Will any major crypto exchange announce support for Paul Sztorc's eCash fork by Aug 30, 2026?
19,640 Vol.in 22 days (Aug-30-2026 11:59:00 PM UTC)
DescriptionDrivechain architect Paul Sztorc is launching a Bitcoin hard fork named "eCash" that activates around Aug 21, 2026 (block ~964,000), airdropping a 1:1 asset to every BTC holder and activating BIP300/301 Drivechains. Critics (including Rootstock and several core devs) call it "theft" and warn of weak replay protection, while regulated custodians face compliance pressure to refuse it.
- This event resolves YES if, on or before Aug 30, 2026 23:59 UTC, at least one of these exchanges — Coinbase, Binance, Kraken, OKX, Bybit, Bitfinex, Gemini, KuCoin, Gate.io, or Bitget — officially announces it will credit the eCash airdrop to customer balances, list the eCash fork asset for trading, or enable deposits/withdrawals of it.
- This event resolves NO if no such announcement is made by the deadline.
- 1. Specificity: A qualifying announcement is a listing, crediting of the airdrop, or enabling of deposits/withdrawals of the eCash fork asset, published on the exchange's official website, blog, status page, or verified social account.
- 2. Exclusion: A generic "we are evaluating / monitoring / assessing" statement does NOT count. Support only for the pre-existing eCash (XEC) token does NOT count — this must be Sztorc's new fork asset. Smaller exchanges outside the listed ten do NOT count.
- 3. Source Hierarchy: Official exchange announcement pages/blogs priority. CoinDesk secondary. news.bitcoin.com tertiary.
- 4. Timing: Must occur on or before Aug 30, 2026 23:59 UTC. Post-deadline resolves NO.
- 5. Cancellation Rule: YES requires an actual official commitment to credit/list/support (announcement plus stated implementation). A mere intention to consider resolves NO. If a listed exchange announces support then reverses before the deadline, it resolves YES based on the first announcement.