Events
Will "Mickey 17" Achieve a 90% or Higher Rating on Rotten Tomatoes?
Will critics go wild for "Mickey 17"? Bong Joon Ho’s latest has all the makings of a critical darling—bet on whether this sci-fi romp hits a 90% or higher approval rating on Rotten Tomatoes before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that "Mickey 17" has achieved a 90% or higher rating on Rotten Tomatoes before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be Rotten Tomatoes, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will a Sequel to "Mickey 17" Be Announced Within a Year of Its Release?
Will "Mickey 17" spawn a dystopian franchise? If this sci-fi hit kills it at the box office, a sequel could be in the cards. Bet on whether "Mickey 18" or another follow-up gets the green light before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a sequel to "Mickey 17" has been officially announced before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official studio announcements, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will "Mickey 17" Be Nominated for Best Picture at the Oscars?
Can Bong Joon Ho strike Oscar gold again with "Mickey 17"? After "Parasite"’s triumph, this wild sci-fi tale might dazzle the Academy. Bet on whether "Mickey 17" snags a Best Picture nomination before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that "Mickey 17" has been nominated for Best Picture at the Oscars before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official Oscar nomination announcements, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Job Market Meltdown: Will Unemployment Soar to 4.5%?
The job market is wobbling—will unemployment climb to 4.5% or higher before the Event Date Close? Imagine the headlines, the economic debates—bet on whether the U.S. unemployment rate hits this critical threshold. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports an unemployment rate of 4.5% or higher in any monthly jobs report before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Newsom Eyes White House: Will He Launch a National PAC?
With whispers of 2028 presidential ambitions, will Governor Newsom make his move? Imagine the headlines as he steps onto the national stage, rallying support and building his war chest. Bet on whether he’ll form a political action committee (PAC) focused on national issues before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if a credible reporting source confirms that Gavin Newsom has launched a political action committee (PAC) or similar political organization with a stated focus on national issues or policies before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes”, the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to “No”. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from Gavin Newsom or his representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
California to Ban Trans Athletes? Bet on Newsom's Next Move!
After Governor Newsom called transgender participation in women’s sports “deeply unfair,” will California take action? Picture the state legislature buzzing with debate as lawmakers weigh fairness against inclusivity. Bet on whether California will introduce or pass legislation restricting transgender athletes in sports before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if a credible reporting source confirms that the California state legislature has introduced or passed legislation specifically aimed at restricting transgender athletes from participating in sports based on their gender identity rather than biological sex before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes”, the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to “No”. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the California State Legislature, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
EU Announces Retaliatory Tariffs on US Goods
Will the European Union strike back at Trump’s tariff threats with its own retaliatory levies on US goods before the Event Date Close? As the article warns of a transatlantic trade showdown, bet on whether the EU will flex its economic muscle—think Florida orange juice or Harley-Davidsons in the crosshairs! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the EU has announced retaliatory tariffs on US goods before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from the European Commission, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Trump Publicly Praise Putin at Least Twice Before July 31st?
Trump and Putin: a bromance for the ages? With the article noting Trump’s “embrace of Putin,” will he shower the Russian leader with public praise at least twice before the Event Date Close? Bet on whether the former president doubles down on his admiration—think rally rants or Truth Social tirades. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Trump has publicly praised Putin at least twice before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used.
U.S. Congress to Propose Panama Canal Control Bill
With President Trump eyeing the Panama Canal, will Congress make a move? Bet on whether a bill aiming to regain U.S. control of the canal will be introduced before the Event Date Close—high stakes for a historic waterway! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a bill is introduced in the U.S. Congress specifically aimed at regaining control of the Panama Canal before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official congressional records, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on Legislative Action.
Subprime Auto Loan Delinquencies to Hit 7%
With economic headwinds blowing harder, will the subprime auto loan delinquency rate smash through the 7% barrier by the Event Date Close? Bet on whether struggling borrowers will push this metric to new heights as inflation and a slowing economy tighten the screws. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if the subprime auto loan delinquency rate, as reported by Fitch Ratings or a consensus of credible sources, reaches or exceeds 7% before the Event Date Close. As of January 2025, the subprime delinquency rate (60+ days past due) was 6.56% If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be Fitch Ratings, but a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a Reported Metric.
Sheinbaum Visits Trump Before USMCA Anniversary
Will Mexico’s President Claudia Sheinbaum make a diplomatic visit to former U.S. President Donald Trump at the White House before June 2025, just in time for the USMCA Anniversary? Picture a high-stakes meeting where trade talks and tariff tensions could melt away—bet on whether this power duo will meet face-to-face before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Sheinbaum has visited Trump at the White House before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the White House or the Mexican presidency, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Pronto to Operate 50 Autonomous Trucks by End of Year
Will Pronto, the trailblazer in autonomous mining trucks, have at least 50 driverless dump trucks hauling rocks before the Event Date Close? Bet on whether Levandowski’s fleet will hit this milestone, proving that the robot revolution is picking up speed. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Pronto is operating at least 50 autonomous trucks before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Pronto or Heidelberg Materials, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
US and Canada Announce Joint Arctic Military Exercises
Will Uncle Sam and the Maple Leaf join forces for a chilly show of strength? Picture troops from both nations braving the Arctic winds together—bet on whether they announce collaborative drills before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the United States and Canada have announced joint military exercises in the Arctic region before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the US Department of Defense or the Canadian Department of National Defense, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Lucy Guo Passes Inc. Ceases Operations Amid Lawsuit
Can Passes Inc. weather the storm of its child pornography lawsuit, or will it crash and burn? Picture the platform going dark—bet on whether it shuts down before the Event Date Close, leaving users and investors in the lurch! or does Lucy Guo Settles Lawsuit with a Financial Payout This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Passes Inc. ceases operations (e.g., website shutdown or company dissolution) before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Passes, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Alec Celestin Flips on in Court Tell-All turn on Lucy Guo Passes
Will Passes’ agent Alec Celestin spill the tea and turn on Lucy Guo to save his own skin in this child porn lawsuit mess? Bet on whether he testifies against her before the Event Date Close—loyalty or betrayal? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Alec Celestin provides testimony or evidence against Lucy Guo in the lawsuit before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be court filings or legal proceedings, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
TD Bank Sells U.S. Branches Amid Trade Tensions
Could Trump’s tariff threats spook TD Bank into ditching its 1,000+ U.S. branches? Picture a Canadian banking giant retreating—bet on whether TD Bank announces a major U.S. sell-off before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that TD Bank announces plans to sell a significant portion (e.g., 25% or more) of its U.S. branch network before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The Event Outcome does not reflect the close of the transaction which will be subject to numerous regulatory approvals. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from TD Bank, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Meghan Markle Officially Changes Legal Name to "Meghan Sussex"
Will Meghan ditch "Markle" for good and make "Sussex" her legal crown jewel? After correcting Mindy Kaling and dazzling Drew Barrymore, bet on whether she’ll file the paperwork to become "Meghan Sussex" before the Event Date Close—or if it’s just royal hot air. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Meghan Markle has legally changed her name to "Meghan Sussex" before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official legal records or statements from Meghan Markle, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Prince Harry Makes Cameo in "With Love, Meghan" Bonus Episode
Will Prince Harry swap polo ponies for a chef’s apron? Picture him stirring the pot—literally—in a surprise "With Love, Meghan" bonus episode. Bet on whether he’ll pop up before the Event Date Close to spice up Meghan’s Netflix flop! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Prince Harry appears in a bonus episode of "With Love, Meghan" before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Netflix, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Netflix Cancels "With Love, Meghan" After One Season
Could Meghan’s Netflix dreams fizzle faster than a flat soufflé? With critics roasting "With Love, Meghan" and viewers yawning, bet on whether Netflix pulls the plug before the Event Date Close—ending her hosting gig in a royal flop! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Netflix has canceled "With Love, Meghan" before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Netflix, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Discord's Big Bet: Will Its IPO Valuation Top $26 Billion?
Discord, the gamer's paradise, is gearing up for a stock market splash. Last valued at $15 billion in 2021, can it flex its social muscle for an even bigger IPO payday? Bet on whether Discord’s valuation will soar past $26 billion in a S-1 filing before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if credible reporting sources confirm that Discord's IPO valuation is over $26 billion at the time of its S-1 filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission for its initial public offering before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Discord or the Regulator, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. This is not an Prediction on the Valuation reached during the first day of public trading. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the IPO valuation as used in the S-1 Filings as reported by credible sources.
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