Events
Which Price will BTC hit First in June 2025?
This Event Outcome will immediately Settle to "Yes" for the first price of any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between June 1, 2025, 00:00 and June 30, 2025, 23:59 in the ET time zone has a final "High" Price or "Low" Price of the Value Selected . Context: This Event Outcome is a prediction on the first price that BTC/USD will hit in the month of June for the possible outcomes selected. This is a Competitive Event with only one outcome possible as the first price that BTC/USD hits The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at binance.com BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
2025 Box‑Office Champion — Which Film Rules the Global Charts?
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” for the single Outcome corresponding to the film that finishes #1 on Box Office Mojo’s published “2025 Worldwide Box Office” chart as of 23:59 UTC on 31 January 2026 (allowing for late‑reporting territories and re‑issues). If a film not listed tops the chart, the Event will settle “No Winner.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be Box Office Mojo; however, corroborating data from The Numbers or Comscore may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Aaron Rodgers Next Play. Which NFL Team Gets the Four‑Time MVP?
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” for the single Outcome corresponding to the NFL team with which Aaron Rodgers is on the 53‑man roster and takes his first regular‑season offensive snap in the 2025 season on or before the Event Date Close. If Rodgers retires or remains unsigned through the Event Date Close, the market will settle “No Team.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the NFL, Rodgers’ contract filings, or team announcements; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Who Will Claim the 2025 Formula 1 World Drivers’ Crown?
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” for the single Outcome corresponding to the driver officially declared 2025 FIA Formula 1 World Drivers’ Champion on or before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for any listed driver to be declared champion (e.g., season cancellation), the Event may settle “No Winner.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the FIA and Formula 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Eli Lilly Drops Zepbound Price Below $300
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if a credible reporting source confirms that Eli Lilly has publicly announced a U.S. price of $299 USD or lower for any strength of Zepbound (tirzepatide) in a vial or syringe presentation on or before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Eli Lilly; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Novo Nordisk Slashes Wegovy Vial Price to $399 or Less
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if a credible reporting source confirms that Novo Nordisk has publicly announced a U.S. list‑price (or manufacturer‑advertised cash price) of $399 USD or lower per 28‑day supply of Wegovy (semaglutide) in vial form on or before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Novo Nordisk; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Matches Argentinian Primera Division 2025
Winner of each match of the Matches Argentinian Primera Division 2025
Matches Brazilian Serie A 2025
Winner of each match of the Matches Brazilian Serie A 2025
Matches Ecuadorian Serie A 2025
Winner of each match of the Matches Ecuadorian Serie A 2025
Matches American Major League Soccer 2025
Winner of each match of the Matches American Major League Soccer 2025
Strava Confirms US $500 Million in Annual Recurring Revenue
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if a credible reporting source confirms—before the Event Date Close—that Strava’s annual recurring revenue (ARR) has reached at least US $500 million during the preceding 12‑month period. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to settle to “Yes,” it may settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Strava, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
White House Orders Roadmap to Privatize Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if a credible reporting source confirms that the President of the United States (or the White House Office of the Press Secretary) issues an Executive Order or Presidential Memorandum that explicitly directs federal agencies to prepare or implement a plan to privatize Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes”, the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to “No”. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
FDA Authorizes First Over‑The‑Counter Bakuchiol Cream with “Anti‑Wrinkle” Claim
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if the U.S. Food & Drug Administration issues—before the Event Date Close—an official OTC monograph or 510(k)/NDA clearance permitting any non‑prescription topical product containing bakuchiol as its primary active ingredient to advertise an “anti‑wrinkle” or equivalent claim. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the FDA, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
OpenAI Sets Launch Price Under $499 for Its First AI Companion Device
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the manufacturer’s suggested retail price (MSRP) for the first‑generation OpenAI AI companion device is announced at US $499 or less before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official pricing information from OpenAI, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
OpenAI Opens Public Pre‑Orders for the Jony Ive–Designed AI Companion Device
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that OpenAI (or an authorized retail partner) has begun accepting public pre‑orders with pricing for the AI companion device before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from OpenAI, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Google Maps Restores High‑Resolution Imagery over Mount Hayes
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Google Maps or Google Earth has updated its satellite layer so that high‑resolution imagery (comparable to surrounding terrain) fully covers Mount Hayes before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Google, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
CIA Declassifies New Mount Hayes ‘UFO Base’ Files
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the CIA has released (via CREST, FOIA, or an official press statement) at least one new, previously unseen document explicitly referencing Mount Hayes and alleged alien activity before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the CIA, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
FTC Mandates Influencer Disclosure of GLP‑1 Ozempic Use in Weight‑Loss Promotions
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if a credible reporting source confirms that the FTC has published new or amended guidance, policy, or regulation that expressly obliges social‑media influencers to disclose their use of GLP‑1–class weight‑loss drugs such as Ozempic when endorsing weight‑loss content, products, or services, before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information released by the U.S. Federal Trade Commission; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Christopher McQuarrie Nabs Best Director Nomination at 98th Oscars
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences includes Christopher McQuarrie on its official list of nominees for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards (honoring 2025 releases) before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be the Academy’s nomination press release or Oscars.com, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Car and Driver Clocks Vantage Roadster’s 0‑60 MPH at ≤ 3.40 Seconds
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Car and Driver (print or online) publishes instrumented test results showing a 0‑60 mph time of 3.40 seconds or faster for the 2025 Aston Martin Vantage Roadster before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be Car and Driver’s official road‑test data, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.