Will NVIDIA Stock Move 10%+ in Either Direction Within 48 Hours After Its Next Earnings?
537,434 Vol.5 months ago (Feb-20-2026 04:59:00 AM UTC)
DescriptionThis event asks whether NVIDIA’s stock price will move 10% or more in either direction within the first 48 hours following the company’s next earnings release. The price movement is measured using the official closing prices reported on NASDAQ and recognized by major financial wires.
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- The event resolves Yes if, at any point within the 48-hour window after the earnings release time, NVIDIA’s stock price closes at 10% or more above or below the last official closing price prior to the release. Intraday volatility does not count—only closing prices. If NVIDIA releases earnings after market close, the window begins at the next opening bell.
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- The event resolves No if no qualifying 10%+ closing price move occurs within the measurement window. Normal post-earnings reactions under 10% do not count. Analyst estimates, implied volatility, or pre-market/after-hours pricing do not affect resolution. Any late or amended earnings filings that shift the release time will adjust the window accordingly based on the timestamp recognized by SEC and major wire services.
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- The following do not count: unverified price data, after-hours price swings, crypto-style price feeds, OTC sources, or social-media screenshots. Only official NASDAQ daily closes and corroborated Bloomberg/Reuters/NASDAQ data qualify. If exchanges publish conflicting data, NASDAQ’s official daily close takes precedence.
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- Verification relies on NASDAQ historical closing prices, Bloomberg Market Data, and Reuters market reports. The outcome predicts whether NVIDIA will experience a 10%+ closing-price reaction within 48 hours of its next earnings release.