Will Binance Formally File a MiCA CASP Application with France's AMF by July 28, 2026? - Predict on WahooPredict
Will Binance Formally File a MiCA CASP Application with France's AMF by July 28, 2026?
125,865 Vol.in 3 days (Jul-28-2026 11:59:00 PM UTC)
DescriptionBinance suspended EU trading services on July 1, 2026 after withdrawing its MiCA application in Greece on June 24. Co-CEO Richard Teng stated Binance aims to secure a MiCA license 'in the coming months,' with France's AMF named as the likely next target — Binance already holds a pre-MiCA DASP registration with the AMF. However, French authorities have an open judicial investigation into Binance for money laundering.
This event resolves YES if official confirmation is made that Binance has formally submitted a MiCA CASP license application with France's AMF, on or before July 28, 2026 UTC. Resolves NO if no filing is confirmed by the deadline. Mere announcements of intent do not count — only confirmed submissions.
1. Specificity: A formal MiCA CASP application filed with France's AMF specifically.
2. Exclusion: Intent statements, applications with other EU regulators, or Binance's pre-existing DASP registration status do not count.
3. Source Hierarchy: AMF official registry/announcement primary. Binance official press release secondary. Reuters/CoinDesk/The Block tertiary.
4. Timing: Must be filed and confirmed before July 28, 2026 23:59 UTC. Post-deadline resolves NO.
5. Cancellation Rule: If Binance files then withdraws before the deadline, resolves YES based on the original filing date.