Will Anthropic price its IPO above $78 per share?

• This event resolves YES if Anthropic's officially announced final IPO price per Class A share is strictly greater than US$78.00, with pricing on or before December 31, 2026 23:59 ET.
  
• This event resolves NO if the final IPO price is US$78.00 or lower, or if the IPO is not priced by the deadline.
  
• 1. Specificity: Final per-share public offering price in USD. Exactly $78.00 resolves NO. Share count changes or upsizing are irrelevant.
  
• 2. Exclusion: First-day trading prices, the concurrent ~$26B private placement, grey-market quotes and media reports of expected pricing do not count. If the range is revised, the $78.00 threshold still applies.
  
• 3. Source Hierarchy: Anthropic/underwriter official pricing press release priority. SEC EDGAR 424(b) prospectus secondary; it prevails on conflict. Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC tertiary.
  
• 4. Timing: Betting closes Nov 18, 2026 16:00 ET. If pricing is delayed, betting closes 16:00 ET the business day before the new pricing date. If Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC or an SEC filing reports a revised range with low end above $78.00, a revised range with high end at or below $78.00, or above-range pricing, betting closes at that report. Pricing after the deadline resolves NO.
  
• 5. Cancellation Rule: If postponed or withdrawn and not priced by the deadline, resolves NO. Once a final price is officially announced, it determines resolution even if the deal is later pulled.
  

Data Source for Event Outcome

• You can dispute the decision within 7 days after the settlement; to do so, write to our technical support by email and telegram.
  
• The Primary Resolution Data for this Event Outcome may be published on one of the following sites:
  
• https://www.bloomberg.com/
  
• https://www.reuters.com/
  
• https://www.wsj.com
  

Resolution

• Resolution ID: cmwaw1dv17hub01lqq9s5hv4k