Will Adam Back publicly claim to be (or have been part of) Satoshi Nakamoto before 2028?
$12,877 Vol. 412d 22h left
Description In April 2026, a NYT investigation by John Carreyrou named Blockstream CEO Adam Back as the likely Satoshi Nakamoto; Back has repeatedly denied it. An estimated ~1.1M BTC attributed to Satoshi has never moved.
- This event resolves YES if, on or before 2027-12-31 23:59:59 UTC, Adam Back publicly and sincerely states that he is or was Satoshi Nakamoto, or was one of the people writing as Satoshi.
- This event resolves NO if no qualifying statement is made by the deadline.
- 1. Specificity: A direct, sincere first-person statement that he is/was Satoshi qualifies; an explicit claim to have authored the whitepaper, original code or Satoshi posts (alone or with others) is an alternative. Channels: X @adam3us; official Blockstream statements (only while Back is CEO or if he confirms them); interviews, podcasts, speeches or public court filings published by a listed (secondary) outlet or on video/audio clearly showing Back. Non-English statements count if a listed outlet reports them. No cryptographic proof needed.
- 2. Exclusion: Community slogans ('We are all Satoshi'), claims of contributing to or inspiring Bitcoin, jokes, hypotheticals, hints, 'no comment,' non-denials and third-party claims do not count. Ambiguous/joking statements count only if Back confirms sincerity or 2+ listed outlets report a sincere admission. Posts Back or Blockstream call compromised/fake within 72 hours do not count. Post-death releases do not count.
- 3. Source Hierarchy: @adam3us and Blockstream channels priority. Listed outlets: Reuters, Bloomberg, NYT, WSJ, BBC, CNBC secondary. CoinDesk, The Block tertiary.
- 4. Timing: Must occur by 2027-12-31 23:59:59 UTC; post-deadline resolves NO. YES once verified and 72 hours pass without a compromise claim (no wait for live/in-person appearances or court filings reported by a listed outlet).
- 5. Cancellation Rule: A later genuine retraction does not undo a qualifying statement; YES based on first qualifying statement.
Data Source for Event Outcome
- You can dispute the decision within 7 days after the settlement; to do so, write to our technical support by email and telegram.
- The Primary Resolution Data for this Event Outcome may be published on one of the following sites:
- https://www.bloomberg.com/
- https://www.reuters.com/
- https://www.wsj.com
Resolution
- Resolution ID: cmwf6evm339eb01s551kq5cqw