Will Tesla launch driverless Robotaxi rides in a US state other than Texas or Florida by March 31, 2027?
$33,201 Vol. 141d 10h left
Description As of Nov 10, 2026, Tesla offers public Robotaxi rides with no safety driver or monitor on board only in Texas and Florida (Austin, Houston, Dallas, Fort Worth, San Antonio, Miami, Orlando, Tampa). Its SF Bay Area service still uses safety drivers. Las Vegas and Phoenix are listed as upcoming with no dates, after Tesla missed its H1 2026 target for both.
- This event resolves YES if, between Nov 10, 2026 and Mar 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET (Apr 1, 2027 03:59 UTC), at least one public Tesla ride-hailing ride with no Tesla employee or contractor inside the vehicle occurs in any of the 50 US states other than Texas and Florida.
- This event resolves NO if no such ride occurs by the deadline.
- 1. Specificity: Rider must be a non-employee member of the public (invite-only/early-access counts). Any Tesla-operated driverless ride-hailing counts regardless of branding (Robotaxi, Cybercab, partners). One confirmed qualifying ride suffices, even if most of the fleet in that market still carries monitors. Allowed: remote monitoring, teleoperation assistance, chase cars, as long as no staff is inside the vehicle.
- 2. Exclusion: Employee-only rides; testing without passengers; any safety driver/monitor in any seat; customers' personal FSD cars; rides in TX or FL (incl. Jacksonville); DC and US territories; announcements or regulatory approvals without actual rides.
- 3. Source Hierarchy: Official Tesla statements (Tesla/Tesla Robotaxi X accounts, website, app) priority. Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC, The Verge secondary. Electrek/Teslarati tertiary, only with photo/video evidence of a non-employee rider in an empty-driver-seat car. If sources conflict, Tesla's official statement prevails.
- 4. Timing: Ride must occur before Apr 1, 2027 03:59 UTC (11:59 PM ET Mar 31). Confirmation of pre-deadline rides accepted up to 7 days after. Post-deadline rides resolve NO.
- 5. Cancellation Rule: YES if at least one qualifying public ride occurred before the deadline, even if service is later paused.
Data Source for Event Outcome
- You can dispute the decision within 7 days after the settlement; to do so, write to our technical support by email and telegram.
- The Primary Resolution Data for this Event Outcome may be published on one of the following sites:
- https://www.bloomberg.com/
- https://www.reuters.com/
- https://www.wsj.com
Resolution
- Resolution ID: cmwawct4k7iqg01lq27w539ut