Events
Who will make a public bid to acquire Nikola out of Bankruptcy?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the following Company or Group will make a public bid to acquire Nikola’s primary manufacturing assets and Intellectual Property out of bankruptcy before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Bankruptcy Court, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. Currently, The United States Bankruptcy Court for the District of Delaware is hearing the case under the Honorable Judge Thomas M. Horan - case number 25-10258. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
"Big Balls” Coristine Removed from DOGE and all State Department Roles
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Edward “Big Balls” Coristine is relieved of or departs from his advisory position at DOGE and all State Department Roles before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the State Department and other Agencies of The United States Government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. Definition of Removed: No longer employed in the current position regardless of reason publicly stated. This includes but is not limited to Personal, Heath and other potentially confidential reasons. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Which member of Congress will DOGE Uncover Discrepancies in their Financial Disclosures?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a DOGE investigation has identified significant discrepancies between the Congress members’ Financial Disclosures reported sources of income and their documented net worth before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
President Donald Trump Officially Closes the Carried Interest Tax Loophole
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that President Donald Trump formally submits a legislative proposal or executive action aimed at ending the carried interest tax treatment before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes," the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this market will be an official government announcement or legislative filings. President Trump, Elon Musk or an agency spokesperson of The United States Government may make the announcement. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source.
Prince Harry and Meghan Markle are served with a Deportation Order
This Event Outcome will be settled as "Yes” if credible reporting sources announce and or confirm that Prince Harry and Meghan Markle have been served with a Deportation Order and have thus decided to move back to England on or before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from The Department of Homeland Security and or The British Royal Family, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Floyd Mayweather buys stake in NFL New York Giants for greater than $1.0 Billion
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Floyd Mayweather Jr. and real estate mogul Meyer Orbach along with partners has acquired a 10% stake in the New York Giants for any amount greater than $1.0 Billion before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the New York Giants however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
PayPal Honey Settles the Class Action Lawsuit Before the end of December 2025
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that PayPal Honey Settles the Class Action Lawsuit Before the end of December 2025 If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this market will be official information from PayPal, Cotchett, Pitre & Mccarthy, Llp, GamersNexus LLC, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source.
Delta agrees to compensation of greater than $150,000 per Passenger for the flight that flipped over in Toronto Pearson on Monday February. 17, 2025
This Event Outcome will settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Delta Airlines increases its initial compensation offer of $30,000 per passenger to settle on any amount greater than $150,000 per Passenger before the Event Date Close. If the current offer or future offers for compensation remains below the $150,000 threshold, the Event Outcome will Settle to "No". The primary source for this market will be official information from Delta, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. All amounts are stated in USD. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source.
Apple announces that the iPhone 16e has exceeded 20 million units sales at any time before September 2025
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Apple has shipped more than 20 million units of the iPhone 16e at any time before the end of its fiscal year (September 28, 2025). If official Apple data or a consensus of credible sources indicate that shipments remained at or below 20 million, the Event Outcome will Settle to "No". If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this market will be official information from Apple, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source.
DOGE issues refund check of greater than $1,000 per person as payback for the $55 Billion found through Federal Government Waste from the Biden Era.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes", if President Trump, Elon Musk or an agency of The United States Government announces that the Federal Government will issue a $1,000 check to all registered Tax Payers in The United States before the Event Close Date. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from President Trump, Elon Musk, Karoline Leavitt and or an Agency of The United States Government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source.
Sacha Baron Cohen or Isla Fisher, who will be seen first with a new partner in public?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that either Sacha Baron Cohen or Isla Fisher is seen in public with a new romantic partner before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this market will be paparazzi photos, social media posts, or media reports from reputable or not so reputable entertainment outlets.
Will Ben & Jerry’s Publicly Defy Unilever’s Ban on President Trump Related Posts?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if Ben & Jerry’s or its official social media accounts publicly release a statement, post, or campaign that criticizes or makes a political statement about President Donald Trump before the Event Date Close, despite Unilever’s mandate for silence. If it becomes impossible for this to occur, the Event Outcome may settle immediately to "No". If no such post is made prior to the Spinoff of Ben & Jerry’s from Unilever, this Event Outcome will Settle to "No".
Who will publicly endorse Cordyceps as a performance enhancing supplement
This Event Outcome will settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that one of the following celebrities publicly acknowledges and or endorses the use of cordyceps as a performance-enhancing supplement before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this to occur, the Event Outcome may settle immediately to "No". List of Celebrities: Leonardo DiCaprio Tom Hanks Tom Cruise George Clooney Brad Pitt Johnny Depp Robert Downey Jr. Daniel Craig Richard Gere Jennifer Aniston
Ashley St. Clair’s baby fails the DNA Paternity Test for Elon Musk to be the Father
This Event Outcome will be settled as "Yes" if Ashley St. Clair’s baby fails the DNA Paternity Test for Elon Musk to be the Father before the Event Close Date. The primary source for confirmation will be official information from Elon Musk and Ashley St. Clair. This Event Outcome is a prediction based on the announcement from a credible reporting source.
10% Stake in N.Y. Giants sold, valuing the team at greater than $12 Billion
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that one of the three approved Private Equity Firms, Arctos Partners, Ares Management and or Sixth Street has acquired a 10% stake in the New York Giants, valuing the team at greater than $12 Billion before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this market will be official information from the New York Giants however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Justin Bieber officially checks into drug rehabilitation
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Justin Bieber has officially checked into any drug rehabilitation center or care facility before the Event Date Close. If a photo or similar verification method is published from a credible reporting source, this Event Outcome will also Settle to “Yes”. Definition: Drug rehabilitation: Medical or psychotherapeutic treatment for dependency on psychoactive substances such as alcohol, prescription drugs, and street drugs such as cannabis, cocaine, heroin, and amphetamines If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this market will be official information from Justin Beiber, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Sam Altman is disposed as CEO of OpenAI
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Sam Altman has resigned his position of CEO of OpenAI before the Event Date Close. If Sam Altman no longer holds the position of CEO at the Event Close Date for any reason, including but not limited to personal reasons, this Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes”. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Philippines Vice President Sara Duterte Impeached
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Philippines Vice President Sara Duterte has been Impleached before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this market will be official information from The Government of the Philippines via the Senate of the Philippines, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Bill Pulte head of FHFA announces that Fannie and Freddie will be Privatized
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes", if Bill Pulte as the head of FHFA which is an agency of The United States Government announces that Fannie and Freddie will be Privatized before the Event Close Date. Other parties may be present at the announcement including but not limited to President Donald Trump. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Agencies of The United States Government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement regarding the privatizations of Fannie and Freddie and not who makes the announcement.
Squid Games Season 3 has greater than 100 million viewers in the first 3 days
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Squid Games Season 3 has had more than 100 million viewers worldwide on NetFlix in its first three days from its planned unofficial release date of June 27th, 2025. If the release date is extended from this unofficial release date, the new date plus 3 days will be the new ending date for the Event Outcome. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Netflix, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
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