Events
Travis Kelce Drops Taylor Swift, Scores a Goldfish Ad Before Year-End Bash!
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Travis Kelce ends his relationship with Taylor Swift and appears in a Goldfish Crackers ad taking a playful jab at the breakup before December 31, 2025. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Pepperidge Farm (Goldfish) or Kelce’s team, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Musk’s X Live Feed of Trump at Fort Knox Sparks Gold Scandal Before Fall!
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that President Trump and Elon Musk visit the Fort Knox gold depository before September 30, 2025, and Musk livestreams it on X, alleging a gold shortfall or conspiracy. All parts of the Event Outcome must Settle to "Yes" for the Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes". Part A: President Trump and Elon Musk visit the Fort Knox gold depository together. Part B: Musk livestreams it on X Part C: Musk alleges a gold shortfall or conspiracy about the numbers or the accounting at Fort Knox If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from X Corp or the U.S. Department of the Treasury, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Audit Bombshell: Fort Knox Gold Overcounted 5% in Secret!
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that an audit of Fort Knox, completed before December 31, 2025, finds that the gold reserves are overstated by at least 5%—roughly 7.365 million ounces—due to undisclosed errors or fraud. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the U.S. Department of the Treasury or congressional oversight committees, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Trump Forces Zelenskyy Out with Peace Deal Before July 1st!
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Volodymyr Zelenskyy is no longer Ukraine’s president due to a U.S.-brokered peace agreement with Russia, signed under President Trump’s influence, before July 1, 2025. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the White House or Ukrainian government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
China Launches Full-Scale Taiwan Invasion Before Trump’s Summer Reset!
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that China initiates a full-scale military invasion of Taiwan, involving ground troops landing on Taiwanese soil, before July 1, 2025. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the Taiwanese Ministry of National Defense or the U.S. Department of Defense, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Booz Allen Hamilton Collapses After DOGE Cuts All Contracts
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Booz Allen Hamilton files for bankruptcy or ceases operations due to the complete termination of its U.S. government contracts by the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Booz Allen Hamilton or bankruptcy filings, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Elon Musk’s Efficiency Team Shuts Down Entire HUD Agency
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) is entirely eliminated or consolidated into another agency by Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from HUD or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Kings Court Capital Sells Suzuki Stake as BYD Dominates Asia Market
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Kings Court Capital reduces or sells its Suzuki Motor Corp. stake for any reason one of which may be due to BYD Co.’s electric vehicle dominance impacting Suzuki’s market share in Asia before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Kings Court Capital, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
William Shatner Returns to Space on Blue Origin’s New Shepard at Age 94
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that William Shatner, previously the oldest person to travel to space at age 90 in October 2021, announces his intention to fly again into space on Blue Origin’s New Shepard rocket at age 94 before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Blue Origin, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Smith and Jada Pinkett Smith Announce Divorce or Separation Before end of August 2025
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Will Smith and Jada Pinkett Smith officially announce their divorce before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official court filings, announcements from either party, or major news sources covering celebrity relationships, however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Texas Lawmakers Introduce Emergency Vaccine Mandate in Response to Measles Outbreak
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Texas lawmakers introduce an emergency vaccine mandate bill in response to the ongoing measles outbreak before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official legislative filings, press releases from Texas state officials, or major political news reports, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Under Armour CEO Kevin Plank Sells His Maryland Horse Farm for Less Than $20 Million
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Under Armour CEO Kevin Plank sells his Maryland horse farm for less than $20 million before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official property sale records, listing agent confirmations, or business news reports, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Mr. Beast Officially Secures a $5 Billion Plus Valuation for His Company
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Mr. Beast successfully secures investor funding that values his company at greater than $5 billion before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from MrBeast or the investment firms involved, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Mr. Beast’s Feastables Becomes the #1 Best-Selling Chocolate Brand in the U.S in any month in the next 12 months
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that MrBeast’s chocolate brand, Feastables, surpasses Hershey’s and other competitors to become the #1 best-selling chocolate brand in the U.S. before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official market research reports or major business publications, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Starbucks Announces Plan to add Humanoid Robot Baristas
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Starbucks announces an official plan to add humanoid robots to function as Baristas before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Starbucks, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Amazon Labor Union (ALU) Files Lawsuit Against Amazon on Over Humanoid Robot Workers in warehouses
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Amazon Labor Union (ALU), with or without the International Brotherhood of Teamsters has Filed a Lawsuit Against Amazon on Humanoid Robot Workers in warehouses before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from labor unions or court filings, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Major Cruise Line Reports a Large Norovirus Outbreak Before September 2025
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that another major cruise line (such as Royal Caribbean, Carnival, or Norwegian) experiences a norovirus outbreak affecting at least 50 passengers before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be CDC reports, cruise industry tracking sites, or a consensus of credible health and travel reporting sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Holland America Announces Cancellation of at Least One Cruise Due to Norovirus Before August 2025
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Holland America cancels at least one scheduled cruise departure due to norovirus-related concerns before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official Holland America announcements, cruise industry reports, or a consensus of credible travel and health reporting sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Private Space Company Proposes a Plan to Deflect Asteroid 2024 YR4 Before October 2025
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a private space company (such as SpaceX, Blue Origin, or Rocket Lab) formally announces a plan to deflect asteroid 2024 YR4 before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be space company press releases, scientific proposals, or a consensus of credible technology reporting sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Trump Administration Cancels the $590 Million Moderna Bird Flu Vaccine Contract Before the end of August 2025
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Trump administration formally revokes or cancels the $590 million federal contract awarded to Moderna for bird flu vaccine development before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be U.S. government announcements, Moderna corporate filings, or a consensus of credible business and political reporting sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
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