Will OpenAI publicly file its IPO registration statement (S-1) with the SEC by June 30, 2027?

• This event resolves YES if, between November 10, 2026 and June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET (July 1, 2027 03:59 UTC), a registration statement for an initial listing of equity of OpenAI or its parent/successor (e.g., OpenAI Group PBC) is publicly filed on SEC EDGAR.
  
• This event resolves NO if no such public filing appears on EDGAR by the deadline.
  
• 1. Specificity: Counts: Form S-1 or F-1 (incl. public flip of confidential drafts), Form 10, or Form S-4/F-4 for a SPAC/merger listing OpenAI equity.
  
• 2. Exclusion: Unpublished confidential drafts (DRS), the June 2026 confidential filing confirmation, anonymous-source media reports, filings by other companies (e.g., Microsoft, SoftBank) or by OpenAI subsidiaries not listing OpenAI's own equity, and Form D, S-8 or debt-only filings do NOT count.
  
• 3. Source Hierarchy: SEC EDGAR company search (OpenAI filer entity) priority. OpenAI official press release/blog secondary. Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC, WSJ tertiary.
  
• 4. Timing: Uses the EDGAR "Filing Date." A filing dated July 1, 2027 or later (incl. submissions after 5:30 PM ET on June 30 given the next day's date) resolves NO. Market may close early upon a qualifying public EDGAR filing.
  
• 5. Cancellation Rule: A public filing later withdrawn still resolves YES based on its first public filing date.
  

Data Source for Event Outcome

• You can dispute the decision within 7 days after the settlement; to do so, write to our technical support by email and telegram.
  
• The Primary Resolution Data for this Event Outcome may be published on one of the following sites:
  
• https://www.bloomberg.com/
  
• https://www.reuters.com/
  
• https://www.wsj.com
  

Resolution

• Resolution ID: cmwavxn727hmg01lql3ohn52z