Events
Sacha Baron Cohen or Isla Fisher, who will be seen first with a new partner in public?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that either Sacha Baron Cohen or Isla Fisher is seen in public with a new romantic partner before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this market will be paparazzi photos, social media posts, or media reports from reputable or not so reputable entertainment outlets.
Will Ben & Jerry’s Publicly Defy Unilever’s Ban on President Trump Related Posts?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if Ben & Jerry’s or its official social media accounts publicly release a statement, post, or campaign that criticizes or makes a political statement about President Donald Trump before the Event Date Close, despite Unilever’s mandate for silence. If it becomes impossible for this to occur, the Event Outcome may settle immediately to "No". If no such post is made prior to the Spinoff of Ben & Jerry’s from Unilever, this Event Outcome will Settle to "No".
Who will publicly endorse Cordyceps as a performance enhancing supplement
This Event Outcome will settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that one of the following celebrities publicly acknowledges and or endorses the use of cordyceps as a performance-enhancing supplement before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this to occur, the Event Outcome may settle immediately to "No". List of Celebrities: Leonardo DiCaprio Tom Hanks Tom Cruise George Clooney Brad Pitt Johnny Depp Robert Downey Jr. Daniel Craig Richard Gere Jennifer Aniston
Ashley St. Clair’s baby fails the DNA Paternity Test for Elon Musk to be the Father
This Event Outcome will be settled as "Yes" if Ashley St. Clair’s baby fails the DNA Paternity Test for Elon Musk to be the Father before the Event Close Date. The primary source for confirmation will be official information from Elon Musk and Ashley St. Clair. This Event Outcome is a prediction based on the announcement from a credible reporting source.
10% Stake in N.Y. Giants sold, valuing the team at greater than $12 Billion
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that one of the three approved Private Equity Firms, Arctos Partners, Ares Management and or Sixth Street has acquired a 10% stake in the New York Giants, valuing the team at greater than $12 Billion before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this market will be official information from the New York Giants however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Justin Bieber officially checks into drug rehabilitation
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Justin Bieber has officially checked into any drug rehabilitation center or care facility before the Event Date Close. If a photo or similar verification method is published from a credible reporting source, this Event Outcome will also Settle to “Yes”. Definition: Drug rehabilitation: Medical or psychotherapeutic treatment for dependency on psychoactive substances such as alcohol, prescription drugs, and street drugs such as cannabis, cocaine, heroin, and amphetamines If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this market will be official information from Justin Beiber, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Sam Altman is disposed as CEO of OpenAI
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Sam Altman has resigned his position of CEO of OpenAI before the Event Date Close. If Sam Altman no longer holds the position of CEO at the Event Close Date for any reason, including but not limited to personal reasons, this Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes”. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Philippines Vice President Sara Duterte Impeached
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Philippines Vice President Sara Duterte has been Impleached before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this market will be official information from The Government of the Philippines via the Senate of the Philippines, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Bill Pulte head of FHFA announces that Fannie and Freddie will be Privatized
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes", if Bill Pulte as the head of FHFA which is an agency of The United States Government announces that Fannie and Freddie will be Privatized before the Event Close Date. Other parties may be present at the announcement including but not limited to President Donald Trump. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Agencies of The United States Government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement regarding the privatizations of Fannie and Freddie and not who makes the announcement.
14th Child of Elon Musk is announced.
This Event Outcome will be settled as "Yes" if another person comes forward and declares, verified true or not, that they have fathered, or will father a 14th child for which Elon Musk is the Dad before the Event Close Date. The Event Outcome is a Prediction for a mother to be after the current disclosure of Ashley St. Clair and her new born baby. The primary source for confirmation will be official information from Elon Musk and the mother to be announced. This Event Outcome is a prediction based on the announcement from a credible reporting source.
Squid Games Season 3 has greater than 100 million viewers in the first 3 days
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Squid Games Season 3 has had more than 100 million viewers worldwide on NetFlix in its first three days from its planned unofficial release date of June 27th, 2025. If the release date is extended from this unofficial release date, the new date plus 3 days will be the new ending date for the Event Outcome. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Netflix, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
DeepSeek banned in the United States
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes", if an agency of The United States Government announces that DeepSeek AI will be banned in The United States before the Event Close Date. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from DeepSeek and Agencies of The United States Government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source, and not cessation of service by DeepSeek to customers in the United States.
Canadian referendum about joining The United States and becoming the 51st State.
This Event Outcome will be settled as "Yes” if Canada announces that it will have a public referendum, or question on a Federal Election Ballot about joining The United States and becoming the 51st State anytime before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for Canada to have this question as a Referendum on a national election ballot then this Event Outcome will settle to “No”. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from The Federal Government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement regarding the planned Referendum and not the formalization and execution of Parliamentary and Congressional approval.
Elon Musk confirms that The US Government has determined the existence of Alien life outside of Planet Earth
This Event Outcome will be settled as "Yes”, if Elon Musk “Alone”, as a Representative of The United States Government, confirms that the US Government has determined the existence of Alien Life outside of Planet Earth before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for Elon Musk, alone, to confirm that the US Government has determined the existence of Alien life outside of Planet Earth, then the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". Definition of Alone: A tweet on x.com Conversation with a reporter Excludes a press conference or group setting with any members of the US Administration including but not limited to President Donald Trump. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from The US Government and Elon Musk as the sole Representative of The Untied States Government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the Announcement by Elon Musk, and no one else regarding Alien Life as Defined:
President Trump confirms that the US Government has confirmed the existence of Alien life outside of Planet Earth
This Event Outcome will be settled as "Yes”, if President Trump “Alone”, confirms that the US Government has determined the existence of Alien Life outside of Planet Earth before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for President Trump, alone, to confirm that the US Government has determined the existence of Alien life outside of Planet Earth, then the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". Definition of Alone: Conversation with a reporter Excludes a press conference or group setting with any members of the US Administration including but not limited to Elon Musk. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from President Trump as the sole Representative of The Untied States Government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the Announcement by President Trump, and no one else regarding Alien Life as Defined.
Jake Paul hangs up his gloves and gets a role in the movies
This Event Outcome will be settled as "Yes" if Jake Paul or a credible reporting source confirms that he has secured a star or supporting role in a Hollywood movie before the Event Close Date. This precedent is based on Dwayne Johnson's transition from the WWE to Hollywood and retiring from contact sports. The primary source for confirmation will be official information from Jake Paul; however, a consensus from credible reporting sources may also be considered. This Event Outcome is a prediction based on the announcement from a credible reporting source.
Number of Employees at IRS drop below 50,000
This Event Outcome will be settled as "Yes”, if any Agency or Representative of The US Government confirms that the number of full time non-contract employees at the Internal Revenue Service has dropped below 50,000 on or before the Event Close Date. . The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from President Trump, Elon Musk or a duly appointed Representative of The Untied States Government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source.
Taylor Swift puts her Rhode Island Home up for sale known as Holiday House.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if credible reporting source confirms that Taylor Swift lists for sale her Rhode Island Home for sale known as Holiday House before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for Taylor Swift to list this Property for Sale then the Event Outcome will settle to No. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Taylor Swift but a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the Announcement from a credible reporting source.
South Bow Corp spun off from TC Energy Corp decides to resuscitate Keystone Pipeline
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that South Bow Corp spun off from TC Energy Corp decides to restart the Keystone Pipeline Project on or before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from South Bow Corp, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
NBA Championship
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if the team selected wins the 2024-2025 NBA Championship. Otherwise, this Event Outcome will resolve to “No”. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from the NBA.
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