Will the Final FY2026 NDAA Include Language That Preempts State AI Laws Before April 1, 2026? - Predict on WahooPredict
Will the Final FY2026 NDAA Include Language That Preempts State AI Laws Before April 1, 2026?
104,980 Vol.4 months ago (Apr-01-2026 03:59:00 AM UTC)
DescriptionThis event concerns whether the final, enrolled FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act contains language preempting, overriding, or restricting the authority of U.S. states to regulate AI systems. Verification is based solely on the final bill text as enrolled on Congress.gov and signed into law. Draft versions, committee markups, leaks, floor amendments, or provisional summaries do not qualify for resolution.
To meet the requirement, the NDAA must explicitly refer to state AI laws, state regulatory authority, federal supremacy in AI governance, or a provision instructing federal agencies to override or nullify state-level AI regulations. General AI funding, research programs, risk frameworks, standards development, or “sense of Congress” language do not constitute preemption unless they clearly restrict state authority. Media reporting from AP or Reuters may be used for verification only when directly tied to the final enrolled text.
If the final NDAA contains no such preemption language, or if relevant sections are removed during the conference process, the event resolves as No. A presidential veto also results in No unless a qualifying NDAA is subsequently passed and signed before the deadline. Ambiguous or broadly worded provisions that do not specifically address the relationship between federal AI regulation and state laws resolve as No.
The event measures whether the final NDAA includes explicit preemption of state AI law. It does not assess broader legislative intent, political negotiations, or downstream regulatory implementation.