Will Cloudflare's 2026 Year in Review say AI bots averaged 6.0%+ of HTML requests?
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Description Cloudflare's 2025 Radar Year in Review (Dec 15, 2025) said AI bots (excluding Googlebot) averaged 4.2% of HTML requests in 2025. In 2026, Radar showed AI bots at ~7.8% of HTML requests in mid-August and ~7.3% in late October, but early-2026 levels were likely lower.
- This event resolves YES if Cloudflare's 2026 Radar Year in Review, published by Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC (Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET), states AI bots averaged 6.0% or more of global HTML requests over its 2026 covered period.
- This event resolves NO if the stated figure is below 6.0%, or if no 2026 Year in Review is published by that deadline.
- 1. Specificity: Use the headline global AI-bot share of HTML requests as stated, for the report's covered period. If versions with and without Googlebot/mixed-purpose crawlers are given, use the one excluding them. Figures used as published; unrounded values below 6.0 (e.g., 5.96%) count as below; '6%' counts as 6.0%. If no explicit average is stated, use the global AI-bot share of HTML requests on the Year in Review page or Radar data explorer aggregated over the full covered period (not an average of weekly points), rounded to one decimal.
- 2. Exclusion: Mixed-purpose clients, separately reported Googlebot, and non-AI bots are not added. Country/regional, weekly/peak values, all-HTTP (non-HTML) shares, and third-party reports do not count.
- 3. Source Hierarchy: blog.cloudflare.com Year in Review post priority. radar.cloudflare.com/year-in-review/2026 secondary. Radar data explorer tertiary.
- 4. Timing: Must be published before Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC; later resolves NO. Betting closes Dec 8, 2026 04:59 UTC; if the report is published earlier, betting closes at publication and bets placed after publication are void.
- 5. Cancellation Rule: If the report is later edited, the first published figure is used.
Data Source for Event Outcome
- You can dispute the decision within 7 days after the settlement; to do so, write to our technical support by email and telegram.
- The Primary Resolution Data for this Event Outcome may be published on one of the following sites:
- https://www.bloomberg.com/
- https://www.reuters.com/
- https://www.wsj.com
Resolution
- Resolution ID: cmwf6j84v39un01s5kxrvakap