Will Tesla open Cybercab orders to the general US public (no invite needed) by March 31, 2027?
$20,083 Vol. 137d 3h left
Description On Nov 13, 2026, Tesla began taking personal-use Cybercab orders only from invited "select customers": $29,990, a $1,000 non-refundable deposit, a required $299/month Autonomy Subscription, one per buyer. The car works only inside Tesla Robotaxi geofences (Texas, Florida); deliveries start in five Texas cities, est. December 2026.
- This event resolves YES if, between Nov 14, 2026 and April 1, 2027 03:59 UTC (11:59 PM ET Mar 31), Tesla makes Cybercab personal-use orders available to the general US public without invitation.
- This event resolves NO if ordering remains invite-only or otherwise gated by the deadline.
- 1. Specificity: YES requires that anyone with a free Tesla account in at least one US metro or state can actually place a deposit or order on Tesla's website/app, with no invitation, invite/referral code, selection, Tesla-owner status, or Robotaxi/early-access status. Delivery/residency limited to service areas, purchase caps, or the subscription don't block YES. Briefly placeable deposits (even if sold out soon after) count.
- 2. Exclusion: Fleet/business-only orders, invitee or Tesla-owner-only orders, waitlist/"notify me" sign-ups, and announcements not yet live do NOT count. If Musk claims orders are "open to all" but the order flow stays gated, the live flow governs.
- 3. Source Hierarchy: Confirmation needs an official Tesla statement that invite-free ordering is currently live or an archived snapshot of an invite-free order page, OR reporting from at least one of Bloomberg, Reuters, CNBC, OR two of Electrek, TechCrunch, Not a Tesla App.
- 4. Timing: Open ordering must be live before April 1, 2027 03:59 UTC. Later launches resolve NO. If confirmed earlier, resolves YES immediately.
- 5. Cancellation Rule: Announcement alone without live open ordering resolves NO. If opened then paused before the deadline, resolves YES based on first availability.
Data Source for Event Outcome
- You can dispute the decision within 7 days after the settlement; to do so, write to our technical support by email and telegram.
- The Primary Resolution Data for this Event Outcome may be published on one of the following sites:
- https://www.bloomberg.com/
- https://www.reuters.com/
- https://www.wsj.com
Resolution
- Resolution ID: cmwgm7d6s7ohs01s5bi92633i