Events
Trump Pardons Mel Gibson’s Domestic Violence Conviction
Will Trump swoop in to save his pal Mel Gibson with a presidential pardon, wiping that 2011 domestic violence stain clean? Place your bets—will the Don flex his clemency muscle for the “Lethal Weapon” star before the Event Date Close, or leave him hanging? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that President Trump pardons Mel Gibson’s 2011 domestic violence conviction before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Poilievre's Conservatives Win Majority Government
Can populist wave sweep him to a majority government? Imagine the Conservative leader dominating with over 170 seats—bet on whether he crushes the competition before the Event Date Close! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Conservative Party has won at least 170 seats in the federal election before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Elections Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Election Outcome from a credible reporting source.
Google's Comeback: Will Sycamore 2.0 Outpace Zuchongzhi-3?
After being eclipsed by China's quantum titan, will Google strike back with a souped-up Sycamore that beats Zuchongzhi-3's speed on a benchmark task before the Event Date Close? Bet on whether Silicon Valley reclaims the quantum crown! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Google has announced a new quantum processor that demonstrates a computational advantage over Zuchongzhi-3 in a recognized benchmark task before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from Google, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Bezos’s Buying Spree: Will He Snag a Fourth Miami Mansion in 2025?
Will Amazon’s billionaire Jeff Bezos keep his Miami real estate binge going? He’s already nabbed three swanky Indian Creek pads—bet on whether he snags a fourth before the Event Date Close! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Jeff Bezos has purchased a fourth mansion in the Miami area before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official records or statements related to Jeff Bezos’ real estate transactions, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a Property Purchase from a credible reporting source.
Michelle Obama’s New Podcast "IMO" Tops Spotify Charts
Michelle Obama's venture into video podcasting with her new show "IMO" is set to debut. Will the former First Lady captivate audiences enough for her podcast to claim the #1 spot on Spotify’s podcast charts? Place your bets on podcast dominance before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms "IMO" reached the #1 podcast position on Spotify's charts before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official Spotify charts or credible entertainment news sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Couche-Tard Increases Buyout Offer for Seven & i
Will Couche-Tard up the ante to snag Seven & i? Imagine the Canadian retailer tossing more cash on the table to win this $47.5 billion prize—bet on whether they sweeten the deal before the Event Date Close! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Alimentation Couche-Tard has increased its buyout offer for Seven & i Holdings before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Alimentation Couche-Tard, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
US Senate Votes on NATO Withdrawal Bill
Will the Senate take a historic vote on leaving NATO? Bet on whether lawmakers debate and vote on a bill to exit the alliance before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the US Senate has voted on a bill regarding NATO withdrawal before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official records from the US Senate, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on Legislative Action from a credible reporting source.
Apple Launches Ray-Ban Style AI Glasses
Will Apple steal Meta’s thunder with its own AI-powered Ray-Ban rival? Picture chic glasses with iPhone magic—bet on whether Apple shades the competition before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Apple has launched AI-powered glasses similar to Meta’s Ray-Ban offering before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Apple, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Gold Imports Hit Record High Amid Tariff Fears
Will gold hoarders flood the U.S. with shiny bars, dodging Trump’s tariff hammer? Picture traders stacking bullion sky-high—bet on whether gold imports smash records before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that U.S. gold imports in a single month exceed $40 billion (surpassing January 2025’s $33 billion) before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official U.S. trade data, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Musk Funds a Study to Prove Daylight Savings Harms Productivity
Will Elon Musk, the efficiency-obsessed mogul, bankroll a study slamming Daylight Savings Time? Picture graphs showing sleepy workers and lost billions—bet on whether Musk funds this productivity exposé before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Elon Musk or one of his companies has funded a study linking Daylight Savings Time to reduced productivity before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Musk or his companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Japan’s Service Robot Market Hits ¥300 Billion in 2025
Will Japan’s service robot boom claw its way to ¥300 billion ($1.33 billion) this year? With cat-bots and care devices surging, bet on whether the market rockets past projections ahead of schedule before the Event Date Close—meow or never! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Japan’s service robot market reaches ¥300 billion in 2025 before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source will be official market data from Fuji Keizai Co., though a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. This is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
K. Wah Group Acquires Rival Casino Operator in Hong Kong
Will drop a bombshell by swallowing a rival casino operator, cementing their $12 billion dominance? Picture the high-roller stakes as Hong Kong’s gambling scene consolidates—bet on whether they’ll seal the deal before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that K. Wah Group has acquired a rival casino operator in Hong Kong before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from K. Wah Group, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Paddy Lui Takes Over as Galaxy Entertainment CEO
Will sister Paddy Lui, the casino dynasty’s executive director, snatch the CEO crown from brother Francis in a family power play? Imagine the drama as Hong Kong’s gambling empire shifts hands—bet on whether Paddy steps up before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Paddy Lui has been appointed CEO of Galaxy Entertainment Group before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Galaxy Entertainment Group, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Francis Lui Expands Casino Empire with New Macau Mega-Resort
Will Francis Lui, the new kingpin of the Lui casino dynasty, roll the dice on a glitzy new mega-resort in Macau to cement his legacy? Imagine high rollers flocking to a neon-lit paradise—bet on whether this structural engineering mastermind unveils a game-changing casino project before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Francis Lui or Galaxy Entertainment Group announces a new mega-resort project in Macau before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Galaxy Entertainment Group, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
S.N.L: Mike Myers to Return as Elon Musk on "S.N.L."
Will Mike Myers dust off his Dr. Evil laugh and reprise his Musk-tastic "S.N.L." role for another sketch? After stealing the show, bet on whether this comedy legend will channel Elon again before the Event Date Close—because who doesn’t love a billionaire with a dance? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Mike Myers appears as Elon Musk in a new "Saturday Night Live" sketch before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official "S.N.L." broadcasts or announcements, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
S.N.L: Trump wants Thai Takeout Over Panama Canal
Will President Trump ditch the Panama Canal and go all-in for Thailand, as hilariously pitched on "S.N.L."? Picture the headlines: "Trump Wants Thai Takeout!" Bet on whether he’ll make a wild foreign policy move favoring Thailand before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that President Trump has proposed or pursued acquiring influence over Thailand (e.g., territory, trade deal) over the Panama Canal before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Congressional Request for AutoPen Signature Verification for Biden
Will a member of Congress demand verification of President Biden’s signatures on key documents? Picture the political chess game as concerns about autopen usage surface—bet on whether such a request will be made before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a member of Congress has formally requested verification of President Biden’s signatures on official documents, citing concerns about autopen usage, before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official congressional statements or credible media reports. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Elon Musk Bids to Acquire Chrome from Google
Will the tech titan Elon Musk add Chrome to his empire, merging browsing with his bold vision? Imagine surfing the web with a Muskian twist—bet on whether Google will sell Chrome to Elon Musk before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Google has sold Chrome to Elon Musk before the Event Date Close to abide by the DOJ divestment order. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The announcement of Bid does not reflect the close of the transaction which will be subject to FTC and DOJ approvals among many other Regulatory Bodies. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from Google or Elon Musk's companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Ambani Family Acquires Majority Stake in Oval Invincibles
Will the Ambani empire go all-in on English cricket? Picture India's richest family taking full control of the Oval Invincibles—bet on whether they'll secure a majority stake before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Ambani family has acquired a majority stake (over 50%) in the Oval Invincibles before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from the Ambani family or the ECB, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
The Hundred League Expands to Include New Teams
Will The Hundred league hit a six by adding new teams to its roster? Imagine cricket fever spreading as fresh franchises join the fray—bet on whether the league will announce an expansion before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that The Hundred league has announced the addition of new teams before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "No", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from the England and Wales Cricket Board (ECB), however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
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