Events
President Trump confirms that the US Government has confirmed the existence of Alien life outside of Planet Earth
This Event Outcome will be settled as "Yes”, if President Trump “Alone”, confirms that the US Government has determined the existence of Alien Life outside of Planet Earth before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for President Trump, alone, to confirm that the US Government has determined the existence of Alien life outside of Planet Earth, then the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". Definition of Alone: Conversation with a reporter Excludes a press conference or group setting with any members of the US Administration including but not limited to Elon Musk. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from President Trump as the sole Representative of The Untied States Government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the Announcement by President Trump, and no one else regarding Alien Life as Defined.
Taylor Swift puts her Rhode Island Home up for sale known as Holiday House.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if credible reporting source confirms that Taylor Swift lists for sale her Rhode Island Home for sale known as Holiday House before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for Taylor Swift to list this Property for Sale then the Event Outcome will settle to No. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Taylor Swift but a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the Announcement from a credible reporting source.
South Bow Corp decides to resuscitate Keystone XL pipeline running from Canada to the United States
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that South Bow Corp has decided to restart the Keystone XL Pipeline Project running from Canada to the Untied States on or before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from South Bow Corp, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
NBA Championship
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if the team selected wins the 2024-2025 NBA Championship. Otherwise, this Event Outcome will resolve to “No”. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from the NBA.
Who will win the Stanley Cup for the 2024-2025 season?
This Event Outcome shall Settle to “Yes” if the Team wins the 2024–2025 Stanley Cup. Otherwise, it shall Settle to “No.” Furthermore, if it becomes impossible for the Team to win the 2024–2025 Stanley Cup under NHL rules, the Event Outcome shall Settle to “No.” Official information from the NHL will serve as the source for determining the Settlement outcome.
President Trumps announces a new Nimitz-class aircraft carrier
This Event Outcome will be settled as "Yes”, if President Trump, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth or a duly appointed representative of The United States Government, confirms plans to build a new Nimitz-class aircraft carrier before the Event Close Date. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Agencies of The United States Government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source.
California Gov Gavin Newsom Resigns Santa Ynez Reservoir bone dry.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that California Gov Gavin Newsom has resigned by or before the Event Close Date. Resignation can take the form of leaving for Personal Reason which is “undefined". Nonetheless, leaving for "Personal Reason" would qualify as a resignation and thus would still Settle to a “Yes”. However, if it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from The State of California however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Putin Resigns
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if credible reporting sources confirm that Vladimir Putin no longer holds the position of President or Prime Minister in Russia before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The default Settlement to the Event Outcome is "Yes" if there is any change in the current status. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Government of Russia, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
RF Kennedy Jr Donald Trump bans fluoride in drinking water
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes", if an Agency of The United States Government announces and or specifically The US Department Health and Human Services, known as hhs.gov enacts a ban on fluoride in drinking water on or before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Agencies of The United States Government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source.
Trump nominated for Nobel Peace Prize
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that President Donald Trump has been nominated for a Nobel Peace Prize on or before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from The Nobel Foundation, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting
Prince Harry and Meghan Markle move back to England ran out of money
This Event Outcome will be settled as "Yes” if credible reporting sources announce and or confirm that Prince Harry and Meghan Markle have decided to move back to England on or before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from The British Royal Family, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used.. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Mayor Karen Bass Resigns due to fire budget cut in Los Angeles
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Mayor Karen Bass of Los Angeles has resigned by or before the Event Close Date. Resignation can take the form of leaving for Personal Reason which is “undefined". Nonetheless, leaving for "Personal Reason" would qualify as a resignation and thus would still Settle to a “Yes”. However, if it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from The City of Los Angeles, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Sir Keir Rodney Starmer, Prime Minister of the UK, resigns
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Sir Keir Rodney Starmer, Prime Minister of the UK has resigned his position as the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Government of England, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement and not the date of dissolution of Parliament.
Elon Musk bids to buy Liverpool Football Club
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity controlled by him, enters into an agreement to acquire the Liverpool Football Club before the Event Close Date. . Otherwise, this Event Outcome will Settle to "No". If it becomes impossible for Liverpool Football Club to be sold, this Event Outcome may immediately Settle to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome is official information from Elon Musk and/or Liverpool Football Club, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Former President Barack and Michelle Obama announce their marital separation.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Former President Barack and Michelle Obama are separated. Otherwise, this Event Outcome will Settle to "No". If it becomes impossible for Former President Barack and Michelle Obama to become officially or unofficially separated, this Event Outcome will settle to “No”. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Former President Barack and Michelle Obama, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source.
Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC ?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity controlled by him, enters into an agreement to acquire MSNBC by Event Close Date. An announcement by Elon Musk, MSNBC, or the acquiring entity will qualify for a "Yes", regardless of whether the acquisition or launch is ultimately completed which will likely be subject to FTC approval. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome is official information from Elon Musk and/or MSNBC, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Trump will announce planning for a bust of himself on Mount Rushmore?
Will President Trump make history by adding his likeness to the iconic Mount Rushmore? Imagine the controversy and the headlines—bet on whether Trump will announce plans to carve his bust into the mountain before the Event Date Close. Make a Prediction Now! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that President Donald Trump has announced plans to carve his bust into Mount Rushmore before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from President Trump or his representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Trump create a Bitcoin Reserve
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if the US Government announces that it will hold Bitcoin in its Reserves before the Event Close Date. Otherwise, this Event Outcome will Settle to "No". Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves. The primary source for settlement for this Event Outcome will be official information from the US government and/or the US Federal Reserve. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
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