Events
Congress Investigates Trump’s Denka Lawsuit Drop
Description: Will Congress turn up the heat on Trump’s crew for ditching the t? Picture fiery showdowns with lawmakers grilling officials over cozying up to polluters—bet on whether they launch a probe before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a congressional committee has initiated an investigation or held a hearing specifically about the decision to drop the Denka lawsuit before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official congressional records or announcements, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Andrew Cuomo Win the Democratic Primary for New York City Mayor on June 24, 2025?
Will Andrew Cuomo will emerge victorious in the Democratic primary for New York City Mayor, a pivotal step toward potentially becoming mayor and positioning himself for future political endeavors, such as a 2028 presidential run. The Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Andrew Cuomo has won the Democratic primary for New York City Mayor on June 24, 2025. The Event Outcome will Settle to "No" if Andrew Cuomo does not win the Democratic primary for New York City Mayor on June 24, 2025, or if he withdraws from the race before the primary. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official election results from the New York City Board of Elections, Credible news outlets, such as The New York Times or NBC New York, may also be used to verify the outcome. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Trump Vetoes Soda Ban to Save His Diet Coke Legacy
Description: Will President Trump slam the brakes on the soda ban wave crashing his Diet Coke dreams? Picture the Donald, red button in hand, nixing the USDA’s approval to keep his beloved fizz flowing for SNAP users—bet on whether he’ll flex his veto power to protect soda before the Event Date Close! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that President Trump has intervened to block a USDA-approved restriction on soda purchases with SNAP benefits before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Russia Conduct a Military Exercise Near Gotland Island?
Description: Russia’s been flexing its muscles in the Baltic Sea, and Gotland Island—Sweden’s strategically vital outpost—is right in the crosshairs. Will Moscow stage a provocative military exercise (air, sea, or land) within 50 miles of Gotland ? Bet on whether Putin’s forces will test Sweden’s defenses with a dramatic show of force near this geopolitical hotspot! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Russian military aircraft or vessels have entered Swedish airspace or territorial waters without authorization before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the Swedish Armed Forces or the Swedish government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Shell Holds Onto Chemicals Assets
Description: Will Shell surprise the world and cling to its chemicals business? Picture the energy titan defying the odds, keeping its U.S. and European plants instead of cashing out—bet on whether Shell will announce it’s retaining these assets before the Event Date Close, flipping the script on Wall Street! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Shell has announced it will retain its chemicals assets in the U.S. and Europe before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Shell, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
FCC Chair Fired by Trump
Description: The FCC chair controls the airwaves, but Trump might want a new voice calling the shots. Imagine the telecommunications titan toppled as the president reshapes media rules—will Trump fire the FCC chair before the Event Date Close and flip the channel on this agency? Bet on the drama! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that President Trump has fired the chair of the Federal Communications Commission and they are no longer serving in that role before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from the White House or the FCC, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Germany Blocks EU’s Seizure of Russian Assets
Description: Can Germany slam the brakes on the EU’s bold plan to swipe Russia’s $280 billion? Picture Berlin playing the cautious cop, thwarting Brussels’ big move over legal fears. Bet on whether Germany will officially oppose and halt the confiscation of Russia’s frozen assets before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Germany has formally blocked or vetoed an EU decision to seize Russia’s frozen assets before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the German government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Leo Terrell Join the Supreme Court Shortlist Elite?
Description: Bet on whether Terrell will be officially added to Trump's Supreme Court shortlist before the Event Date Close! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Leo Terrell has been added to the Supreme Court shortlist before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the White House or the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Nike Launches Sensory-Friendly Sportswear Line by May 31, 2025
Description: Will the sportswear titan Nike dive into the sensory-friendly pool, blending athletic prowess with anxiety relief? Picture runners and gym buffs trading sweat-soaked stress for tagless tranquility—bet on whether Nike will launch a line that soothes both body and soul by the end of May 2025! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Nike has launched a sensory-friendly sportswear line before December 31, 2025. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Nike, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Andrew Cuomo Wins Democratic Primary for NYC Mayor
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if Andrew Cuomo is declared the winner of the Democratic primary for mayor of New York City after all rounds of ranked-choice voting, as determined by the New York City Board of Elections. The Event Outcome will Settle to "No" if another candidate is declared the winner. The primary source will be the official results from the New York City Board of Elections, but a consensus of credible reporting sources may be used to settle the outcome once the result is clear. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Bengals’ Big Bucks Bonanza: Can They Keep the Trio?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Cincinnati Bengals sign Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Trey Hendrickson to long-term contracts before Week 1 of the 2025 NFL season. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Cincinnati Bengals, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
USDA Changes Bird Flu Policy on Infected Flocks
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the USDA announces a change in bird flu policy, such as no longer requiring the culling of infected flocks, before February 1, 2026. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the USDA, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Prices Soar to $10 per Dozen
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the average price for a dozen grade-A eggs in the U.S. exceeds $10 before November 1, 2025. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Zelensky Wears a Suit, But Trump Shows Up in Golf Attire
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky wears a suit and former U.S. President Donald Trump wears golf attire (e.g., polo shirt, golf pants) during their public meeting before December 1, 2025. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Ukrainian government or the Trump Organization, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Stock Plummets 50% Before September
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Mixue Group's stock price on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange drops to HK$101.25 or lower (50% of the IPO price of HK$202.50) at any point before September 3, 2025. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Travis Kelce Drops Taylor Swift, Scores a Goldfish Ad Before Year-End Bash!
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Travis Kelce ends his relationship with Taylor Swift and appears in a Goldfish Crackers ad taking a playful jab at the breakup before December 31, 2025. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Pepperidge Farm (Goldfish) or Kelce’s team, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Musk’s X Live Feed of Trump at Fort Knox Sparks Gold Scandal Before Fall!
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that President Trump and Elon Musk visit the Fort Knox gold depository before September 30, 2025, and Musk livestreams it on X, alleging a gold shortfall or conspiracy. All parts of the Event Outcome must Settle to "Yes" for the Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes". Part A: President Trump and Elon Musk visit the Fort Knox gold depository together. Part B: Musk livestreams it on X Part C: Musk alleges a gold shortfall or conspiracy about the numbers or the accounting at Fort Knox If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from X Corp or the U.S. Department of the Treasury, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Audit Bombshell: Fort Knox Gold Overcounted 5% in Secret!
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that an audit of Fort Knox, completed before December 31, 2025, finds that the gold reserves are overstated by at least 5%—roughly 7.365 million ounces—due to undisclosed errors or fraud. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the U.S. Department of the Treasury or congressional oversight committees, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Trump Forces Zelenskyy Out with Peace Deal Before July 1st!
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Volodymyr Zelenskyy is no longer Ukraine’s president due to a U.S.-brokered peace agreement with Russia, signed under President Trump’s influence, before July 1, 2025. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the White House or Ukrainian government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
China Launches Full-Scale Taiwan Invasion Before Trump’s Summer Reset!
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that China initiates a full-scale military invasion of Taiwan, involving ground troops landing on Taiwanese soil, before July 1, 2025. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the Taiwanese Ministry of National Defense or the U.S. Department of Defense, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
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