Events
Matches Brazilian Serie A 2025
Winner of each match of the Matches Brazilian Serie A 2025
Matches Ecuadorian Serie A 2025
Winner of each match of the Matches Ecuadorian Serie A 2025
Matches American Major League Soccer 2025
Winner of each match of the Matches American Major League Soccer 2025
Change in U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls May 2025
Prediction on Change in U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls May 2025 This is a Competitive Event with only one possible outcome Higher, Exactly, or Lower than the Current Median Estimate Prior Actual 177,000 positive Current Median Estimate 200,000 positive Nonfarm Payrolls measures the change in the number of people employed during the previous month, excluding the farming industry. Job creation is the foremost indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of economic activity. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
United States Unemployment Rate May - 2025
US Unemployment Rate May 2025 This is a Competitive Event: Higher, Exactly, or Lower than the Current Median Estimate Prior Actual 4.2% Current Median Estimate 4.2% The Unemployment Rate measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month. A higher than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD.
Strava Confirms US $500 Million in Annual Recurring Revenue
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if a credible reporting source confirms—before the Event Date Close—that Strava’s annual recurring revenue (ARR) has reached at least US $500 million during the preceding 12‑month period. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to settle to “Yes,” it may settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Strava, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Repeats as NBA MVP for the 2025‑26 Season
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if a credible reporting source confirms that Shai Gilgeous‑Alexander is named the NBA’s Most Valuable Player for the 2025‑26 regular season before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the NBA, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
White House Orders Roadmap to Privatize Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if a credible reporting source confirms that the President of the United States (or the White House Office of the Press Secretary) issues an Executive Order or Presidential Memorandum that explicitly directs federal agencies to prepare or implement a plan to privatize Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes”, the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to “No”. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
FDA Authorizes First Over‑The‑Counter Bakuchiol Cream with “Anti‑Wrinkle” Claim
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if the U.S. Food & Drug Administration issues—before the Event Date Close—an official OTC monograph or 510(k)/NDA clearance permitting any non‑prescription topical product containing bakuchiol as its primary active ingredient to advertise an “anti‑wrinkle” or equivalent claim. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the FDA, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
OpenAI Sets Launch Price Under $499 for Its First AI Companion Device
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the manufacturer’s suggested retail price (MSRP) for the first‑generation OpenAI AI companion device is announced at US $499 or less before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official pricing information from OpenAI, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
OpenAI Opens Public Pre‑Orders for the Jony Ive–Designed AI Companion Device
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that OpenAI (or an authorized retail partner) has begun accepting public pre‑orders with pricing for the AI companion device before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from OpenAI, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Google Maps Restores High‑Resolution Imagery over Mount Hayes
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Google Maps or Google Earth has updated its satellite layer so that high‑resolution imagery (comparable to surrounding terrain) fully covers Mount Hayes before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Google, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
CIA Declassifies New Mount Hayes ‘UFO Base’ Files
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the CIA has released (via CREST, FOIA, or an official press statement) at least one new, previously unseen document explicitly referencing Mount Hayes and alleged alien activity before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the CIA, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
FTC Mandates Influencer Disclosure of GLP‑1 Ozempic Use in Weight‑Loss Promotions
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if a credible reporting source confirms that the FTC has published new or amended guidance, policy, or regulation that expressly obliges social‑media influencers to disclose their use of GLP‑1–class weight‑loss drugs such as Ozempic when endorsing weight‑loss content, products, or services, before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information released by the U.S. Federal Trade Commission; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Christopher McQuarrie Nabs Best Director Nomination at 98th Oscars
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences includes Christopher McQuarrie on its official list of nominees for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards (honoring 2025 releases) before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be the Academy’s nomination press release or Oscars.com, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Car and Driver Clocks Vantage Roadster’s 0‑60 MPH at ≤ 3.40 Seconds
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Car and Driver (print or online) publishes instrumented test results showing a 0‑60 mph time of 3.40 seconds or faster for the 2025 Aston Martin Vantage Roadster before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be Car and Driver’s official road‑test data, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Aston Martin Begins 2025 Vantage Roadster Customer Deliveries
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that at least one retail customer (non‑press, non‑dealer) takes delivery of a 2025 Aston Martin Vantage Roadster anywhere in the world before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Aston Martin Lagonda, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Novo Nordisk Announces Paid Partnership With Janelle Rohner
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Novo Nordisk publicly names Janelle Rohner as a compensated partner, ambassador, or spokesperson in any marketing or educational initiative related to its GLP‑1 drugs before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Novo Nordisk, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
PepsiCo Announces Nationwide Uniform Pricing Policy in 2025
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that PepsiCo issues a public statement or SEC filing announcing a formal nationwide uniform pricing policy for its U.S. beverage products before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from PepsiCo, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Jacob deGrom Touches 100 MPH Again in 2025
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Jacob deGrom records at least one pitch measured at 100.0 mph or higher during any 2025 MLB regular‑season or postseason game before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official Statcast data published by MLB, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
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