Events
Giannis Antetokounmpo Publicly Requests a Trade
Giannis Antetokounmpo has been the cornerstone of the Milwaukee Bucks since being drafted in 2013, leading them to an NBA championship in 2021. However, after recent playoff disappointments, rumors have swirled about his potential desire to seek a new challenge. Will the Greek Freak shock the NBA world by publicly demanding a trade before the Event Date Close? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Giannis Antetokounmpo has publicly requested a trade before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Giannis Antetokounmpo has been traded before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Giannis Antetokounmpo or the Milwaukee Bucks, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Bresnahan's Stock Trades Exceed 1,000 by Year-End?
Representativeis a stock-trading machine, racking up 264 trades since January. Will he hit the jackpot and surpass 1,000 trades before the Event Date Close? His market moves clash with his campaign pledge—place your bets! Context: Since taking office in January 2025, Bresnahan has reported 264 stock trades, making him one of the most active traders in the freshman class. His trades include big names like Caterpillar and Boeing, tied to his committee work, despite his anti-trading rhetoric on the campaign trail. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Representative Rob Bresnahan Jr. has reported more than 500 stock trades before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official financial disclosures, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Hershey's Stock Rebound: Will Shares Bounce Back above to be above $200 by Year-End?
Will Hershey’s stock rally past $200 by December 31? Context: There is the pending acquisition of LesserEvil Popcorn and rising cocoa prices to consider. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible financial source confirms that Hershey's stock price closes above $200 at anytime before December 31, 2025, which is the Event Date Close. The Event Outcome will be adjusted for stock splits, but not dividend distributions. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official stock market data, however a consensus of credible financial reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a Stock Price from a credible financial source.
United States GDP Advanced Estimate for Q1 - 2025
As reported by The Bureau of Economic Analysis. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from the Federal Reserve Economic Data on data released by Bureau of Economic Analysis. Data Series https://www.bea.gov/news/glance
Who will acquire a stake in TikTok?
Who will acquire a percentage stake in TikTok ? (anything up to and including 100%) This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the named Party has acquired or will acquire any percentage ownership up to and including 100% in TikTok before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from The United States Govenment, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Recession Roulette: Will NBER Declare a Downturn by Year's End?
Will the NBER, the official recession referee, drop the dreaded "R" word before the end of 2025? Context: NEBR is The National Bureau of Economic Research and the official adjudicator for if a Recession has started in the United States This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the NBER has declared a recession in the United States before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the NBER, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
CIA Releases Additional Documents on Siberian UFO Incident
Will the CIA unleash more spine-chilling files on the Siberian UFO massacre? The original 250-page KGB dossier, declassified in 2000, stunned the world with tales of aliens turning Soviet soldiers to stone. With the 2017 UFO video release still fresh in memory, could another alien bombshell drop? Bet on whether the CIA’s vault hides more extraterrestrial secrets! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the CIA has released additional documents specifically about the Siberian UFO incident before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official CIA statements or declassified documents, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Rose Hanbury flips and Confesses to Affair with Prince William
Will Rose Hanbury, the Marchioness of Cholmondeley, flip and confirm the scandalous whispers? Linked to Prince William since 2019 affair rumors surfaced, her silence has only stoked curiosity. With William turning to Mishcon de Reya, could she echo Camilla Parker Bowles—who went public with Charles—and admit to being the royal “other woman”? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Rose Hanbury has publicly admitted to a relationship with Prince William before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be interviews with Rose Hanbury or official statements, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Royal Split: William Files for Divorce from Kate
Will the fairy-tale marriage of Prince William and Catherine Middleton end in a royal rupture? With William hiring Mishcon de Reya—the same firm that secured Princess Diana’s divorce from Charles in 1996—rumors of a split intensify. The whispers of an affair with Rose Hanbury, swirling since 2019, add fuel to the fire. Could this be the beginning of the end? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Prince William has filed for divorce from Catherine Middleton before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official court filings or statements from Kensington Palace, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Beijing Bans Newly Created United States Sovereign Wealth Fund from TikTok Deal
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that China has blocked the newly created U.S. SWF from investing in TikTok before the Event Date Close. There are three parts for this Event to settle to "Yes" 1. The United States Sovereign Wealth Fund needs to be more formally created and funded. 2. President Trump decide that The US entity that owns TikTok will sell a stake in itself to the newly created United States Sovereign Wealth Fund along with other investors. 3. China Bans the investment from the new United States Sovereign Wealth Fund from investing in TikTok. Context and Definition: The United States is planning to create a Sovereign Wealth Fund https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2025/02/10/2025-02477/a-plan-for-establishing-a-united-states-sovereign-wealth-fund If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official Chinese government statements, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
AppLovin Wins TikTok Bid with Wynn's Backing
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that AppLovin has acquired TikTok with Steve Wynn’s financial backing before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from AppLovin or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Democrats Flip Florida’s Sixth District in 2026
Can Democrats surf a blue wave to steal Florida’s Sixth District from the GOP in 2026? The special election in 2025 was tighter than expected—Randy Fine won by just 14 points in a district Trump’s ally Mike Waltz took by 33. With abortion and union fights heating up, could Dems turn this red stronghold purple? Historically, midterms swing against the president’s party—think 2018’s House flip. Is Florida next? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a Democratic candidate wins Florida’s Sixth Congressional District in the 2026 midterm elections before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official election results, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Brad Pitt and Ines de Ramon Welcome First Child Together
Will Hollywood icon Brad Pitt, now 61, and his younger girlfriend, 32, start a family together? Fresh off his divorce from Angelina Jolie, finalized in late 2024, Pitt is free to build a new life with de Ramon, who reportedly pushed him to settle the split. Rumors are buzzing—will they announce a pregnancy? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Brad Pitt and Ines de Ramon have welcomed a child together or announced a pregnancy before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Brad Pitt or Ines de Ramon, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Cory Booker Launches 2028 Presidential Bid After Record Speech
Will Cory Booker ride his epic 25-hour Trump-bashing speech straight to a 2028 White House run? Context: Senators often use high-profile stances to boost presidential runs—Ted Cruz’s 2013 filibuster and Bernie Sanders’ 2010 speech preceded their 2016 bids. Booker’s 2020 run flopped, but his record-breaking feat could reignite his ambitions. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Cory Booker has announced his candidacy for the 2028 presidential election before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Cory Booker, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Charlie Javice Flees to France Before Sentencing
Will Charlie Javice, the Pilates-teaching fraudster, ditch her ankle monitor and jet off to France? With dual citizenship and a guilty verdict, she’s got every reason to run before sentencing. Will she pull a disappearing act before the Event Date Close? Make a Prediction Now! Context: High-profile fugitives like Roman Polanski (fled to France in 1978) and Edward Snowden (Russia, 2013) show dual citizenship can aid escape. Javice’s French ties and flight risk fears noted by prosecutors fuel this bet. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Charlie Javice has fled the U.S. to France before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from U.S. law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Donald Trump Jr Runs in Presidential Bid for 2028 with Dad’s Backing
Will Trump anoint Donald Jr. as his 2028 successor, keeping the family grip on the GOP? Imagine the MAGA torch passing with Trump Sr.’s full endorsement—dynasty vibes! Will Donald Jr. declare with Dad’s blessing plans to run for President of The United States before the Event Date Close? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Donald Trump Jr. has announced his 2028 presidential candidacy with an explicit endorsement from President Donald Trump Sr. before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Donald Trump Sr. or Jr., however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Chisholm’s Torpedo Boost: 30 HRs in Sight?
Jazz Chisholm Jr. smashed three homers in his first three games with the torpedo bat—can he ride this wave to 30 or more in 2025? Bet on his breakout before the Event Date Close! Context: Chisholm’s career high is 19 HRs (2022), but the torpedo bat’s contact boost could elevate him, much like how equipment tweaks historically aided sluggers like Babe Ruth. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if Jazz Chisholm Jr. hits 30 or more home runs in the 2025 MLB season, as confirmed by official MLB statistics. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official MLB statistics, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source. Chisholm’s career high is 19 HRs (2022), but the torpedo bat’s contact boost could elevate him, much like how equipment tweaks historically aided sluggers like Babe Ruth.
Will MLB ban torpedo bats?
Will MLB announce a rule change regarding bat shapes? With the Yankees smashing home run records using "torpedo bats," sparking debates across dugouts, will the league slam the brakes on this wood-wielding revolution? Bet now on whether MLB will reshape the rules to curb these controversial clubs! Make a Prediction Now! Context: MLB has a track record of tweaking rules when equipment or innovations shift the game’s balance—like banning certain bat materials or introducing pitch clocks. The bats are legal now, but their viral success (e.g., the Yankees’ 15 home runs in three games) could prompt scrutiny if they’re deemed too advantageous. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that MLB has announced a rule change regarding torpedo bats shapes before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from MLB, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
When will Elon Musk quit politics?
When will Elon Musk announce his departure from Politics? Make a Prediction Now! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Elon Musk has announced his resignation from his role in President Trump’s government efficiency effort. Make a Prediction for during which week this will be announced ? This is a prediction on an announcement regarding a voluntary departure from Politics. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Elon Musk or Tesla; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Pete Hegseth Resign as Defense Secretary?
Will the embattled Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth bow to pressure and step down? With Democrats demanding his head and Trump’s support wavering, the clock’s ticking. Bet on whether Hegseth resigns before the Event Date Close! Make a Prediction Now! As of March 26, 2025, Hegseth faces criticism for sharing sensitive military info, including strike times and weapon systems, on an unclassified Signal chat. Democrats like Sen. Mark Kelly demand he resign due to his inexperience and the potential risk to servicemembers, while Trump defends him, calling it a "witch hunt." His fate hinges on political pressure and Trump’s loyalty. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Pete Hegseth has resigned as Defense Secretary before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the White House or the Department of Defense, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
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