Events
Race to the Skies: Which Company Will First Get FAA Type Certification for a Flying Car?
The future of transportation is taking off! Will Joby Aviation soar ahead with its advanced eVTOL, or will Archer Aviation surprise the pack? Perhaps Alef Aeronautics’ unique flying car or Beta Technologies’ innovative approach will clinch the prize. Bet on which company—Joby, Archer, Alef, or Beta—will be the first to secure FAA type certification by the end of 2025, or if none will make it in time. Join the high-flying action! This Event Outcome will Settle based on which company first receives FAA type certification for their flying car or eVTOL aircraft before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for any company to receive certification before the Event Date Close, the Event Outcome may Settle to "None". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the FAA or the respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Which Flying Car Company will Tesla buy?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Tesla has announced the acquisition of a flying car company before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Tesla or the acquired company, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Who will get first CAC Approval for the NYC Casino?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Bidder is the first to have received approval from its respective Community Advisory Committee (CAC) before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the respective Community Advisory Committees or the proposers, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will a bill be introduced in any US state legislature to allow an AI Robot to run for Governor or City Council?
Could California or Massachusetts end up debating whether an AI robots could govern, proposing legislation to redefine candidacy laws. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a bill has been introduced in any US state legislature to allow an AI robots to run for Governor before the Event Date Close. The Bill does not have to pass or be approved, the Bill only has to be introduced or tabled for Debate for the Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes" If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official state legislature websites or credible news reports, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Which State Audi will pick for its first U.S. factory?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Audi has chosen the selected US State for its first U.S. factory before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Audi or Volkswagen, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Humanoid Robot to Participate in one of big Eight Marathons Globally
China’s robots ran 13 miles in Beijing in a half marathon — Will a U.S. organization announces the participation of a humanoid robot in a half or full marathon ? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms the announcement of a humanoid robot participating in one of the following marathons before the Event Date Close. The big Eight: Boston, London, Berlin, New York, Los Angeles, Marine Corps, San Francisco and Chicago Rule Exemptions would be required as an example for the Boston Marathon: The rules, as outlined by the Boston Athletic Association, focus on human runners, requiring qualifying times and prohibiting items like strollers, animals, and non-formfitting costumes. https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202504/1332430.shtml If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from robotics organizations or event planners, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will JB Pritzker Skip 2026 Governor Race?
To focus on national ambitions, will Gov. JB Pritzker announce he’s not running for a third term as Illinois governor, freeing him up for a 2028 presidential bid. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Pritzker has announced he will not seek re-election as governor in 2026 before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Pritzker or his campaign, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Port of Los Angeles Slashes Fees to Counter Panama Canal Hikes
Skyrocketing Panama Canal fees are pushing shippers to rethink routes! Will the Port of Los Angeles seize the moment, slashing its own fees to lure carriers away from the costly canal and boost West Coast trade? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Port of Los Angeles has announced a reduction in its port fees before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the Port of Los Angeles, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Gold Price per ounce in 2 weeks
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Gold per Ounce closes above $3,600 before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official commodity market data, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Commodity Price Movement from a credible reporting source.
Stephen A. Smith Enters Democratic Primary Race 2028
Will ESPN’s loudmouth Stephen A. Smith swap sports and take a wild swing at the presidency? Context: Stephen A. Smith, a prominent ESPN host, was included in Nate Silver’s 2028 Democratic primary draft, a surprising pick reflecting his celebrity status and outspoken persona. While he has no political experience, his inclusion alongside serious contenders like Josh Shapiro and Cory Booker suggests his potential to disrupt as a wildcard candidate, akin to Donald Trump’s 2016 run. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Stephen A. Smith has officially announced his candidacy for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Stephen A. Smith or his campaign, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Powell Resigns as Fed Chair Before Term Ends
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Jerome Powell has resigned as Federal Reserve Chair before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Jerome Powell is no longer the Federal Reserve Chair for any reason including but not limited to Personal Reasons, change in an Act of Congress or being fired before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Federal Reserve or Powell himself, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a change in the Chairman of the Federal Reserve from a credible reporting source.
Hostess® Twinkies Launches a Cannabis infused Snack
Hostess takes the plunge and rolls out a Twinkies cannabis infused treat? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Hostess has launched a cannabis THC or CBD infused product and is rolling this out nationwide to Licensed Cannabis Stores before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Hostess or Smucker, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a Product Launch from a credible reporting source.
Will Argentina's Currency Crash Past 1,400 per Dollar?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Argentine peso has traded at or above 1,400 per US dollar at any time before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official exchange rate data from the Central Bank of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on Currency Value from a credible reporting source.
Hertz Shares Surge Past $5 After Ackman's Stake
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Hertz's stock price has closed above $5.00 before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official stock market data, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a Stock Price Movement from a credible reporting source.
Kodiak Robotics AI SPAC Doubles its Market Cap from the IPO Price.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Kodiak Robotics AI SPAC has reached at least twice its initial market capitalization within 30 days of going public in its IPO. The IPO Date and Initial Share Filing Price have yet to be set. This Event Outcome can only be resolved when the IPO Date and Initial Share Filing Price have been confirmed in the 8-K or S-3 filing. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Kodiak Robotics, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Tsunami Sirens Blare: Will Japan’s Coastline Evacuate in Chaos?
Will a 7.0+ magnitude quake unleash a tsunami warning, sending millions fleeing Japan’s shores? Imagine the sirens screaming as waves loom—will coastal cities empty out in a frantic exodus? Trade on whether this seismic nightmare triggers a mass evacuation! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a 7.0+ magnitude earthquake in Japan triggers a tsunami warning, leading to a widespread coastal evacuation before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will ‘Sinners’ by Ryan Coogler Win Best Picture at the 2025 Academy Awards?
Ryan Coogler’s vampire epic ‘Sinners,’ starring Hailee Steinfeld and Michael B. Jordan, has taken 2025 by storm, earning a perfect 100% on Rotten Tomatoes and massive fan buzz. With its bold take on the Black experience, will this thriller sink its teeth into the Best Picture Oscar? The resolves as “Yes” if ‘Sinners’ wins Best Picture at the 2025 Academy Awards, as announced by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be 2025 Academy Awards, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Elon Musk Announces Plans to Privatize NASA
Will Elon Musk drop a jaw-dropping announcement about privatizing NASA? Picture the storm as the Tesla titan unveils his wildest plan yet—a takeover of America’s space agency. Will he spill the cosmic beans? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Elon Musk has publicly announced plans to privatize NASA before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be Musk’s own statements (e.g., via Twitter or interviews), however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Congress Introduces Bill to Privatize NASA
Will Congress drop a bombshell bill to privatize NASA, handing Elon Musk the keys to the cosmos? Picture the political fireworks as lawmakers push to overhaul space exploration. Will this game-changing legislation hit the floor? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a bill to privatize NASA has been introduced in Congress before the Event Date Close. Context: Privatization debates have swirled around government agencies for decades. With SpaceX’s success, some policymakers see privatizing NASA as a cost-effective move, especially with Musk’s influence in the mix. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official Congressional records, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Mount Spurr Erupts
Will Alaska’s sleeping giant roar to life? Mount Spurr, just 81 miles from Anchorage, last erupted in 1992, shaking the region with explosive fury. Now, with seismic activity spiking and scientists on edge, will it blow its top again, sending ash plumes soaring up to 50,000 feet? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Mount Spurr has experienced an explosive eruption from its Crater Peak before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Alaska Volcano Observatory (AVO), however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
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