Will the IMF maintain its 3.2% global growth forecast through December 31, 2025?
222,021 Vol.7 months ago (Jan-01-2026 04:59:00 AM UTC)
DescriptionWill the International Monetary Fund (IMF) maintain its current 3.2% global growth forecast through December 31, 2025? In its October 2025 World Economic Outlook, the IMF projected global GDP growth of 3.2% for the upcoming year, citing resilient consumer spending but continued inflationary pressures. Analysts note that renewed geopolitical risks and volatility in emerging markets could force the IMF to issue revisions before year-end. This event tests whether the IMF will revise or reaffirm its official forecast. Resolves Yes if the IMF’s publicly available forecast for 2025 global growth remains 3.2% (±0.1%) in all official releases and updates through December 31, 2025. Resolves No if the IMF issues a new report or press release revising the figure by more than 0.1 percentage points in either direction. Only revisions or confirmations published through the official IMF website (imf.org), official press releases, or widely recognized outlets (Reuters, Financial Times) will count toward resolution. Unofficial commentary, analyst predictions, or speculative leaks will not count. The event outcome is a prediction on whether the IMF will maintain its 3.2% global growth forecast through December 31, 2025.