Events
Mavericks Sneak into the Playoffs After Chaos
Can the Mavericks, battered by injuries and the Dončić trade, still limp into the playoffs via the Play-In? Bet on Dallas turning heartbreak into a gritty postseason berth before the Event Date Close! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Dallas Mavericks have qualified for the 2024-2025 NBA playoffs before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official NBA standings and playoff announcements, however a consensus of credible sports reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a team's playoff qualification from a credible reporting source.
Tylor Megill Wins 10+ Games in 2025
Tylor Megill’s got a sinker, splitter, and a whole bag of tricks—will he snag 10+ wins in 2025? Bet on this Mets sleeper turning his deep arsenal into a victory parade! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Tylor Megill has recorded 10 or more wins in the 2025 MLB season before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official MLB statistics, however a consensus of credible sports reporting sources may also be used. Definitions: The official MLB glossary defines a win as the pitcher of record when the team takes the lead for good, with exceptions for starting pitchers needing five innings and relief pitcher effectiveness. Baseball scoring rules and forums, such as Stump The Ump, provide practical examples, like a pitcher giving up a run that puts the opposing team ahead, leading to a loss, and the win criteria for starters and reliever. A pitcher's win in MLB is defined by being the pitcher of record when the team takes the lead for good, with specific rules for starting (five innings minimum) and relief pitchers (effectiveness judged by the scorer). For betting purposes, Tylor Megill's 10+ wins in 2025 will be tracked via official MLB statistics, ensuring a clear and verifiable outcome. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a player's performance statistic from a credible reporting source.
José Soriano Posts Sub-3.50 ERA in 2025
José Soriano’s slider and changeup are pure filth—will he carve out a sub-3.50 ERA in 2025? Bet on this Angels breakout turning batters into pretzels with his nasty stuff! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that José Soriano has an ERA of 3.50 or lower in the 2025 MLB season before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official MLB statistics, however a consensus of credible sports reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a player's performance statistic from a credible reporting source.
Throws 150+ Innings in 2025
Spencer Arrighetti’s strikeout mojo is unreal—will he grind out 150+ innings in 2025? Bet on this Astros young gun proving he’s got the stamina to match his electric arm! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Spencer Arrighetti has pitched 150 or more innings in the 2025 MLB season before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official MLB statistics, however a consensus of credible sports reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a player's performance statistic from a credible reporting source.
Gavin Williams Strikes Out 200+ Batters in 2025
Can Gavin Williams, the Guardians’ flame-throwing phenom, punch out 200+ batters in 2025? With a fastball that screams to the plate faster than almost anyone’s, bet on this extension king racking up Ks like a video game cheat code! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Gavin Williams has recorded 200 or more strikeouts in the 2025 MLB season before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official MLB statistics, however a consensus of credible sports reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a player's performance statistic from a credible reporting source.
Russian Stocks Rocket
With Russia’s stock market already buzzing from Trump’s pro-Russian pivot, will it surge 10% or more before the EVENT DATE CLOSE? Bet on whether this economic rollercoaster keeps climbing! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the MOEX Russia Index has increased by 10% or more from its closing value on March 5, 2025, before the EVENT DATE CLOSE. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official data from the Moscow Exchange, however a consensus of credible financial reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the performance of the MOEX Russia Index from a credible reporting source.
Will Germany Increase Military Spending by Over 2% of GDP?
Will Germany flex its fiscal muscles and boost military spending beyond 2% of GDP? Bet on whether Berlin will arm up in response to Trump's tough talk! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Germany has officially allocated military spending exceeding 2% of GDP for the fiscal year 2025 If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the German Ministry of Defense or Federal Ministry of Finance, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will the German Parliament Approve the Debt Brake Relaxation?
Will Germany's Bundestag break the debt brake to fund a military and infrastructure boom? Bet on this high-stakes vote that could reshape Europe's economic landscape! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the German Bundestag has passed legislation to relax the debt brake before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Bundestag, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used.
Will Iceberg A23a break up? Will it shatter ?
The world's largest iceberg, A23a, is stuck near South Georgia. Will it shatter into smaller bergs before the EVENT DATE CLOSE, sending a fleet of icy hazards into shipping lanes? Bet on whether this frozen titan cracks under pressure! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Iceberg A23a has broken into multiple significant pieces before the EVENT DATE CLOSE. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the British Antarctic Survey or NASA, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Trump and Kim Jong Un President of North Korea announce intention to Meet In Person before June 30, 2025
With tensions simmering and nuclear talks on ice, will Trump and Kim Jong Un reignite their bromance with a face-to-face summit before the EVENT DATE CLOSE? Bet on whether these two wildcards will announce an intention to shake hands and steal global headlines once more! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that President Trump and Kim Jong Un are planning a meeting before the EVENT DATE CLOSE. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the White House or the North Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
President Trump and President Kim Jong Un of North Korea Meet In Person before May 4, 2025.
With tensions simmering and nuclear talks on ice, will Trump and Kim Jong Un reignite their bromance with a face-to-face summit before the EVENT DATE CLOSE? Bet on whether these two wildcards will shake hands and steal global headlines once more! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that President Trump and Kim Jong Un have met in person before the EVENT DATE CLOSE. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the White House or the North Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Gold Climb to $3,500 in 6 Months?
Description: Gold’s holding at $2,900—will it climb to $3,500 before the Event Close Date? Picture a steady ascent fueled by relentless uncertainty or market shocks—bet on this golden ticket to riches! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the spot price of gold (XAU/USD) closes at or above $3,500 per ounce on any trading day before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official closing prices from COMEX or LBMA, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the closing price of gold from a credible reporting
Will Gold Drop to $2,500 in 9 Months?
Description: Gold’s perched at $2,900—will it slide to $2,500 before the EVENT DATE CLOSE? Envision a slow bleed as economic calm or policy shifts melt this metal’s luster—bet on whether the glitter fades! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the spot price of gold (XAU/USD) closes at or below $2,500 per ounce on any trading day before the EVENT DATE CLOSE. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official closing prices from COMEX or LBMA, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the closing price of gold from a credible reporting source.
Will US Inflation Surge to 5% in 2025?
Description: Inflation inferno incoming? Ray Dalio warns of a debt crisis—will prices skyrocket to 5% as the US economy teeters? Bet on whether the annual inflation rate hits 5% before the Event Date Close and ride the wave of economic drama! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the US annual inflation rate reaches or exceeds 5% before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, however a consensus of credible financial reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the US inflation rate from a credible reporting source.
Will the Euro Hit $1.12 ?
Description: The euro is riding high, fueled by Europe's defense spending boom—will it soar to $1.12 against the dollar? With strategists ditching parity calls and the US tariff threat lurking, this is a high-stakes currency clash. Bet on whether the euro breaks the barrier before the Event Date Close—get in on the action now! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if the euro is trading at or above $1.12 against the US dollar at any point before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official exchange rate data from the European Central Bank, though a consensus of credible financial reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the euro-dollar exchange rate from a credible reporting source.
Will a Sean "Diddy" Combs Sex Tape Be Confirmed Before Trial?
Rumors are swirling about scandalous tapes involving Sean "Diddy" Combs and A-list stars. Will a major news outlet confirm their existence before the trial kicks off? Picture the headlines as the world waits for the truth—bet on whether a credible source spills the beans before the Event Date Close! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms the existence of a sex tape involving Sean "Diddy" Combs and at least one high-profile celebrity before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be a consensus of credible reporting sources such as The New York Times, CNN, BBC, Reuters, or AP News. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will China Secure a Mining Deal in Greenland?
Description: China’s already king of rare-earths—will it storm Greenland’s icy shores next? With the West scrambling to lock Beijing out, bet on whether a Chinese mining giant sneaks in and stakes a claim before the Event Date Close. Think espionage, minerals, and global power plays! This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a Chinese company has secured a mining license or partnership in Greenland before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from Greenland’s government or the Chinese company, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Greenland Grant a New Mining License to a U.S. Company?
Description: President Trump’s got his sights locked on Greenland’s rare-earth jackpot—could this be the U.S.’s big break to outmuscle China’s mineral chokehold? Imagine American miners cracking open Greenland’s frozen treasure chest—bet on whether Greenland hands a U.S. company a shiny new mining license before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Greenland has granted a new mining license to a U.S.-based company before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Greenland’s government or the U.S. company, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will Federal Agents Arrest Mayor Johnston?
Description: From city hall to the cell block? Denver's mayor has vowed to defy federal immigration crackdowns, even if it means jail time. Bet on whether Uncle Sam calls his bluff and slaps the cuffs on Johnston before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if credible reporting sources confirm that Mayor Mike Johnston has been arrested or detained by federal authorities related to immigration policies before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from federal agencies or Denver city officials, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
S&P 500 Drops Below 5,000 before end of September 2025
Description: Will the S&P 500 index plunge below 5,000 points before the end of September 2025? With recession fears and trade war anxieties rattling markets, wager on whether the benchmark index will crash to this low by the Event Date Close. Will Wall Street take a tariff-fueled tumble? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if the S&P 500 closes below 5,000 points on any trading day before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official market data, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on Market Data.
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