Events
Pope Leo XIV Announce a Trip to The United States and Planned Mass at St. Patrick's Cathedral in New York City
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Pope Leo XIV is planning to visit The United States and celebrate Mass at St. Patrick's Cathedral before the Event Date Close. Context: St. Patrick's Cathedral in New York City is an iconic symbol of Catholicism in America. Previous popes, like John Paul II and Benedict XVI, have held Mass at St. Patrick's Cathedral. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from St. Patrick's Cathedral or the Vatican, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Pope Leo XIV blesses the White Sox and the Cubs for the upcoming Major League Baseball Season.
Pope Leo XIV blesses the White Sox and the Cubs for the upcoming MLB Baseball Season. Context: Pope Leo XIV, formerly Robert Francis Prevost, was elected on May 8, 2025, and is the first American Pope born and raised in Chicago's South Side where the White Sox play at Guaranteed Rate Field or Comiskey Park before it was renamed. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Pope Leo XIV blesses the White Sox and the Cubs before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be reputable news outlets; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
The New Pope: Thin-Crust Pizza? No, thank you! I am from Chicago
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Pope has publicly stated his preference for either thin crust or deep dish pizza before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Vatican or the Pope himself, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source
Hilaria Baldwin publicly acknowledge that her Spanish accent is fake
Will Hilaria Baldwin publicly acknowledge that her Spanish accent is fake? Context: Hilaria Baldwin, born Hillary Lynn Hayward-Thomas on January 6, 1984, in Boston, Massachusetts, is the daughter of David Thomas and Dr. Kathryn Hayward, both American. Her father was born in Nebraska and her mother was born in Massachusetts. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Hilaria Baldwin has publicly acknowledge that her Spanish accent is fake before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be reputable entertainment news outlets; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Fed Decision June 18th Up Down Flat
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members vote on where to set the rate. Traders watch interest rate changes closely as short term interest rates are the primary factor in currency valuation. A higher than expected rate is positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected rate is negative/bearish for the USD. The Federal Reserve will raise, keep flat, or lower Fed Funds for its June 18th FOMC meeting? Current Fed Funds Target is 4.50% https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DFEDTARU
Will Lawmakers Introduce Bill to Block Alcatraz Prison Plan?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a bill or resolution has been introduced in the California State Legislature to oppose or block the reopening of Alcatraz as a prison before the Event Date Close. Context: Trump’s May 5, 2025, proposal to reopen Alcatraz as a prison has drawn sharp criticism from San Francisco, with state Sen. Scott Wiener calling it “unhinged”. California’s Democratic-majority legislature has a history of opposing federal policies, such as passing resolutions against the REAL ID Act, making legislative action plausible. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be the California State Legislature’s official website, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Where will the next piece of space junk land on Earth?
Where will the first piece of space junk crash-land? Context: The satellite industry has grown rapidly, with over 12,000 satellites in orbit as of 2025, driven by companies like SpaceX (Starlink) and Amazon (Project Kuiper). Most satellites are designed to burn up in the atmosphere or land in uninhabited areas like oceans during controlled reentries. However, rare incidents of debris reaching populated areas have occurred, such as a 2.5 kg piece of SpaceX Starlink debris found in Saskatchewan, Canada, in August 2024, and Falcon-9 fragments impacting a village in Poland in February 2025. Previous Incident from CNN "A piece of garbage jettisoned from the International Space Station unexpectedly survived a fiery reentry from orbit last month and pierced the roof of a home in Florida, according to NASA. When the federal agency disposed of a slab of spaceborne refuse weighing about 5,800 pounds (2,630 kilograms), it expected the trash to disintegrate as it plunged into Earth’s atmosphere on March 8. But a small piece of the cargo roughly the size of a smartphone survived — and it crashed into a home in Naples, Florida, last month, NASA confirmed in an April 15" This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that satellite debris landed in the Selected location before the Event Date Close. If no such report is made, it settles to "No". The primary source will be reports from space agencies or reputable news outlets.
Harvard Shake-Up: Will Pritzker Pack Her Bags?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Penny Pritzker has resigned from her position as Senior Fellow at The Harvard Corporation before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Harvard University, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Starlink Saves the Day: Will FAA Tap Musk’s Satellites?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the FAA has adopted Starlink as a backup for air-traffic control communications before the Event Date Close. Early Settlement: If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the FAA or SpaceX, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will IRS Revoke Harvard's Tax-Exempt Status?
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if the IRS officially announces the revocation of Harvard University’s tax-exempt status before the Event Date Close. Context: The law—Section 501(c)3—says the tax exemption applies to a corporation “organized and operated exclusively for religious, charitable, scientific, testing for public safety, literary, or educational purposes ... no substantial part of the activities of which is carrying on propaganda . . . and which does not participate in, or intervene in (including the publishing or distributing of statements), any political campaign on behalf of (or in opposition to) any candidate for public office.” If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes”, the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to “No”. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the IRS or consensus from credible news sources such as The New York Times, CNN, or The Wall Street Journal. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Sovereignty's Summer Sprint: Will It Claim Another Grade 1 Victory by August?
Fresh off its triumphant win at the Kentucky Derby, all eyes are on Sovereignty as it prepares for the summer racing season. Can this champion thoroughbred add another Grade 1 trophy to its collection before the end of August? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if Sovereignty wins at least one Grade 1 race between May 5, 2025, and August 31, 2025, as confirmed by official racing results. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official racing results from recognized authorities such as Equibase, BloodHorse, or the Daily Racing Form (DRF). The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Screwworms Invade US Livestock Again?
Will there be a confirmed case in livestock within the next few months? Historically, screwworms were eradicated from the US in the 1980s, but over 950 cases in Mexico in 2025 raise fears of a border breach. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms at least one case of screwworm infestation in livestock within the continental United States before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the USDA or state agricultural departments, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a Confirmed Case from a credible reporting source.
Whole Foods to Stock THC Drinks in California?
Whole Foods, known for its natural and organic products, start selling hemp-derived THC beverages in California? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Whole Foods has started selling hemp-derived THC beverages in California before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Whole Foods or its parent company Amazon, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Max Verstappen Win the 2025 Austrian Grand Prix?
Can Max Verstappen, driving the Red Bull beast reminiscent of the RB19, triumph at his home Austrian Grand Prix? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if Max Verstappen wins the 2025 Austrian Grand Prix before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official Formula One race results, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a Sports Event Outcome from a credible reporting source.
Will S&P, Moody’s or Fitch Place Harvard’s AAA Rating on Negative Outlook?
Will credit rating Agencies S&P, Moody’s or Fitch slap a negative outlook on Harvard’s AAA rating by summer’s end? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that S&P Global Ratings, Fitch or Moody’s Investors Service has changed Harvard University’s AAA credit rating outlook to negative before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from S&P , Fitch or Moody’s, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a Financial Rating Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Berkshire Hathaway Pay Its First Dividend by December 31, 2025?
Will Greg Abel shatter Berkshire’s no-dividend tradition by announcing a payout before December 31, 2025? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Berkshire Hathaway has officially declared a dividend before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome does not require the payment to be made in 2025, only the Declaration of a Dividend. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from Berkshire Hathaway or SEC filings, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a Corporate Announcement from a credible reporting source.
CrowdStrike Holdings Revenue for Quarter April 30 2025
CrowdStrike Holdings Inc Revenue for Quarter April 2025 This is a Competitive Event: Higher, Exactly, or Lower than the Revenue Estimate of $1.115 Billion Prior Actual Quarter March 2024 Revenue $924 million CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. provides cybersecurity solutions in the United States and internationally. Its unified platform provides cloud-delivered protection of endpoints, cloud workloads, identity, and data through a software as a service (SaaS) subscription-based model. The company offers corporate endpoint and cloud workload security, managed security, security and vulnerability management, IT operations management, identity protection, threat intelligence, data protection, SaaS security posture management, and AI powered workflow automation, and securing generative AI workload services, as well as security orchestration, automation, and response; and security information and event management, and log management services. It primarily sells subscriptions to its Falcon platform and cloud modules. CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
Bardella’s Popularity Surge: Will He Overtake Le Pen in the Polls?
Is Bardella the new far-right king? As Le Pen fights her legal woes, will her protégé outshine her in the polls? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source publishes a poll showing with higher approval ratings or voting intentions than Marine Le Pen before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official polling data from reputable sources, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will AT&T Sponsor Major League Cricket Team ?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that AT&T has announced a sponsorship deal with Major League Cricket Team before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Major League Cricket or AT&T, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Which Company Will Launch Deep-Sea Mining First?
Which company will be the first to announce the start of commercial deep-sea mining operations before the Event Date Close? The Untied States Executive order, signed on April 24, 2025, encourages rapid development of deep-sea mining, bypassing the International Seabed Authority (ISA) and fostering partnerships with companies and nations. This Event Outcome will Settle to the name of the company (TMC, Loke Marine Minerals, GSR, CSR, Impossible Metals, or Green Minerals) that first announces the start of commercial deep-sea mining operations, as confirmed by a credible reporting source before the Event Date Close. If no company announces by the deadline, the Event Outcome may Settle to "No." If it becomes impossible for any company to announce before the Event Date Close, the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No." The primary source will be official company announcements or credible news reports, but a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
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