Events
Nvidia to Overtake Microsoft as World's Most Valuable Company
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if Nvidia's market capitalization surpasses Microsoft's at any point before the Event Date Close If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be real-time stock market capitalization data, but consensus financial reporting may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on Market Capitalization Ranking.
UnitedHealth Group Inc drops below $100 by end of year
UnitedHealth Group Inc drops below $100 by end of year excluding share splits as reported by NYSE. Context: The U.S. Department of Justice has launched a criminal investigation into UnitedHealth’s Medicare Advantage practices. Very few companies survive a Criminial Investigation by the Department of Justice. Arthur Anderson is a recent example. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that UnitedHealth Group Inc drops below $100 by end of year. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the closing price any day as reported by the NYSE. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a Price Movement.
Capture of Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Confirmed
Will Mexican authorities finally apprehend Iván Archivaldo Guzmán, Mexico’s most elusive drug kingpin? Guzmán has repeatedly evaded capture through sophisticated tunnels and extensive support networks. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms Iván Archivaldo Guzmán's capture by Mexican or U.S. authorities before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the Mexican government, U.S. government, or consensus from reputable news sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Winner Argentinian Primera Division 2025
Argentinian Primera Division 2025
U.S. Raises Bounty for Iván Archivaldo Guzmán
Will the U.S. government publicly announce an increase to the existing $10 million bounty for the capture of Iván Archivaldo Guzmán? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source officially confirms an increase in the bounty by U.S. authorities before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official U.S. government statements or reputable news sources confirming the increase. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on Governmental Action and Public Announcement.
Mikal Bridges Hits a Game-Winning Shot
Will Mikal Bridges, known for his defense, deliver a game-winning shot for the Knicks in a playoff game? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Mikal Bridges scores the final basket that gives the Knicks the lead for good in a playoff game before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be NBA official stats, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Winner NFL 2025
NFL 2025
Dallas Mavericks Draft Cooper Flagg with No. 1 Pick
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Dallas Mavericks have selected Cooper Flagg with the No. 1 pick in the 2025 NBA Draft before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the NBA, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Pope Leo XIV Attends a White Sox Game
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Pope Leo XIV has attended or plans to attend a White Sox Game before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the White Sox or the Vatican, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement for a plan to Attend a MLB White Sox Game from a credible reporting source.
Winner Brazilian Serie A 2025
Brazilian Serie A 2025
Winner Ecuadorian Serie A 2025
Ecuadorian Serie A 2025
Winner American Major League Soccer 2025
American Major League Soccer 2025
Winner NASCAR Cup Series 2025
NASCAR Cup Series 2025
Winner MLB 2025 World Series Champion
MLB 2025
Winner NHL 2024-2025 Stanley Cup
Winner NHL 2024-2025 Stanley Cup
Brunson Breaks Playoff Scoring Record
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Jalen Brunson has scored more points in a single 2025 NBA playoff game than any other player before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official NBA statistics, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Which State Will Crack Down on 'Murder Insurance' Next?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if the state introduces a bill to regulate or ban self-defense insurance before the Event Date Close, as confirmed by official legislative records or credible news sources. The Bill does not have to pass for the Event Outcome to Settle to Yes The Bill can be a reintroduction of a prior or existing Legislative Bill that was recently withdrawn. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes," it may Settle immediately to "No." The primary source will be state legislative websites, but a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on legislative action.
Haemanthus Secures $50 Million in Funding
Will Billy Evans, partner of disgraced Theranos CEO Elizabeth Holmes, hit the jackpot with his new blood-testing venture? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Haemanthus has raised $50 million in total funding before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from Haemanthus or Billy Evans, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Giannis Antetokounmpo Traded to Nets, Heat, Rockets or a different team?
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to either the Brooklyn Nets, Miami Heat, The Houston Rockets or a different team ? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Giannis Antetokounmpo has been traded to one of the teams listed before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from the NBA or the teams involved, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Giannis Antetokounmpo Traded Before NBA Free Agency
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to another team before the start of NBA free agency negotiations on June 30, 2025? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Giannis Antetokounmpo has been traded to another team before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from the NBA or the teams involved, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
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