This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if a credible reporting source confirms that Novo Nordisk has publicly announced a U.S. list‑price (or manufacturer‑advertised cash price) of $399 USD or lower per 28‑day supply of Wegovy (semaglutide) in vial form on or before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Novo Nordisk; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Winner of each match of the Matches NFL 2025
Winner of each match of the Matches Argentinian Primera Division 2025
Winner of each match of the Matches Brazilian Serie A 2025
Winner of each match of the Matches Ecuadorian Serie A 2025
Winner of each match of the Matches American Major League Soccer 2025
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if a credible reporting source confirms—before the Event Date Close—that Strava’s annual recurring revenue (ARR) has reached at least US $500 million during the preceding 12‑month period. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to settle to “Yes,” it may settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Strava, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if a credible reporting source confirms that the President of the United States (or the White House Office of the Press Secretary) issues an Executive Order or Presidential Memorandum that explicitly directs federal agencies to prepare or implement a plan to privatize Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes”, the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to “No”. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if the U.S. Food & Drug Administration issues—before the Event Date Close—an official OTC monograph or 510(k)/NDA clearance permitting any non‑prescription topical product containing bakuchiol as its primary active ingredient to advertise an “anti‑wrinkle” or equivalent claim. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the FDA, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the manufacturer’s suggested retail price (MSRP) for the first‑generation OpenAI AI companion device is announced at US $499 or less before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official pricing information from OpenAI, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that OpenAI (or an authorized retail partner) has begun accepting public pre‑orders with pricing for the AI companion device before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from OpenAI, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Google Maps or Google Earth has updated its satellite layer so that high‑resolution imagery (comparable to surrounding terrain) fully covers Mount Hayes before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Google, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the CIA has released (via CREST, FOIA, or an official press statement) at least one new, previously unseen document explicitly referencing Mount Hayes and alleged alien activity before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the CIA, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if a credible reporting source confirms that the FTC has published new or amended guidance, policy, or regulation that expressly obliges social‑media influencers to disclose their use of GLP‑1–class weight‑loss drugs such as Ozempic when endorsing weight‑loss content, products, or services, before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information released by the U.S. Federal Trade Commission; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences includes Christopher McQuarrie on its official list of nominees for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards (honoring 2025 releases) before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be the Academy’s nomination press release or Oscars.com, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Car and Driver (print or online) publishes instrumented test results showing a 0‑60 mph time of 3.40 seconds or faster for the 2025 Aston Martin Vantage Roadster before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be Car and Driver’s official road‑test data, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Novo Nordisk publicly names Janelle Rohner as a compensated partner, ambassador, or spokesperson in any marketing or educational initiative related to its GLP‑1 drugs before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Novo Nordisk, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that PepsiCo issues a public statement or SEC filing announcing a formal nationwide uniform pricing policy for its U.S. beverage products before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from PepsiCo, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the FTC has formally opened an investigation, filed a complaint, or issued civil investigative demands to The Coca‑Cola Company alleging price discrimination before the Event Date Close. Context: Will federal trust‑busters pivot from Pepsi to Coke? After shelving the PepsiCo case, the Federal Trade Commission hinted that other beverage giants could face fresh scrutiny under the long‑dormant Robinson‑Patman Act. Is Coca‑Cola next on the docket? If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official FTC filings or press releases, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Jacob deGrom records at least one pitch measured at 100.0 mph or higher during any 2025 MLB regular‑season or postseason game before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official Statcast data published by MLB, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.