Will Pump.fun hold a majority of Solana launchpad token graduations for the week ending Aug 9, 2026?
156,225 Vol.in 1 hour (Aug-11-2026 12:00:00 PM UTC)
DescriptionThe Solana memecoin-launchpad rivalry between Pump.fun and LetsBonk has violently reversed in July 2026. After Pump.fun retook the top spot earlier in the year, LetsBonk has surged back: as of the week of July 18, 2026 it holds roughly 79% of daily Solana token 'graduations' versus Pump.fun's ~18%, a sharp flip from a month earlier when Pump had >90% share. Leadership is now changing on a weekly basis.
- This event resolves YES if, for the completed weekly period of Aug 3 to Aug 9, 2026 (UTC), Pump.fun's share of Solana launchpad token graduations exceeds 50% (Pump.fun records more graduations than LetsBonk and all other Solana launchpads combined). It resolves NO if Pump.fun's share is 50% or below for that week.
- 1. Specificity: A 'graduation' is a token migrating from its launchpad bonding curve to an open DEX market, aggregated across all Solana launchpads for the Aug 3-9, 2026 UTC week. Share = Pump.fun graduations / total Solana launchpad graduations.
- 2. Exclusion: Trading-volume share, token-launch (creation) counts, PUMP/BONK coin prices, and any period other than the Aug 3-9 week do NOT count.
- 3. Source Hierarchy: The Block Research / Blockworks Research daily per-launchpad graduation data (aggregated over the week) is the priority source. Dune Analytics Solana launchpad comparison dashboards are secondary. Reputable crypto news reporting the weekly figure is an accepted tertiary source.
- 4. Timing: The resolution week ends Aug 9, 2026 23:59 UTC. Data published after settlement for that same week still governs; any period after Aug 9 does not count.
- 5. Resolution fallback: This is a metric-based market. If sources diverge, the highest-priority source with weekly Pump.fun graduation-share data governs. If no credible source publishes the Aug 3-9 graduation share, the event is voided (not auto-NO).