Will a 7.0+ magnitude quake unleash a tsunami warning, sending millions fleeing Japan’s shores? Imagine the sirens screaming as waves loom—will coastal cities empty out in a frantic exodus? Trade on whether this seismic nightmare triggers a mass evacuation! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a 7.0+ magnitude earthquake in Japan triggers a tsunami warning, leading to a widespread coastal evacuation before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Ryan Coogler’s vampire epic ‘Sinners,’ starring Hailee Steinfeld and Michael B. Jordan, has taken 2025 by storm, earning a perfect 100% on Rotten Tomatoes and massive fan buzz. With its bold take on the Black experience, will this thriller sink its teeth into the Best Picture Oscar? The resolves as “Yes” if ‘Sinners’ wins Best Picture at the 2025 Academy Awards, as announced by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be 2025 Academy Awards, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Elon Musk drop a jaw-dropping announcement about privatizing NASA? Picture the storm as the Tesla titan unveils his wildest plan yet—a takeover of America’s space agency. Will he spill the cosmic beans? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Elon Musk has publicly announced plans to privatize NASA before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be Musk’s own statements (e.g., via Twitter or interviews), however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Congress drop a bombshell bill to privatize NASA, handing Elon Musk the keys to the cosmos? Picture the political fireworks as lawmakers push to overhaul space exploration. Will this game-changing legislation hit the floor? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a bill to privatize NASA has been introduced in Congress before the Event Date Close. Context: Privatization debates have swirled around government agencies for decades. With SpaceX’s success, some policymakers see privatizing NASA as a cost-effective move, especially with Musk’s influence in the mix. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official Congressional records, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Alaska’s sleeping giant roar to life? Mount Spurr, just 81 miles from Anchorage, last erupted in 1992, shaking the region with explosive fury. Now, with seismic activity spiking and scientists on edge, will it blow its top again, sending ash plumes soaring up to 50,000 feet? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Mount Spurr has experienced an explosive eruption from its Crater Peak before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Alaska Volcano Observatory (AVO), however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Musk’s companies ditch DST in a bold move? Picture Tesla factories or SpaceX launches ignoring the clock change. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Tesla, SpaceX, or another Musk-led company implements a policy to ignore daylight saving time before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official company statements, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will McDonald’s flip the fast-food game with a robot-run drive-thru? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that McDonald’s has launched a fully robot-operated drive-thru before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from McDonald’s, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will ditch the Sixers for a new squad before the 2025-26 tip-off? The off-season is heating up, and Embiid’s future is the NBA’s biggest question mark. Bets on whether the Process gets traded to another team before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Joel Embiid has been traded to another NBA team before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official NBA announcements or team statements, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will ditch the Suns for a new squad before the 2025-2026 tip-off? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Kevin Durant has been traded to another NBA team before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official NBA announcements or team statements, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
The Los Angeles Lakers thrive on star power, and with LeBron James eyeing his final chapters, they might crave Trae Young’s electric scoring and playmaking. Rumors have swirled about L.A. chasing big names—could Trae be next? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Los Angeles Lakers are in active trade talks to acquire Trae Young before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Trae Young will sign with the Los Angeles Lakers before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the Los Angeles Lakers or the Atlanta Hawks, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Trae Young has dazzled NBA fans since 2018 as the Atlanta Hawks’ icy sharpshooter, famously leading them to the 2021 Eastern Conference Finals. Will Trae Young will drop a bombshell by publicly demanding a trade before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Trae Young has publicly requested a trade before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Trae Young has been traded before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Trae Young or the Atlanta Hawks, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
The Miami Heat have been known for their aggressive pursuit of star players, famously landing LeBron James and Chris Bosh in 2010. With a strong culture and a history of success, Miami could be an attractive destination for Giannis. Will the Heat make a bold move to acquire the two-time MVP? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Miami Heat are in active trade talks to acquire Giannis Antetokounmpo before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the Miami Heat or the Milwaukee Bucks, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Representativeis a stock-trading machine, racking up 264 trades since January. Will he hit the jackpot and surpass 1,000 trades before the Event Date Close? His market moves clash with his campaign pledge—place your bets! Context: Since taking office in January 2025, Bresnahan has reported 264 stock trades, making him one of the most active traders in the freshman class. His trades include big names like Caterpillar and Boeing, tied to his committee work, despite his anti-trading rhetoric on the campaign trail. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Representative Rob Bresnahan Jr. has reported more than 500 stock trades before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official financial disclosures, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Hershey’s stock rally past $200 by December 31? Context: There is the pending acquisition of LesserEvil Popcorn and rising cocoa prices to consider. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible financial source confirms that Hershey's stock price closes above $200 at anytime before December 31, 2025, which is the Event Date Close. The Event Outcome will be adjusted for stock splits, but not dividend distributions. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official stock market data, however a consensus of credible financial reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a Stock Price from a credible financial source.
Who will acquire a percentage stake in TikTok ? (anything up to and including 100%) This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the named Party has acquired or will acquire any percentage ownership up to and including 100% in TikTok before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from The United States Govenment, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will the NBER, the official recession referee, drop the dreaded "R" word before the end of 2025? Context: NEBR is The National Bureau of Economic Research and the official adjudicator for if a Recession has started in the United States This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the NBER has declared a recession in the United States before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the NBER, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will the CIA unleash more spine-chilling files on the Siberian UFO massacre? The original 250-page KGB dossier, declassified in 2000, stunned the world with tales of aliens turning Soviet soldiers to stone. With the 2017 UFO video release still fresh in memory, could another alien bombshell drop? Bet on whether the CIA’s vault hides more extraterrestrial secrets! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the CIA has released additional documents specifically about the Siberian UFO incident before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official CIA statements or declassified documents, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Rose Hanbury, the Marchioness of Cholmondeley, flip and confirm the scandalous whispers? Linked to Prince William since 2019 affair rumors surfaced, her silence has only stoked curiosity. With William turning to Mishcon de Reya, could she echo Camilla Parker Bowles—who went public with Charles—and admit to being the royal “other woman”? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Rose Hanbury has publicly admitted to a relationship with Prince William before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be interviews with Rose Hanbury or official statements, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will the fairy-tale marriage of Prince William and Catherine Middleton end in a royal rupture? With William hiring Mishcon de Reya—the same firm that secured Princess Diana’s divorce from Charles in 1996—rumors of a split intensify. The whispers of an affair with Rose Hanbury, swirling since 2019, add fuel to the fire. Could this be the beginning of the end? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Prince William has filed for divorce from Catherine Middleton before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official court filings or statements from Kensington Palace, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Can Democrats surf a blue wave to steal Florida’s Sixth District from the GOP in 2026? The special election in 2025 was tighter than expected—Randy Fine won by just 14 points in a district Trump’s ally Mike Waltz took by 33. With abortion and union fights heating up, could Dems turn this red stronghold purple? Historically, midterms swing against the president’s party—think 2018’s House flip. Is Florida next? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a Democratic candidate wins Florida’s Sixth Congressional District in the 2026 midterm elections before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official election results, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.