Events
Putin Resigns
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if credible reporting sources confirm that Vladimir Putin no longer holds the position of President or Prime Minister in Russia before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The default Settlement to the Event Outcome is "Yes" if there is any change in the current status. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Government of Russia, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
RF Kennedy Jr Donald Trump bans fluoride in drinking water
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes", if an Agency of The United States Government announces and or specifically The US Department Health and Human Services, known as hhs.gov enacts a ban on fluoride in drinking water on or before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Agencies of The United States Government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source.
Trump nominated for Nobel Peace Prize
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that President Donald Trump has been nominated for a Nobel Peace Prize on or before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from The Nobel Foundation, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting
Prince Harry and Meghan Markle move back to England ran out of money
This Event Outcome will be settled as "Yes” if credible reporting sources announce and or confirm that Prince Harry and Meghan Markle have decided to move back to England on or before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from The British Royal Family, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used.. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Mayor Karen Bass Resigns due to fire budget cut in Los Angeles
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Mayor Karen Bass of Los Angeles has resigned by or before the Event Close Date. Resignation can take the form of leaving for Personal Reason which is “undefined". Nonetheless, leaving for "Personal Reason" would qualify as a resignation and thus would still Settle to a “Yes”. However, if it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from The City of Los Angeles, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Sir Keir Rodney Starmer, Prime Minister of the UK, resigns
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Sir Keir Rodney Starmer, Prime Minister of the UK has resigned his position as the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Government of England, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement and not the date of dissolution of Parliament.
Elon Musk bids to buy Liverpool Football Club
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity controlled by him, enters into an agreement to acquire the Liverpool Football Club before the Event Close Date. . Otherwise, this Event Outcome will Settle to "No". If it becomes impossible for Liverpool Football Club to be sold, this Event Outcome may immediately Settle to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome is official information from Elon Musk and/or Liverpool Football Club, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
King Charles III to dissolve parliament in England
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes", if King Charles III of England announces that he has dissolved Parliament. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Government of England, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement.
Former President Barack and Michelle Obama announce their marital separation.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Former President Barack and Michelle Obama are separated. Otherwise, this Event Outcome will Settle to "No". If it becomes impossible for Former President Barack and Michelle Obama to become officially or unofficially separated, this Event Outcome will settle to “No”. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Former President Barack and Michelle Obama, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source.
Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC ?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity controlled by him, enters into an agreement to acquire MSNBC by Event Close Date. An announcement by Elon Musk, MSNBC, or the acquiring entity will qualify for a "Yes", regardless of whether the acquisition or launch is ultimately completed which will likely be subject to FTC approval. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome is official information from Elon Musk and/or MSNBC, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Trump will announce planning for a bust of himself on Mount Rushmore?
Will President Trump make history by adding his likeness to the iconic Mount Rushmore? Imagine the controversy and the headlines—bet on whether Trump will announce plans to carve his bust into the mountain before the Event Date Close. Make a Prediction Now! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that President Donald Trump has announced plans to carve his bust into Mount Rushmore before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from President Trump or his representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Trump create a Bitcoin Reserve
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if the US Government announces that it will hold Bitcoin in its Reserves before the Event Close Date. Otherwise, this Event Outcome will Settle to "No". Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves. The primary source for settlement for this Event Outcome will be official information from the US government and/or the US Federal Reserve. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
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