Events
Congress Investigates Trump’s Denka Lawsuit Drop
Description: Will Congress turn up the heat on Trump’s crew for ditching the t? Picture fiery showdowns with lawmakers grilling officials over cozying up to polluters—bet on whether they launch a probe before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a congressional committee has initiated an investigation or held a hearing specifically about the decision to drop the Denka lawsuit before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official congressional records or announcements, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Andrew Cuomo Officially Announces 2028 Presidential Run within 6 months of being elected Mayor for New York City
Description: Will Andrew Cuomo make waves by declaring his bid for the Democratic nomination in 2028? Picture him leveraging his NYC mayoral campaign to catapult onto the national stage—bet on whether he throws his hat in the ring before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Andrew Cuomo has publicly announced his candidacy for the Democratic nomination for the 2028 presidential election before the Event Date Close. This Events has two parts and both parts of the Event Outcome must Settle to "Yes" for the Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes". Part A: Andrew Cuomo is elected Mayor for New York City. Part B: Andrew Cuomo Officially Announces 2028 Presidential Run within 6 months of being elected Mayor. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Andrew Cuomo or his representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Trump Vetoes Soda Ban to Save His Diet Coke Legacy
Description: Will President Trump slam the brakes on the soda ban wave crashing his Diet Coke dreams? Picture the Donald, red button in hand, nixing the USDA’s approval to keep his beloved fizz flowing for SNAP users—bet on whether he’ll flex his veto power to protect soda before the Event Date Close! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that President Trump has intervened to block a USDA-approved restriction on soda purchases with SNAP benefits before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Arkansas SNAP Soda Ban Showdown
Description: Will Governor score a win in her crusade to ban soda from SNAP in Arkansas? Picture the USDA giving the green light to her bold plan—bet on whether Arkansas becomes the first state to restrict sugary drinks with food aid before the Event Date Close! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the USDA has approved Arkansas' request to restrict soda purchases with SNAP benefits before the Event Date Close. If Arkansas withdraws its request or the USDA denies it before the Event Date Close, the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from the USDA or the Arkansas government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Russia Conduct a Military Exercise Near Gotland Island?
Description: Russia’s been flexing its muscles in the Baltic Sea, and Gotland Island—Sweden’s strategically vital outpost—is right in the crosshairs. Will Moscow stage a provocative military exercise (air, sea, or land) within 50 miles of Gotland ? Bet on whether Putin’s forces will test Sweden’s defenses with a dramatic show of force near this geopolitical hotspot! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Russian military aircraft or vessels have entered Swedish airspace or territorial waters without authorization before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the Swedish Armed Forces or the Swedish government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Shell Holds Onto Chemicals Assets
Description: Will Shell surprise the world and cling to its chemicals business? Picture the energy titan defying the odds, keeping its U.S. and European plants instead of cashing out—bet on whether Shell will announce it’s retaining these assets before the Event Date Close, flipping the script on Wall Street! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Shell has announced it will retain its chemicals assets in the U.S. and Europe before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Shell, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
FCC Chair Fired by Trump
Description: The FCC chair controls the airwaves, but Trump might want a new voice calling the shots. Imagine the telecommunications titan toppled as the president reshapes media rules—will Trump fire the FCC chair before the Event Date Close and flip the channel on this agency? Bet on the drama! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that President Trump has fired the chair of the Federal Communications Commission and they are no longer serving in that role before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from the White House or the FCC, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Supreme Court Takes Up Trump's Whistleblower Firing Case
Description: Will the highest court in the land step into the fray over Trump's power to fire independent agency heads? Bet on whether the Supreme Court will agree to hear the appeal in the Hampton Dellinger case before the Event Date Close—imagine the justices deciding if Trump’s executive muscle can flex this far! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Supreme Court has granted certiorari in the case of Bessent v. Dellinger before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Supreme Court, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
U.S. Egg Prices Plummet Below $3.00 Before Summer 2025
Description: Could relief be coming for your breakfast budget? Egg prices have soared past $4.95 a dozen thanks to bird flu chaos, but whispers from the USDA suggest a drop to $2.50 by mid-2025. Bet on whether the average cost of a dozen eggs in the U.S. will crash below $3.00 before the Event Date Close—scrambled savings might be on the horizon! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the average price of a dozen Grade A large eggs in the U.S. has dropped below $3.00 before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics or the USDA, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Germany Blocks EU’s Seizure of Russian Assets
Description: Can Germany slam the brakes on the EU’s bold plan to swipe Russia’s $280 billion? Picture Berlin playing the cautious cop, thwarting Brussels’ big move over legal fears. Bet on whether Germany will officially oppose and halt the confiscation of Russia’s frozen assets before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Germany has formally blocked or vetoed an EU decision to seize Russia’s frozen assets before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the German government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
EU Confiscates Russia’s Frozen $280 Billion
Description: Will the EU finally pull the trigger and grab Russia’s $280 billion stash to fund Ukraine’s fight? Imagine the headlines—Brussels snatching Putin’s cash pile while Moscow fumes! Bet on whether the European Union will fully confiscate these frozen assets before the Event Date Close, turning financial sanctions into a war chest. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the EU has officially seized Russia’s frozen central bank assets (approximately $280 billion) before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the European Commission, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Leo Terrell Join the Supreme Court Shortlist Elite?
Description: Bet on whether Terrell will be officially added to Trump's Supreme Court shortlist before the Event Date Close! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Leo Terrell has been added to the Supreme Court shortlist before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the White House or the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Trump Reinstates Chevron's Venezuela License
Description: Will Trump pull a shocking U-turn and let Chevron pump Venezuela’s black gold again? Imagine the headlines—diplomacy flips, oil flows, and Chevron’s back in business. Bet on whether Trump greenlights this license before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if Chevron resumes oil production in Venezuela before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Chevron or the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
DeSantis Drops the Hammer: Will Florida Charge Tate ?
Description: Florida’s Governor Ron DeSantis isn’t rolling out the red carpet for Andrew Tate—his arrival has the Sunshine State buzzing with legal threats. With the attorney general sniffing around, will Tate’s cigar-chomping bravado land him in a Florida courtroom before the year’s out? Bet on whether DeSantis turns Tate’s Florida getaway into a legal smackdown! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if Gov. Ron DeSantis or Florida authorities initiate legal proceedings and levy charges against Andrew Tate before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Florida government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
NFL Outlaws the Unstoppable Tush Push
Description: Will the NFL finally slam the brakes on the Eagles' unstoppable Tush Push that’s driving rival teams nuts? Imagine the league’s big shots banning the play that powered Philly to Super Bowl glory—bet on whether they’ll outlaw this gridiron cheat code before the 2025 season kicks off! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if the NFL announces a rule change banning the Tush Push play before September 1, 2025. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the NFL, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Zuckerberg Grilled by Congress Over Instagram’s Gore Gate
Description: Will Mark Zuckerberg sweat under Capitol Hill’s spotlight after Instagram’s violent video debacle? Envision the CEO facing tough questions about this content catastrophe—bet on whether he’ll be hauled before Congress to explain himself before the Event Date Close.. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if Mark Zuckerberg testifies before a U.S. Congressional committee specifically about social media content moderation, with reference to the Instagram violent content incident, before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official Congressional records or a consensus of credible reporting sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Government Credit Card Audit Reveals Billions in Unauthorized Personal Spending
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that an audit has revealed significant unauthorized personal spending on government credit cards before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Nike Launches Sensory-Friendly Sportswear Line by May 31, 2025
Description: Will the sportswear titan Nike dive into the sensory-friendly pool, blending athletic prowess with anxiety relief? Picture runners and gym buffs trading sweat-soaked stress for tagless tranquility—bet on whether Nike will launch a line that soothes both body and soul by the end of May 2025! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Nike has launched a sensory-friendly sportswear line before December 31, 2025. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Nike, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Andrew Cuomo Wins Democratic Primary for NYC Mayor
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if Andrew Cuomo is declared the winner of the Democratic primary for mayor of New York City after all rounds of ranked-choice voting, as determined by the New York City Board of Elections. The Event Outcome will Settle to "No" if another candidate is declared the winner. The primary source will be the official results from the New York City Board of Elections, but a consensus of credible reporting sources may be used to settle the outcome once the result is clear. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Bengals’ Big Bucks Bonanza: Can They Keep the Trio?
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Cincinnati Bengals sign Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Trey Hendrickson to long-term contracts before Week 1 of the 2025 NFL season. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Cincinnati Bengals, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
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