Events
Fed Decision June 18th Up Down Flat
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members vote on where to set the rate. Traders watch interest rate changes closely as short term interest rates are the primary factor in currency valuation. A higher than expected rate is positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected rate is negative/bearish for the USD. The Federal Reserve will raise, keep flat, or lower Fed Funds for its June 18th FOMC meeting? Current Fed Funds Target is 4.50% https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DFEDTARU
Will Lawmakers Introduce Bill to Block Alcatraz Prison Plan?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a bill or resolution has been introduced in the California State Legislature to oppose or block the reopening of Alcatraz as a prison before the Event Date Close. Context: Trump’s May 5, 2025, proposal to reopen Alcatraz as a prison has drawn sharp criticism from San Francisco, with state Sen. Scott Wiener calling it “unhinged”. California’s Democratic-majority legislature has a history of opposing federal policies, such as passing resolutions against the REAL ID Act, making legislative action plausible. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be the California State Legislature’s official website, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Where will the next piece of space junk land on Earth?
Where will the first piece of space junk crash-land? Context: The satellite industry has grown rapidly, with over 12,000 satellites in orbit as of 2025, driven by companies like SpaceX (Starlink) and Amazon (Project Kuiper). Most satellites are designed to burn up in the atmosphere or land in uninhabited areas like oceans during controlled reentries. However, rare incidents of debris reaching populated areas have occurred, such as a 2.5 kg piece of SpaceX Starlink debris found in Saskatchewan, Canada, in August 2024, and Falcon-9 fragments impacting a village in Poland in February 2025. Previous Incident from CNN "A piece of garbage jettisoned from the International Space Station unexpectedly survived a fiery reentry from orbit last month and pierced the roof of a home in Florida, according to NASA. When the federal agency disposed of a slab of spaceborne refuse weighing about 5,800 pounds (2,630 kilograms), it expected the trash to disintegrate as it plunged into Earth’s atmosphere on March 8. But a small piece of the cargo roughly the size of a smartphone survived — and it crashed into a home in Naples, Florida, last month, NASA confirmed in an April 15" This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that satellite debris landed in the Selected location before the Event Date Close. If no such report is made, it settles to "No". The primary source will be reports from space agencies or reputable news outlets.
Harvard Shake-Up: Will Pritzker Pack Her Bags?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Penny Pritzker has resigned from her position as Senior Fellow at The Harvard Corporation before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Harvard University, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Starlink Saves the Day: Will FAA Tap Musk’s Satellites?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the FAA has adopted Starlink as a backup for air-traffic control communications before the Event Date Close. Early Settlement: If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the FAA or SpaceX, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will IRS Revoke Harvard's Tax-Exempt Status?
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if the IRS officially announces the revocation of Harvard University’s tax-exempt status before the Event Date Close. Context: The law—Section 501(c)3—says the tax exemption applies to a corporation “organized and operated exclusively for religious, charitable, scientific, testing for public safety, literary, or educational purposes ... no substantial part of the activities of which is carrying on propaganda . . . and which does not participate in, or intervene in (including the publishing or distributing of statements), any political campaign on behalf of (or in opposition to) any candidate for public office.” If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes”, the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to “No”. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the IRS or consensus from credible news sources such as The New York Times, CNN, or The Wall Street Journal. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Sovereignty's Summer Sprint: Will It Claim Another Grade 1 Victory by August?
Fresh off its triumphant win at the Kentucky Derby, all eyes are on Sovereignty as it prepares for the summer racing season. Can this champion thoroughbred add another Grade 1 trophy to its collection before the end of August? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if Sovereignty wins at least one Grade 1 race between May 5, 2025, and August 31, 2025, as confirmed by official racing results. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official racing results from recognized authorities such as Equibase, BloodHorse, or the Daily Racing Form (DRF). The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Screwworms Invade US Livestock Again?
Will there be a confirmed case in livestock within the next few months? Historically, screwworms were eradicated from the US in the 1980s, but over 950 cases in Mexico in 2025 raise fears of a border breach. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms at least one case of screwworm infestation in livestock within the continental United States before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the USDA or state agricultural departments, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a Confirmed Case from a credible reporting source.
Whole Foods to Stock THC Drinks in California?
Whole Foods, known for its natural and organic products, start selling hemp-derived THC beverages in California? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Whole Foods has started selling hemp-derived THC beverages in California before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Whole Foods or its parent company Amazon, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Max Verstappen Win the 2025 Austrian Grand Prix?
Can Max Verstappen, driving the Red Bull beast reminiscent of the RB19, triumph at his home Austrian Grand Prix? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if Max Verstappen wins the 2025 Austrian Grand Prix before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official Formula One race results, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a Sports Event Outcome from a credible reporting source.
Will S&P, Moody’s or Fitch Place Harvard’s AAA Rating on Negative Outlook?
Will credit rating Agencies S&P, Moody’s or Fitch slap a negative outlook on Harvard’s AAA rating by summer’s end? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that S&P Global Ratings, Fitch or Moody’s Investors Service has changed Harvard University’s AAA credit rating outlook to negative before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from S&P , Fitch or Moody’s, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a Financial Rating Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Berkshire Hathaway Pay Its First Dividend by December 31, 2025?
Will Greg Abel shatter Berkshire’s no-dividend tradition by announcing a payout before December 31, 2025? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Berkshire Hathaway has officially declared a dividend before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome does not require the payment to be made in 2025, only the Declaration of a Dividend. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from Berkshire Hathaway or SEC filings, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a Corporate Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will AT&T Sponsor Major League Cricket Team ?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that AT&T has announced a sponsorship deal with Major League Cricket Team before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Major League Cricket or AT&T, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Which Company Will Launch Deep-Sea Mining First?
Which company will be the first to announce the start of commercial deep-sea mining operations before the Event Date Close? The Untied States Executive order, signed on April 24, 2025, encourages rapid development of deep-sea mining, bypassing the International Seabed Authority (ISA) and fostering partnerships with companies and nations. This Event Outcome will Settle to the name of the company (TMC, Loke Marine Minerals, GSR, CSR, Impossible Metals, or Green Minerals) that first announces the start of commercial deep-sea mining operations, as confirmed by a credible reporting source before the Event Date Close. If no company announces by the deadline, the Event Outcome may Settle to "No." If it becomes impossible for any company to announce before the Event Date Close, the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No." The primary source will be official company announcements or credible news reports, but a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Taylor Swift to Blast Off with Blue Origin?
Could Swift be the next big name to join the cosmic club? Will Taylor Swift will be announced as part of Blue Origin's next crew, promising a stratospheric boost to her already sky-high fame. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Taylor Swift has been announced as part of the next Blue Origin crew before the Event Day Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Blue Origin, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Race to the Skies: Which Company Will First Get FAA Type Certification for a Flying Car?
The future of transportation is taking off! Will Joby Aviation soar ahead with its advanced eVTOL, or will Archer Aviation surprise the pack? Perhaps Alef Aeronautics’ unique flying car or Beta Technologies’ innovative approach will clinch the prize. Bet on which company—Joby, Archer, Alef, or Beta—will be the first to secure FAA type certification by the end of 2025, or if none will make it in time. Join the high-flying action! This Event Outcome will Settle based on which company first receives FAA type certification for their flying car or eVTOL aircraft before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for any company to receive certification before the Event Date Close, the Event Outcome may Settle to "None". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the FAA or the respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Which Flying Car Company will Tesla buy?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Tesla has announced the acquisition of a flying car company before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Tesla or the acquired company, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Who will get first CAC Approval for the NYC Casino?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Bidder is the first to have received approval from its respective Community Advisory Committee (CAC) before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the respective Community Advisory Committees or the proposers, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will a bill be introduced in any US state legislature to allow an AI Robot to run for Governor or City Council?
Could California or Massachusetts end up debating whether an AI robots could govern, proposing legislation to redefine candidacy laws. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a bill has been introduced in any US state legislature to allow an AI robots to run for Governor before the Event Date Close. The Bill does not have to pass or be approved, the Bill only has to be introduced or tabled for Debate for the Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes" If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official state legislature websites or credible news reports, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Which State Audi will pick for its first U.S. factory?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Audi has chosen the selected US State for its first U.S. factory before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Audi or Volkswagen, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.