Events
FCC Chair Fired by Trump
Description: The FCC chair controls the airwaves, but Trump might want a new voice calling the shots. Imagine the telecommunications titan toppled as the president reshapes media rules—will Trump fire the FCC chair before the Event Date Close and flip the channel on this agency? Bet on the drama! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that President Trump has fired the chair of the Federal Communications Commission and they are no longer serving in that role before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from the White House or the FCC, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Supreme Court Takes Up Trump's Whistleblower Firing Case
Description: Will the highest court in the land step into the fray over Trump's power to fire independent agency heads? Bet on whether the Supreme Court will agree to hear the appeal in the Hampton Dellinger case before the Event Date Close—imagine the justices deciding if Trump’s executive muscle can flex this far! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Supreme Court has granted certiorari in the case of Bessent v. Dellinger before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Supreme Court, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
U.S. Egg Prices Plummet Below $3.00 Before Summer 2025
Description: Could relief be coming for your breakfast budget? Egg prices have soared past $4.95 a dozen thanks to bird flu chaos, but whispers from the USDA suggest a drop to $2.50 by mid-2025. Bet on whether the average cost of a dozen eggs in the U.S. will crash below $3.00 before the Event Date Close—scrambled savings might be on the horizon! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the average price of a dozen Grade A large eggs in the U.S. has dropped below $3.00 before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics or the USDA, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Germany Blocks EU’s Seizure of Russian Assets
Description: Can Germany slam the brakes on the EU’s bold plan to swipe Russia’s $280 billion? Picture Berlin playing the cautious cop, thwarting Brussels’ big move over legal fears. Bet on whether Germany will officially oppose and halt the confiscation of Russia’s frozen assets before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Germany has formally blocked or vetoed an EU decision to seize Russia’s frozen assets before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the German government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
EU Confiscates Russia’s Frozen $280 Billion
Description: Will the EU finally pull the trigger and grab Russia’s $280 billion stash to fund Ukraine’s fight? Imagine the headlines—Brussels snatching Putin’s cash pile while Moscow fumes! Bet on whether the European Union will fully confiscate these frozen assets before the Event Date Close, turning financial sanctions into a war chest. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the EU has officially seized Russia’s frozen central bank assets (approximately $280 billion) before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the European Commission, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Leo Terrell Join the Supreme Court Shortlist Elite?
Description: Bet on whether Terrell will be officially added to Trump's Supreme Court shortlist before the Event Date Close! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Leo Terrell has been added to the Supreme Court shortlist before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the White House or the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Trump Reinstates Chevron's Venezuela License
Description: Will Trump pull a shocking U-turn and let Chevron pump Venezuela’s black gold again? Imagine the headlines—diplomacy flips, oil flows, and Chevron’s back in business. Bet on whether Trump greenlights this license before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if Chevron resumes oil production in Venezuela before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Chevron or the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
DeSantis Drops the Hammer: Will Florida Charge Tate ?
Description: Florida’s Governor Ron DeSantis isn’t rolling out the red carpet for Andrew Tate—his arrival has the Sunshine State buzzing with legal threats. With the attorney general sniffing around, will Tate’s cigar-chomping bravado land him in a Florida courtroom before the year’s out? Bet on whether DeSantis turns Tate’s Florida getaway into a legal smackdown! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if Gov. Ron DeSantis or Florida authorities initiate legal proceedings and levy charges against Andrew Tate before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Florida government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
NFL Outlaws the Unstoppable Tush Push
Description: Will the NFL finally slam the brakes on the Eagles' unstoppable Tush Push that’s driving rival teams nuts? Imagine the league’s big shots banning the play that powered Philly to Super Bowl glory—bet on whether they’ll outlaw this gridiron cheat code before the 2025 season kicks off! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if the NFL announces a rule change banning the Tush Push play before September 1, 2025. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the NFL, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Zuckerberg Grilled by Congress Over Instagram’s Gore Gate
Description: Will Mark Zuckerberg sweat under Capitol Hill’s spotlight after Instagram’s violent video debacle? Envision the CEO facing tough questions about this content catastrophe—bet on whether he’ll be hauled before Congress to explain himself before the Event Date Close.. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if Mark Zuckerberg testifies before a U.S. Congressional committee specifically about social media content moderation, with reference to the Instagram violent content incident, before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official Congressional records or a consensus of credible reporting sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Government Credit Card Audit Reveals Billions in Unauthorized Personal Spending
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that an audit has revealed significant unauthorized personal spending on government credit cards before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Nike Launches Sensory-Friendly Sportswear Line by May 31, 2025
Description: Will the sportswear titan Nike dive into the sensory-friendly pool, blending athletic prowess with anxiety relief? Picture runners and gym buffs trading sweat-soaked stress for tagless tranquility—bet on whether Nike will launch a line that soothes both body and soul by the end of May 2025! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Nike has launched a sensory-friendly sportswear line before December 31, 2025. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Nike, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Andrew Cuomo Wins Democratic Primary for NYC Mayor
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if Andrew Cuomo is declared the winner of the Democratic primary for mayor of New York City after all rounds of ranked-choice voting, as determined by the New York City Board of Elections. The Event Outcome will Settle to "No" if another candidate is declared the winner. The primary source will be the official results from the New York City Board of Elections, but a consensus of credible reporting sources may be used to settle the outcome once the result is clear. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Bengals’ Big Bucks Bonanza: Can They Keep the Trio?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Cincinnati Bengals sign Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Trey Hendrickson to long-term contracts before Week 1 of the 2025 NFL season. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Cincinnati Bengals, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
USDA Changes Bird Flu Policy on Infected Flocks
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the USDA announces a change in bird flu policy, such as no longer requiring the culling of infected flocks, before February 1, 2026. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the USDA, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Prices Soar to $10 per Dozen
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the average price for a dozen grade-A eggs in the U.S. exceeds $10 before November 1, 2025. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Zelensky Wears a Suit, But Trump Shows Up in Golf Attire
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky wears a suit and former U.S. President Donald Trump wears golf attire (e.g., polo shirt, golf pants) during their public meeting before December 1, 2025. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Ukrainian government or the Trump Organization, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Wizards Tank Hard, Snag No. 1 Pick Before Draft Day Chaos!
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Washington Wizards win the No. 1 pick in the 2025 NBA Draft lottery before June 30, 2025. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the NBA, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Stock Plummets 50% Before September
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Mixue Group's stock price on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange drops to HK$101.25 or lower (50% of the IPO price of HK$202.50) at any point before September 3, 2025. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Travis Kelce Drops Taylor Swift, Scores a Goldfish Ad Before Year-End Bash!
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Travis Kelce ends his relationship with Taylor Swift and appears in a Goldfish Crackers ad taking a playful jab at the breakup before December 31, 2025. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Pepperidge Farm (Goldfish) or Kelce’s team, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
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