Will Tesla let customer-owned Cybercabs drive autonomously outside Texas and Florida by March 31, 2027?
$29,659 Vol. 136d 0h left
Description Tesla opened invite-only Cybercab orders ($29,990 + required $299/month subscription), with first deliveries estimated in Austin by end of December 2026. Owner cars are limited to Tesla Robotaxi zones, all currently in Texas and Florida. Phoenix and Las Vegas launches are announced but not live.
- This event resolves YES if, between November 15, 2026 and March 31, 2027 23:59 UTC, Tesla makes driverless operation of customer-owned Cybercabs available in an area outside Texas and Florida.
- This event resolves NO otherwise.
- 1. Specificity: Customer-owned = purchased or leased from Tesla by a non-Tesla individual or business. YES requires a Tesla-published owner operating area (or Robotaxi zone open to owner cars) in another US state or country where at least one owner's Cybercab can drive with no human driver, including owner cars added to Tesla's ride-hail network there. A limited owner beta counts if Tesla confirms it.
- 2. Exclusion: Future-plan announcements; Tesla-owned or Tesla/employee-controlled fleet units; owners riding as passengers in Tesla's fleet; supervised testing; unsupervised FSD on other models; isolated trips or incidental geofence edges crossing a state line; cars delivered outside TX/FL without autonomy enabled there.
- 3. Source Hierarchy: Tesla official communications (press release, support/owner pages, app/software release notes, official Tesla/Robotaxi X accounts, or Musk posts stating it is live now) priority. Absent Tesla confirmation, at least 2 independent major outlets (Reuters, Bloomberg, WSJ, CNBC, The Verge, Electrek) reporting it live for owners. If sources conflict, Tesla prevails.
- 4. Timing: Enablement must occur by March 31, 2027 23:59 UTC; reports up to 7 days later confirming pre-deadline enablement are accepted. No customer deliveries by deadline resolves NO.
- 5. Cancellation Rule: Announcement alone without implementation resolves NO. If enabled then removed, recalled or suspended, resolves YES based on first enablement date.
Data Source for Event Outcome
- You can dispute the decision within 7 days after the settlement; to do so, write to our technical support by email and telegram.
- The Primary Resolution Data for this Event Outcome may be published on one of the following sites:
- https://www.bloomberg.com/
- https://www.reuters.com/
- https://www.wsj.com
Resolution
- Resolution ID: cmwi1wk1ncfag01s56totw60w