Events
California to Ban Trans Athletes? Bet on Newsom's Next Move!
After Governor Newsom called transgender participation in women’s sports “deeply unfair,” will California take action? Picture the state legislature buzzing with debate as lawmakers weigh fairness against inclusivity. Bet on whether California will introduce or pass legislation restricting transgender athletes in sports before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if a credible reporting source confirms that the California state legislature has introduced or passed legislation specifically aimed at restricting transgender athletes from participating in sports based on their gender identity rather than biological sex before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes”, the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to “No”. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the California State Legislature, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
EU Announces Retaliatory Tariffs on US Goods
Will the European Union strike back at Trump’s tariff threats with its own retaliatory levies on US goods before the Event Date Close? As the article warns of a transatlantic trade showdown, bet on whether the EU will flex its economic muscle—think Florida orange juice or Harley-Davidsons in the crosshairs! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the EU has announced retaliatory tariffs on US goods before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from the European Commission, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Trump Publicly Praise Putin at Least Twice Before July 31st?
Trump and Putin: a bromance for the ages? With the article noting Trump’s “embrace of Putin,” will he shower the Russian leader with public praise at least twice before the Event Date Close? Bet on whether the former president doubles down on his admiration—think rally rants or Truth Social tirades. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Trump has publicly praised Putin at least twice before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used.
U.S. Congress to Propose Panama Canal Control Bill
With President Trump eyeing the Panama Canal, will Congress make a move? Bet on whether a bill aiming to regain U.S. control of the canal will be introduced before the Event Date Close—high stakes for a historic waterway! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a bill is introduced in the U.S. Congress specifically aimed at regaining control of the Panama Canal before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official congressional records, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on Legislative Action.
Subprime Auto Loan Delinquencies to Hit 7%
With economic headwinds blowing harder, will the subprime auto loan delinquency rate smash through the 7% barrier by the Event Date Close? Bet on whether struggling borrowers will push this metric to new heights as inflation and a slowing economy tighten the screws. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if the subprime auto loan delinquency rate, as reported by Fitch Ratings or a consensus of credible sources, reaches or exceeds 7% before the Event Date Close. As of January 2025, the subprime delinquency rate (60+ days past due) was 6.56% If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be Fitch Ratings, but a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a Reported Metric.
Sheinbaum Visits Trump Before USMCA Anniversary
Will Mexico’s President Claudia Sheinbaum make a diplomatic visit to former U.S. President Donald Trump at the White House before June 2025, just in time for the USMCA Anniversary? Picture a high-stakes meeting where trade talks and tariff tensions could melt away—bet on whether this power duo will meet face-to-face before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Sheinbaum has visited Trump at the White House before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the White House or the Mexican presidency, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Pronto to Operate 50 Autonomous Trucks by End of Year
Will Pronto, the trailblazer in autonomous mining trucks, have at least 50 driverless dump trucks hauling rocks before the Event Date Close? Bet on whether Levandowski’s fleet will hit this milestone, proving that the robot revolution is picking up speed. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Pronto is operating at least 50 autonomous trucks before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Pronto or Heidelberg Materials, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
New Canadian PM Commits to Target 2% Defense Spending by 2026
Will Canada's new top dog bark up the defense spending tree? With pressure mounting, bet on whether the incoming Prime Minister vows to hit NATO's 2% GDP target by 2026 before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the new Prime Minister of Canada has publicly committed to reaching 2% of GDP in defense spending by 2026 before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Prime Minister's Office, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
US and Canada Announce Joint Arctic Military Exercises
Will Uncle Sam and the Maple Leaf join forces for a chilly show of strength? Picture troops from both nations braving the Arctic winds together—bet on whether they announce collaborative drills before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the United States and Canada have announced joint military exercises in the Arctic region before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the US Department of Defense or the Canadian Department of National Defense, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Lucy Guo Passes Inc. Ceases Operations Amid Lawsuit
Can Passes Inc. weather the storm of its child pornography lawsuit, or will it crash and burn? Picture the platform going dark—bet on whether it shuts down before the Event Date Close, leaving users and investors in the lurch! or does Lucy Guo Settles Lawsuit with a Financial Payout This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Passes Inc. ceases operations (e.g., website shutdown or company dissolution) before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Passes, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Alec Celestin Flips on in Court Tell-All turn on Lucy Guo Passes
Will Passes’ agent Alec Celestin spill the tea and turn on Lucy Guo to save his own skin in this child porn lawsuit mess? Bet on whether he testifies against her before the Event Date Close—loyalty or betrayal? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Alec Celestin provides testimony or evidence against Lucy Guo in the lawsuit before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be court filings or legal proceedings, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
TD Bank Sells U.S. Branches Amid Trade Tensions
Could Trump’s tariff threats spook TD Bank into ditching its 1,000+ U.S. branches? Picture a Canadian banking giant retreating—bet on whether TD Bank announces a major U.S. sell-off before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that TD Bank announces plans to sell a significant portion (e.g., 25% or more) of its U.S. branch network before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The Event Outcome does not reflect the close of the transaction which will be subject to numerous regulatory approvals. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from TD Bank, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Trump Delays all Tariffs on Canada Until July 2025
Will Trump hit the brakes on Canada’s tariff doom—or slam the gas? With Mexico’s delay to April 2 already in the bag, bet on whether he pushes Canada’s tariff deadline to July 2025 before the Event Date Close—or lets the trade war rage unchecked! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Trump has delayed tariffs on Canadian imports until at least July 2025 before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the U.S. government or Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Meghan Markle Officially Changes Legal Name to "Meghan Sussex"
Will Meghan ditch "Markle" for good and make "Sussex" her legal crown jewel? After correcting Mindy Kaling and dazzling Drew Barrymore, bet on whether she’ll file the paperwork to become "Meghan Sussex" before the Event Date Close—or if it’s just royal hot air. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Meghan Markle has legally changed her name to "Meghan Sussex" before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official legal records or statements from Meghan Markle, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Prince Harry Makes Cameo in "With Love, Meghan" Bonus Episode
Will Prince Harry swap polo ponies for a chef’s apron? Picture him stirring the pot—literally—in a surprise "With Love, Meghan" bonus episode. Bet on whether he’ll pop up before the Event Date Close to spice up Meghan’s Netflix flop! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Prince Harry appears in a bonus episode of "With Love, Meghan" before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Netflix, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Netflix Cancels "With Love, Meghan" After One Season
Could Meghan’s Netflix dreams fizzle faster than a flat soufflé? With critics roasting "With Love, Meghan" and viewers yawning, bet on whether Netflix pulls the plug before the Event Date Close—ending her hosting gig in a royal flop! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Netflix has canceled "With Love, Meghan" before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Netflix, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Discord's Big Bet: Will Its IPO Valuation Top $26 Billion?
Discord, the gamer's paradise, is gearing up for a stock market splash. Last valued at $15 billion in 2021, can it flex its social muscle for an even bigger IPO payday? Bet on whether Discord’s valuation will soar past $26 billion in a S-1 filing before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if credible reporting sources confirm that Discord's IPO valuation is over $26 billion at the time of its S-1 filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission for its initial public offering before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Discord or the Regulator, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. This is not an Prediction on the Valuation reached during the first day of public trading. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the IPO valuation as used in the S-1 Filings as reported by credible sources.
West Coast Kings: Will the NL West Rule the 2025 World Series?
The NL West is a baseball juggernaut, loaded with titans like the Dodgers—fresh off their 2024 championship—the Diamondbacks, and the Padres, all hungry for glory. This division’s got it all: clutch hitters, ace pitchers, and a track record of dominance, with two World Series titles in the last five years. Will the West rise again to hoist the Commissioner’s Trophy in 2025, or will the rest of the league spoil their reign? Lock in your bet on whether the NL West will reign supreme before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a team from the NL West wins the 2025 World Series, as confirmed by official MLB announcements. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from MLB, though a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a team from the NL West winning the 2025 World Series. The Primary Resolution Data for this Event Outcome may be published on one of the following sites:
Mets' Manhattan Miracle: Will the Amazins' Clinch the NL East in 2025?
The New York Mets, bolstered by stars like Juan Soto and Pete Alonso, are aiming to paint the town orange and blue. With a revamped roster and high hopes after reaching the NLCS in 2024, can they outmuscle the competition and seize the NL East crown in 2025? Bet on whether the Mets will reign supreme in their division before the Event Close Date. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if the New York Mets win the NL East division in the 2025 MLB season, as confirmed by official MLB standings. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from MLB, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the New York Mets winning the NL East division in 2025
Will OpenAI Launches PhD-Level Agents for $20,000 per Month?
Will OpenAI, the company behind ChatGPT, start charging $20,000 per month for their advanced AI agents that are PhD-level in capabilities? This would be a major move in the AI industry, making high-end AI assistance accessible to those who can afford it. Bet on whether this pricing model becomes reality before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that OpenAI has launched a PhD-level agent subscription for $20,000 per month before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from OpenAI (openai.com/blog), but a consensus of credible reporting sources such as TechCrunch and Wired may also be used.
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