Will the OCC Issue Its GENIUS Act Final Rule Before July 18, 2026? - Predict on WahooPredict
Will the OCC Issue Its GENIUS Act Final Rule Before July 18, 2026?
189,331 Vol.2 days ago (Jul-18-2026 11:59:00 PM UTC)
DescriptionSix federal agencies (OCC, FDIC, NCUA, Treasury, FinCEN, OFAC) must finalize GENIUS Act stablecoin implementation rules by July 18, 2026 — one year after the law was signed. The OCC published its proposed rule on March 2, 2026 (12 CFR Part 15), comment period closed May 1, 2026, and on June 11 the OCC released proposed reporting forms. No final rule has been issued as of June 24, 2026.
This event resolves YES if the OCC publishes a finalized implementing rule under the GENIUS Act on or before July 18, 2026 UTC. It resolves NO if no final rule has been published by that date.
1. Specificity: A final rule in the Federal Register constitutes YES. A proposed rule, interim guidance, or rulemaking notice does NOT count.
2. Exclusion: Other agencies' final rules (FDIC, NCUA, etc.) do NOT count; only the OCC's rule qualifies.
3. Source Hierarchy: federalregister.gov is primary. OCC.gov official press releases are secondary. Major financial press (Bloomberg, WSJ) is tertiary.
4. Timing: Rule must be published by July 18, 2026 UTC. Post-deadline publication resolves NO.
5. Cancellation Rule: If the GENIUS Act is amended or repealed before the deadline, this event may be voided.