Events
Will Smith and Jada Pinkett Smith Announce Divorce or Separation Before end of August 2025
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Will Smith and Jada Pinkett Smith officially announce their divorce before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official court filings, announcements from either party, or major news sources covering celebrity relationships, however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Richard Gere and Alejandra Silva Announce They Are Expecting Another Child
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Richard Gere and his wife, Alejandra Silva, announce that they are expecting another child before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from Richard Gere, Alejandra Silva, or news reports from major entertainment publications, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Texas Lawmakers Introduce Emergency Vaccine Mandate in Response to Measles Outbreak
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Texas lawmakers introduce an emergency vaccine mandate bill in response to the ongoing measles outbreak before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official legislative filings, press releases from Texas state officials, or major political news reports, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Under Armour CEO Kevin Plank Sells His Maryland Horse Farm for Less Than $20 Million
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Under Armour CEO Kevin Plank sells his Maryland horse farm for less than $20 million before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official property sale records, listing agent confirmations, or business news reports, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Mr. Beast Officially Secures a $5 Billion Plus Valuation for His Company
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Mr. Beast successfully secures investor funding that values his company at greater than $5 billion before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from MrBeast or the investment firms involved, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Mr. Beast’s Feastables Becomes the #1 Best-Selling Chocolate Brand in the U.S in any month in the next 12 months
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that MrBeast’s chocolate brand, Feastables, surpasses Hershey’s and other competitors to become the #1 best-selling chocolate brand in the U.S. before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official market research reports or major business publications, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Starbucks Announces Plan to add Humanoid Robot Baristas
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Starbucks announces an official plan to add humanoid robots to function as Baristas before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Starbucks, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Amazon Labor Union (ALU) Files Lawsuit Against Amazon on Over Humanoid Robot Workers in warehouses
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Amazon Labor Union (ALU), with or without the International Brotherhood of Teamsters has Filed a Lawsuit Against Amazon on Humanoid Robot Workers in warehouses before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from labor unions or court filings, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
LeBron James Announces His Retirement in June 2025
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that LeBron James officially announces his retirement from professional basketball in the month of June 2025. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from LeBron James, his representatives, or the NBA, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Cleveland Cavaliers Upset Boston Celtics in Eastern Conference Finals
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Cleveland Cavaliers defeat the Boston Celtics in the 2025 Eastern Conference Finals before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the NBA, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Los Angeles Lakers Defy History and Win the 2025 NBA Championship
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Championship before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the NBA, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Major Cruise Line Reports a Large Norovirus Outbreak Before September 2025
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that another major cruise line (such as Royal Caribbean, Carnival, or Norwegian) experiences a norovirus outbreak affecting at least 50 passengers before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be CDC reports, cruise industry tracking sites, or a consensus of credible health and travel reporting sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Holland America Announces Cancellation of at Least One Cruise Due to Norovirus Before August 2025
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Holland America cancels at least one scheduled cruise departure due to norovirus-related concerns before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official Holland America announcements, cruise industry reports, or a consensus of credible travel and health reporting sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Private Space Company Proposes a Plan to Deflect Asteroid 2024 YR4 Before October 2025
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a private space company (such as SpaceX, Blue Origin, or Rocket Lab) formally announces a plan to deflect asteroid 2024 YR4 before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be space company press releases, scientific proposals, or a consensus of credible technology reporting sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Trump Administration Cancels the $590 Million Moderna Bird Flu Vaccine Contract Before the end of August 2025
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Trump administration formally revokes or cancels the $590 million federal contract awarded to Moderna for bird flu vaccine development before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be U.S. government announcements, Moderna corporate filings, or a consensus of credible business and political reporting sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Greenpeace Declares Bankruptcy Following the Trial Verdict Before October 2025
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Greenpeace officially files for bankruptcy or publicly announces financial insolvency before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be Greenpeace’s official statements, financial disclosures, or a consensus of credible environmental and legal reporting sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Greenpeace Is Ordered to Pay Over $100 Million in Damages Before August 2025
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Greenpeace is found liable and ordered to pay at least $100 million in damages to Energy Transfer before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be court rulings, legal filings, or a consensus of credible news reporting sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a Major Financial Penalty for Greenpeace.
Luka Doncic and LeBron James Combine for 75+ Points in a Single Playoff Game Before May 2025
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Luka Doncic and LeBron James combine to score at least 75 points in a single playoff game before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official NBA game statistics, game recaps, or a consensus of credible sports reporting sources.
A “40-20” Team Gets Eliminated in the First Round of the Playoffs Before May 2025
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that one of the three "40-20 Rule" teams (Boston Celtics, Oklahoma City Thunder, or Cleveland Cavaliers) is eliminated in the first round of the NBA Playoffs before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be NBA playoff results, game recaps. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
A Team Outside the “40-20” Rule Wins the NBA Championship Before June 2025
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a team that did not reach 40 wins before 20 losses goes on to win the NBA championship before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be NBA Finals results and team statistics. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
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