Will Bitcoin ETFs Set a New Single-Day Net Inflow Record Before Mar 1, 2026?
427,428 Vol.6 months ago (Mar-01-2026 04:59:00 AM UTC)
DescriptionThis event resolves to “Yes” if U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs collectively set a new single-day net inflow record before the event’s deadline. Otherwise, it resolves to “No.”
- For the purpose of this market, “single-day net inflow” means the combined net inflow reported across all spot Bitcoin ETFs for one U.S. trading day, measured in USD, and based on finalized data published by authoritative financial sources. The baseline for comparison is the highest officially confirmed single-day net inflow recorded prior to the event’s start date.
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- A new record must be confirmed by at least one Primary Resolution Source. If multiple ETFs release preliminary estimates, only finalized net inflow figures will count. Marketing claims, social-media statements, or intraday flow snapshots do not count. In cases where sources diverge, the earliest finalized figure from a Primary Resolution Source takes precedence.
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- Revisions issued after the event deadline do not affect resolution unless the revision explicitly states that previously published “final” numbers were materially incorrect. If market-wide flow data is delayed, the outcome is based on the first finalized figure published within seven days after the event closes. If no qualifying data is published within that window, the event resolves to “No.”
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- Holdings changes resulting from asset reclassifications, share splits, ticker migrations, custody adjustments, or transfers between affiliated funds are not considered flows. Only net inflows explicitly reported as part of daily ETF flow summaries qualify. Funds that temporarily halt creations or redemptions remain eligible; if they report zero flow, that value stands.
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- This event measures whether a new single-day net inflow record for U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs is officially confirmed before the deadline, according to the Primary Resolution Sources listed above.