Events
Brunson Breaks Playoff Scoring Record
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Jalen Brunson has scored more points in a single 2025 NBA playoff game than any other player before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official NBA statistics, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Which State Will Crack Down on 'Murder Insurance' Next?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if the state introduces a bill to regulate or ban self-defense insurance before the Event Date Close, as confirmed by official legislative records or credible news sources. The Bill does not have to pass for the Event Outcome to Settle to Yes The Bill can be a reintroduction of a prior or existing Legislative Bill that was recently withdrawn. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes," it may Settle immediately to "No." The primary source will be state legislative websites, but a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on legislative action.
Haemanthus Secures $50 Million in Funding
Will Billy Evans, partner of disgraced Theranos CEO Elizabeth Holmes, hit the jackpot with his new blood-testing venture? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Haemanthus has raised $50 million in total funding before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from Haemanthus or Billy Evans, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Giannis Antetokounmpo Traded to Nets, Heat, Rockets or a different team?
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to either the Brooklyn Nets, Miami Heat, The Houston Rockets or a different team ? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Giannis Antetokounmpo has been traded to one of the teams listed before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from the NBA or the teams involved, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Giannis Antetokounmpo Traded Before NBA Free Agency
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to another team before the start of NBA free agency negotiations on June 30, 2025? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Giannis Antetokounmpo has been traded to another team before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from the NBA or the teams involved, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Pope Leo XIV Announce a Trip to The United States and Planned Mass at St. Patrick's Cathedral in New York City
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Pope Leo XIV is planning to visit The United States and celebrate Mass at St. Patrick's Cathedral before the Event Date Close. Context: St. Patrick's Cathedral in New York City is an iconic symbol of Catholicism in America. Previous popes, like John Paul II and Benedict XVI, have held Mass at St. Patrick's Cathedral. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from St. Patrick's Cathedral or the Vatican, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Pope Leo XIV blesses the White Sox and the Cubs for the upcoming Major League Baseball Season.
Pope Leo XIV blesses the White Sox and the Cubs for the upcoming MLB Baseball Season. Context: Pope Leo XIV, formerly Robert Francis Prevost, was elected on May 8, 2025, and is the first American Pope born and raised in Chicago's South Side where the White Sox play at Guaranteed Rate Field or Comiskey Park before it was renamed. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Pope Leo XIV blesses the White Sox and the Cubs before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be reputable news outlets; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
The New Pope: Thin-Crust Pizza? No, thank you! I am from Chicago
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Pope has publicly stated his preference for either thin crust or deep dish pizza before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Vatican or the Pope himself, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source
Hilaria Baldwin publicly acknowledge that her Spanish accent is fake
Will Hilaria Baldwin publicly acknowledge that her Spanish accent is fake? Context: Hilaria Baldwin, born Hillary Lynn Hayward-Thomas on January 6, 1984, in Boston, Massachusetts, is the daughter of David Thomas and Dr. Kathryn Hayward, both American. Her father was born in Nebraska and her mother was born in Massachusetts. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Hilaria Baldwin has publicly acknowledge that her Spanish accent is fake before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be reputable entertainment news outlets; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Fed Decision June 18th Up Down Flat
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members vote on where to set the rate. Traders watch interest rate changes closely as short term interest rates are the primary factor in currency valuation. A higher than expected rate is positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected rate is negative/bearish for the USD. The Federal Reserve will raise, keep flat, or lower Fed Funds for its June 18th FOMC meeting? Current Fed Funds Target is 4.50% https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DFEDTARU
Will Lawmakers Introduce Bill to Block Alcatraz Prison Plan?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a bill or resolution has been introduced in the California State Legislature to oppose or block the reopening of Alcatraz as a prison before the Event Date Close. Context: Trump’s May 5, 2025, proposal to reopen Alcatraz as a prison has drawn sharp criticism from San Francisco, with state Sen. Scott Wiener calling it “unhinged”. California’s Democratic-majority legislature has a history of opposing federal policies, such as passing resolutions against the REAL ID Act, making legislative action plausible. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be the California State Legislature’s official website, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Where will the next piece of space junk land on Earth?
Where will the first piece of space junk crash-land? Context: The satellite industry has grown rapidly, with over 12,000 satellites in orbit as of 2025, driven by companies like SpaceX (Starlink) and Amazon (Project Kuiper). Most satellites are designed to burn up in the atmosphere or land in uninhabited areas like oceans during controlled reentries. However, rare incidents of debris reaching populated areas have occurred, such as a 2.5 kg piece of SpaceX Starlink debris found in Saskatchewan, Canada, in August 2024, and Falcon-9 fragments impacting a village in Poland in February 2025. Previous Incident from CNN "A piece of garbage jettisoned from the International Space Station unexpectedly survived a fiery reentry from orbit last month and pierced the roof of a home in Florida, according to NASA. When the federal agency disposed of a slab of spaceborne refuse weighing about 5,800 pounds (2,630 kilograms), it expected the trash to disintegrate as it plunged into Earth’s atmosphere on March 8. But a small piece of the cargo roughly the size of a smartphone survived — and it crashed into a home in Naples, Florida, last month, NASA confirmed in an April 15" This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that satellite debris landed in the Selected location before the Event Date Close. If no such report is made, it settles to "No". The primary source will be reports from space agencies or reputable news outlets.
Harvard Shake-Up: Will Pritzker Pack Her Bags?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Penny Pritzker has resigned from her position as Senior Fellow at The Harvard Corporation before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Harvard University, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Starlink Saves the Day: Will FAA Tap Musk’s Satellites?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the FAA has adopted Starlink as a backup for air-traffic control communications before the Event Date Close. Early Settlement: If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the FAA or SpaceX, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will IRS Revoke Harvard's Tax-Exempt Status?
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if the IRS officially announces the revocation of Harvard University’s tax-exempt status before the Event Date Close. Context: The law—Section 501(c)3—says the tax exemption applies to a corporation “organized and operated exclusively for religious, charitable, scientific, testing for public safety, literary, or educational purposes ... no substantial part of the activities of which is carrying on propaganda . . . and which does not participate in, or intervene in (including the publishing or distributing of statements), any political campaign on behalf of (or in opposition to) any candidate for public office.” If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes”, the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to “No”. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the IRS or consensus from credible news sources such as The New York Times, CNN, or The Wall Street Journal. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Journalism's Kentucky Derby Redemption: A Grade 1 Win by July's End?
Journalism's Kentucky Derby Redemption: A Grade 1 Win by July's End? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if Journalism wins at least one Grade 1 race between May 5, 2025, and July 31, 2025. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official racing results from recognized authorities such as Equibase, BloodHorse, or DRF The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Sovereignty's Summer Sprint: Will It Claim Another Grade 1 Victory by August?
Fresh off its triumphant win at the Kentucky Derby, all eyes are on Sovereignty as it prepares for the summer racing season. Can this champion thoroughbred add another Grade 1 trophy to its collection before the end of August? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if Sovereignty wins at least one Grade 1 race between May 5, 2025, and August 31, 2025, as confirmed by official racing results. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official racing results from recognized authorities such as Equibase, BloodHorse, or the Daily Racing Form (DRF). The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Screwworms Invade US Livestock Again?
Will there be a confirmed case in livestock within the next few months? Historically, screwworms were eradicated from the US in the 1980s, but over 950 cases in Mexico in 2025 raise fears of a border breach. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms at least one case of screwworm infestation in livestock within the continental United States before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the USDA or state agricultural departments, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a Confirmed Case from a credible reporting source.
Whole Foods to Stock THC Drinks in California?
Whole Foods, known for its natural and organic products, start selling hemp-derived THC beverages in California? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Whole Foods has started selling hemp-derived THC beverages in California before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Whole Foods or its parent company Amazon, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Max Verstappen Win the 2025 Austrian Grand Prix?
Can Max Verstappen, driving the Red Bull beast reminiscent of the RB19, triumph at his home Austrian Grand Prix? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if Max Verstappen wins the 2025 Austrian Grand Prix before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official Formula One race results, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a Sports Event Outcome from a credible reporting source.
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