Will Cardano Van Rossem Hard Fork SPO Participation Reach the 51% Threshold Before July 18?
108,793 Vol.8 days ago (Jul-18-2026 11:59:00 PM UTC)
DescriptionThe Cardano Van Rossem hard fork (Protocol Version 11) governance action was submitted on June 16, 2026, and expires July 18, 2026 (Epoch 644). As of June 30, SPO approval is ~31.59% — far short of the required 51% — while DRep approval has cleared its 60% threshold. The Cardano Foundation has urged SPOs to vote actively rather than auto-abstain, but political tensions may dampen participation.
- This event resolves YES if SPO approval reaches or exceeds 51% on-chain before July 18, 2026 23:59 UTC.
- This event resolves NO if SPO approval remains below 51% by the deadline, causing the governance action to expire.
- 1. Specificity: SPO approval on gov.tools must reach at least 51%.
- 2. Exclusion: DRep approval, CC votes, or node adoption rates do not count.
- 3. Source Hierarchy: gov.tools primary. intersectmbo.org secondary. Third-party explorers tertiary.
- 4. Timing: Must occur before July 18, 2026 23:59 UTC. Post-deadline resolves NO.
- 5. Cancellation Rule: If the governance action is withdrawn or cancelled before deadline, resolves NO.