of The United States Government announces that Fannie and Freddie will be Privatized before the Event Close Date. Other parties may be present at the announcement including but not limited to President Donald Trump. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Agencies of The United States Government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement regarding the privatizations of Fannie and Freddie and not who makes the announcement.
DeepSeek banned in the United States
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes", if an agency of The United States Government announces that DeepSeek AI will be banned in The United States before the Event Close Date. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from DeepSeek and Agencies of The United States Government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source, and not cessation of service by DeepSeek to customers in the United States.
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