Will the U.S. formally lift sanctions blocking F-35 sales to Turkey by Dec 31, 2025?
229,422 Vol.7 months ago (Jan-01-2026 04:59:00 AM UTC)
DescriptionThe U.S. blocked Turkey from acquiring the F-35 fighter jet program in 2019 after Ankara purchased Russian S-400 air defense systems. Sanctions have prevented delivery of jets and related parts. Recent reports indicate discussions between the Trump administration and President Erdogan to revisit the sanctions and potentially restore Turkey’s access to the F-35 program. This event tests whether sanctions will be formally lifted. This Event Outcome will settle to “Yes” if the U.S. government (White House, State Department, or Department of Defense) formally announces that sanctions blocking F-35 sales to Turkey are lifted, waived, or terminated on or before December 31, 2025. This Event Outcome will settle to “No” if no such formal announcement is made by that date. Will not count: media speculation, anonymous leaks, or proposals without an official U.S. government announcement. The primary resolution sources will be White House and U.S. Department of Defense official press releases. Secondary confirmation may come from Reuters and Financial Times. The event outcome is a prediction on whether the U.S. will lift sanctions blocking F-35 sales to Turkey by December 31, 2025.