Events
Will The Elder Scrolls VI be released before January 1, 2029?
33%
$28,585 Vol
Tesla vs SpaceX: Will Tesla's market cap reach these % of SpaceX's at the Dec 31, 2026 close?
Above 60%
Above 70%
+3 more
$33,812 Vol
Will 10+ GTA VI critic reviews be published and listed on Metacritic before 12:00 AM ET Nov 19, 2026?
82%
$16,470 Vol
Will Microsoft raise the US price of any Xbox Series X|S console again before July 1, 2027?
78%
$33,577 Vol
Will Apple announce an eyewear brand partner for its smart glasses by Dec 31, 2027?
23%
$40,973 Vol
What will Apple officially name its smart home display (the rumored "HomePad")?
HomePod-branded
Home-branded
+3 more
$30,840 Vol
Will Apple announce a MacBook with a Dynamic Island by December 31, 2026?
74%
$30,065 Vol
Will OpenAI officially announce two distinct consumer hardware devices before 2028?
68%
$26,781 Vol
OpenAI valuation milestones by June 30, 2027: $1T, $1.25T, $1.5T?
$1 trillion
$1.25 trillion
+1 more
$28,788 Vol
Will Anthropic's IPO raise more than $75B (excluding greenshoe) by Dec 31, 2026?
80%
$34,859 Vol
Will Tesla's next-gen Roadster lift fully off the ground in a live demo by October 31, 2026?
60%
$36,345 Vol
Will Valve officially announce a new Half-Life game by November 16, 2026?
19%
$30,493 Vol
Will the EU Commission issue DSA preliminary findings or a decision against X over its recommender algorithm by Dec 31, 2026?
26%
$15,575 Vol
Will OpenAI formally declare it has achieved AGI before January 1, 2027?
23%
$68,114 Vol
Will Apple settle the UK iPhone 'batterygate' class action (Gutmann v Apple) by December 31, 2027?
43%
$50,453 Vol
How many Orb-verified humans will World (Sam Altman's World ID) report before April 2027?
20 million
21 million
+1 more
$69,961 Vol
Will Texas settle its smart TV 'ACR spying' lawsuit with Sony, Hisense or TCL by March 31, 2027?
52%
$25,804 Vol
Nasir El-Rufai number of tweets October 3 - October 10, 2026?
< 12
12 - 13
+3 more
$99,793 Vol
Atiku Abubakar number of tweets October 3 - October 10, 2026?
< 6
6 - 10
+3 more
$159,553 Vol
JD Vance number of tweets October 3 - October 10, 2026?
< 7
7 - 11
+3 more
$124,955 Vol