This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that one of the three approved Private Equity Firms, Arctos Partners, Ares Management and or Sixth Street has acquired a 10% stake in the New York Giants, valuing the team at greater than $12 Billion before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this market will be official information from the New York Giants however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Sam Altman has resigned his position of CEO of OpenAI before the Event Date Close. If Sam Altman no longer holds the position of CEO at the Event Close Date for any reason, including but not limited to personal reasons, this Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes”. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes", if Bill Pulte as the head of FHFA which is an agency of The United States Government announces that Fannie and Freddie will be Privatized before the Event Close Date. Other parties may be present at the announcement including but not limited to President Donald Trump. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Agencies of The United States Government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement regarding the privatizations of Fannie and Freddie and not who makes the announcement.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Squid Games Season 3 has had more than 100 million viewers worldwide on NetFlix in its first three days from its planned unofficial release date of June 27th, 2025. If the release date is extended from this unofficial release date, the new date plus 3 days will be the new ending date for the Event Outcome. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Netflix, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes", if an agency of The United States Government announces that DeepSeek AI will be banned in The United States before the Event Close Date. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from DeepSeek and Agencies of The United States Government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source, and not cessation of service by DeepSeek to customers in the United States.
This Event Outcome will be settled as "Yes”, if President Trump “Alone”, confirms that the US Government has determined the existence of Alien Life outside of Planet Earth before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for President Trump, alone, to confirm that the US Government has determined the existence of Alien life outside of Planet Earth, then the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". Definition of Alone: Conversation with a reporter Excludes a press conference or group setting with any members of the US Administration including but not limited to Elon Musk. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from President Trump as the sole Representative of The Untied States Government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the Announcement by President Trump, and no one else regarding Alien Life as Defined.
This Event Outcome will be settled as "Yes”, if any Agency or Representative of The US Government confirms that the number of full time non-contract employees at the Internal Revenue Service has dropped below 50,000 on or before the Event Close Date. . The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from President Trump, Elon Musk or a duly appointed Representative of The Untied States Government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if credible reporting source confirms that Taylor Swift lists for sale her Rhode Island Home for sale known as Holiday House before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for Taylor Swift to list this Property for Sale then the Event Outcome will settle to No. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Taylor Swift but a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that South Bow Corp has decided to restart the Keystone XL Pipeline Project running from Canada to the Untied States on or before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from South Bow Corp, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will be settled as "Yes”, if President Trump, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth or a duly appointed representative of The United States Government, confirms plans to build a new Nimitz-class aircraft carrier before the Event Close Date. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Agencies of The United States Government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if credible reporting sources confirm that Vladimir Putin no longer holds the position of President or Prime Minister in Russia before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The default Settlement to the Event Outcome is "Yes" if there is any change in the current status. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Government of Russia, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that President Donald Trump has been nominated for a Nobel Peace Prize on or before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from The Nobel Foundation, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting
This Event Outcome will be settled as "Yes” if credible reporting sources announce and or confirm that Prince Harry and Meghan Markle have decided to move back to England on or before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from The British Royal Family, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used.. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Sir Keir Rodney Starmer, Prime Minister of the UK has resigned his position as the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Government of England, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement and not the date of dissolution of Parliament.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity controlled by him, enters into an agreement to acquire the Liverpool Football Club before the Event Close Date. . Otherwise, this Event Outcome will Settle to "No". If it becomes impossible for Liverpool Football Club to be sold, this Event Outcome may immediately Settle to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome is official information from Elon Musk and/or Liverpool Football Club, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Former President Barack and Michelle Obama are separated. Otherwise, this Event Outcome will Settle to "No". If it becomes impossible for Former President Barack and Michelle Obama to become officially or unofficially separated, this Event Outcome will settle to “No”. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Former President Barack and Michelle Obama, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes", if an Agency of The United States Government and or specifically the St. Louis Federal Reserve confirms or publicly announces that All Federal Employees as reported under the dataset CEU9091000001 drops below 2.9 million before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Agencies of The United States Government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity controlled by him, enters into an agreement to acquire MSNBC by Event Close Date. An announcement by Elon Musk, MSNBC, or the acquiring entity will qualify for a "Yes", regardless of whether the acquisition or launch is ultimately completed which will likely be subject to FTC approval. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome is official information from Elon Musk and/or MSNBC, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will President Trump make history by adding his likeness to the iconic Mount Rushmore? Imagine the controversy and the headlines—bet on whether Trump will announce plans to carve his bust into the mountain before the Event Date Close. Make a Prediction Now! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that President Donald Trump has announced plans to carve his bust into Mount Rushmore before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from President Trump or his representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.