Will Nvidia (NVDA) close 40% or more below its all-time-high close before 2028?
$14,525 Vol. 416d 3h left
Description Nvidia set its all-time-high close of $239.24 on Oct 6, 2026, then slid amid AI-bubble fears and a board probe tied to CEO Jensen Huang. It closed near $170 on Nov 10, 2026 (~29% below the record). Q3 FY27 earnings are due Nov 17, 2026.
- This event resolves YES if, on any regular Nasdaq trading session from November 11, 2026 through December 31, 2027 (America/New_York), NVDA's official closing price is at or below 0.60 x the running all-time-high close.
- This event resolves NO if no such close occurs by the deadline.
- 1. Specificity: The running ATH close starts at $239.24 (Oct 6, 2026) and updates only if a higher split-adjusted close occurs (e.g., a $260 close moves the threshold to $156). Computed at full precision: currently at or below $143.544, so $143.54 qualifies and $143.55 does not. Split-adjusted; dividends ignored.
- 2. Exclusion: Intraday lows, pre-market/after-hours prices, and closes before Nov 11, 2026 do not count.
- 3. Source Hierarchy: Nasdaq.com historical data priority. Yahoo Finance Close column (not Adj Close) secondary if Nasdaq is unavailable or contradictory. StockAnalysis.com tertiary. Official corrected closes published within 24h prevail.
- 4. Timing: Qualifying close must occur on or before the Dec 31, 2027 close (4:00 PM ET). May resolve YES early once a qualifying close occurs. Post-deadline closes resolve NO.
- 5. Cancellation Rule: If NVDA is delisted or acquired, closes up to its last trading day count; NO if no qualifying close occurred.
Data Source for Event Outcome
- You can dispute the decision within 7 days after the settlement; to do so, write to our technical support by email and telegram.
- The Primary Resolution Data for this Event Outcome may be published on one of the following sites:
- https://www.bloomberg.com/
- https://www.reuters.com/
- https://www.wsj.com
Resolution
- Resolution ID: cmwavtimn7h7p01lqy8fhz7pb