Events
Powell Resigns as Fed Chair Before Term Ends
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Jerome Powell has resigned as Federal Reserve Chair before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Jerome Powell is no longer the Federal Reserve Chair for any reason including but not limited to Personal Reasons, change in an Act of Congress or being fired before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Federal Reserve or Powell himself, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a change in the Chairman of the Federal Reserve from a credible reporting source.
Hostess® Twinkies Launches a Cannabis infused Snack
Hostess takes the plunge and rolls out a Twinkies cannabis infused treat? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Hostess has launched a cannabis THC or CBD infused product and is rolling this out nationwide to Licensed Cannabis Stores before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Hostess or Smucker, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a Product Launch from a credible reporting source.
Will Argentina's Currency Crash Past 1,400 per Dollar?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Argentine peso has traded at or above 1,400 per US dollar at any time before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official exchange rate data from the Central Bank of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on Currency Value from a credible reporting source.
Hertz Shares Surge Past $5 After Ackman's Stake
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Hertz's stock price has closed above $5.00 before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official stock market data, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a Stock Price Movement from a credible reporting source.
Kodiak Robotics AI SPAC Doubles its Market Cap from the IPO Price.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Kodiak Robotics AI SPAC has reached at least twice its initial market capitalization within 30 days of going public in its IPO. The IPO Date and Initial Share Filing Price have yet to be set. This Event Outcome can only be resolved when the IPO Date and Initial Share Filing Price have been confirmed in the 8-K or S-3 filing. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Kodiak Robotics, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Tsunami Sirens Blare: Will Japan’s Coastline Evacuate in Chaos?
Will a 7.0+ magnitude quake unleash a tsunami warning, sending millions fleeing Japan’s shores? Imagine the sirens screaming as waves loom—will coastal cities empty out in a frantic exodus? Trade on whether this seismic nightmare triggers a mass evacuation! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a 7.0+ magnitude earthquake in Japan triggers a tsunami warning, leading to a widespread coastal evacuation before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will ‘Sinners’ by Ryan Coogler Win Best Picture at the 2025 Academy Awards?
Ryan Coogler’s vampire epic ‘Sinners,’ starring Hailee Steinfeld and Michael B. Jordan, has taken 2025 by storm, earning a perfect 100% on Rotten Tomatoes and massive fan buzz. With its bold take on the Black experience, will this thriller sink its teeth into the Best Picture Oscar? The resolves as “Yes” if ‘Sinners’ wins Best Picture at the 2025 Academy Awards, as announced by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be 2025 Academy Awards, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Elon Musk Announces Plans to Privatize NASA
Will Elon Musk drop a jaw-dropping announcement about privatizing NASA? Picture the storm as the Tesla titan unveils his wildest plan yet—a takeover of America’s space agency. Will he spill the cosmic beans? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Elon Musk has publicly announced plans to privatize NASA before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be Musk’s own statements (e.g., via Twitter or interviews), however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Congress Introduces Bill to Privatize NASA
Will Congress drop a bombshell bill to privatize NASA, handing Elon Musk the keys to the cosmos? Picture the political fireworks as lawmakers push to overhaul space exploration. Will this game-changing legislation hit the floor? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a bill to privatize NASA has been introduced in Congress before the Event Date Close. Context: Privatization debates have swirled around government agencies for decades. With SpaceX’s success, some policymakers see privatizing NASA as a cost-effective move, especially with Musk’s influence in the mix. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official Congressional records, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Mount Spurr Erupts
Will Alaska’s sleeping giant roar to life? Mount Spurr, just 81 miles from Anchorage, last erupted in 1992, shaking the region with explosive fury. Now, with seismic activity spiking and scientists on edge, will it blow its top again, sending ash plumes soaring up to 50,000 feet? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Mount Spurr has experienced an explosive eruption from its Crater Peak before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Alaska Volcano Observatory (AVO), however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Tesla or SpaceX Adopts Year-Round Standard Time
Will Musk’s companies ditch DST in a bold move? Picture Tesla factories or SpaceX launches ignoring the clock change. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Tesla, SpaceX, or another Musk-led company implements a policy to ignore daylight saving time before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official company statements, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
McDonald’s Launches Robot-Only Drive-Thru
Will McDonald’s flip the fast-food game with a robot-run drive-thru? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that McDonald’s has launched a fully robot-operated drive-thru before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from McDonald’s, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Panama Pulls the Plug: Hutchison’s Port Concessions Revoked
Will Panama’s government terminate CK Hutchison’s concessions for the Panama Canal ports? With allegations of unpaid fees and improper clearances, this could be a major blow to Hutchison and the BlackRock deal. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Panama has terminated CK Hutchison’s concessions for the Panama Canal ports before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Panama Maritime Authority or Panama’s government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used.
China’s Checkmate: Beijing Halts BlackRock’s Port Deal
Will China use its regulatory power to block BlackRock’s acquisition of the Panama Canal ports? With state media calling the deal a "betrayal," Beijing might flex its muscles in this high-stakes game. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that China’s antitrust authorities or other regulatory bodies have blocked BlackRock’s acquisition of the ports before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from China’s State Administration for Market Regulation, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Embiid Traded Before Season Starts!
Will ditch the Sixers for a new squad before the 2025-26 tip-off? The off-season is heating up, and Embiid’s future is the NBA’s biggest question mark. Bets on whether the Process gets traded to another team before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Joel Embiid has been traded to another NBA team before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official NBA announcements or team statements, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Kevin Durant Traded Before the 2025-2026 Season Starts!
Will ditch the Suns for a new squad before the 2025-2026 tip-off? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Kevin Durant has been traded to another NBA team before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official NBA announcements or team statements, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Lakers in Hot Pursuit of Trae Young Trade?
The Los Angeles Lakers thrive on star power, and with LeBron James eyeing his final chapters, they might crave Trae Young’s electric scoring and playmaking. Rumors have swirled about L.A. chasing big names—could Trae be next? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Los Angeles Lakers are in active trade talks to acquire Trae Young before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Trae Young will sign with the Los Angeles Lakers before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the Los Angeles Lakers or the Atlanta Hawks, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Trae Young Demands Out of Atlanta!
Trae Young has dazzled NBA fans since 2018 as the Atlanta Hawks’ icy sharpshooter, famously leading them to the 2021 Eastern Conference Finals. Will Trae Young will drop a bombshell by publicly demanding a trade before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Trae Young has publicly requested a trade before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Trae Young has been traded before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Trae Young or the Atlanta Hawks, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Miami Heat in Talks to Trade for Giannis Antetokounmpo
The Miami Heat have been known for their aggressive pursuit of star players, famously landing LeBron James and Chris Bosh in 2010. With a strong culture and a history of success, Miami could be an attractive destination for Giannis. Will the Heat make a bold move to acquire the two-time MVP? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Miami Heat are in active trade talks to acquire Giannis Antetokounmpo before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the Miami Heat or the Milwaukee Bucks, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Giannis Antetokounmpo Publicly Requests a Trade
Giannis Antetokounmpo has been the cornerstone of the Milwaukee Bucks since being drafted in 2013, leading them to an NBA championship in 2021. However, after recent playoff disappointments, rumors have swirled about his potential desire to seek a new challenge. Will the Greek Freak shock the NBA world by publicly demanding a trade before the Event Date Close? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Giannis Antetokounmpo has publicly requested a trade before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Giannis Antetokounmpo has been traded before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Giannis Antetokounmpo or the Milwaukee Bucks, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
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